Wednesday NBA

SF_capper

SF_capper

CTG addict
Plays
Toronto -4.5- 2 units lose
Atlanta +5.5- 2 units win
Atlanta/Phoenix OVER 207- 4 units lose
Indiana -6.5- 4 units lose
Philadelphia -4- 4 units win
Denver +6.5- 3.1 units to win 3 lose
Miami +12- 3 units win
2nd H Toronto -3 (-120)- 3 units lose
Portland +3- 7 units win
Utah -9- 3 units lose
2nd H Memphis -5 (-120)- 6 units win
2nd H OVER 107 (-120)- 2 units lose
2nd H Portland -.5 (-120)- 2 units win
2nd H Utah -4.5 (-120)- 2 units lose

so far
6-8
-1.8 units

horrible 2 days in a row. learned a bit tho. I rememered before to stay clear of the pop road faves that looked too good. well, I didn't yesterday. people really don't appreciate the value of home court advantage thus making them think lines look "too good to be true". I read somewhere that homecourt is approximately worth 3 points on each side (meaning 6 points all together from one court to another). I do take this into account when capping, and did yesterday when I bet the popular road faves (SA, Den, Toronto), but they failed. Yesterday, although I had no money on it, realized that Seattle will be a great bet in future for 1st H bets, and even better as a 2nd H fade. They cannot handle themselves down the stretch, and although they will surely learn how to eventually, it doesn't seem like it'll be anytime soon. Chicago proved just how bad they are. I don't know when people will realize it, but hopefully not soon. I compare the Bulls with the Bears of the NFL and the Wizards with the early Saints. Although 3-0, I have not bought into the Clippers as they've beaten Seattle, GSW, and Chicago- none of which have any wins yet. New Orleans proved again that they are the real real deal, probably better if not at the level of Utah/Houston. Seriously. There is not a weakness on the squad, esp not the sttarting lineup. If LA loses 1 or 2 more games in a row, expect a collapse. San Antonio showed they are not the same team as last yr and the every other yr trend probably will continue this yr. Phoenix prooved they are still dominant at the East, just as last yr. Toronto just pissed me off, and Milwaukee impressed me a little little bit- more just lost respect for Toronto. Looks like this'll be Richard Jefferson's yr as he took over this game as with others. NJ is quitely doin pretty well. Golden state sucks.. yes I admit it. we suck and I hope people don't realize it yet. Dallas is coming into town, and hopefully Dallas isn't loved by everyone else, cuz Dallas is killin us.
 
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42-30
+8.5 units

Can't complain considering yesterday's ass beating. Gonna slow down my bets and decrease the amount of bets and amount per bet. Try to be more disciplined.. now for the games
 
a couple games that interest me are: Clips @ Indi, Charlotte @ philly, Orlando @ Toronto, Miami @ San Antonio, Memphis @ Seattle (and over), Cleveland @ Utah.

Not real interested in Phoenix at ATL because Phoenix should win. as I said, Phoenix in the East just win. Atlanta has impressed me thus far though, so I don't know, as the line probably will be pretty inflated for Phoenix

Denver @ Boston
not really interested. I'll hae myself if I bet against Boston and they dominate like they could, but it's hard to bet against Denver off 2 losses.

New Orleans @ Portland
2 underrated teams. Portland should bark often this yr as a homedog, but New Orleans has shown they can get it done on the road, and I have high respect for them. New Orleans getting a little notice, late public road fave- dangerous.
 
LA Clippers @ Indiana Pacers

Like this game a bit. Both teams coming in surprisingly undefeated.. uhh both have beaten teams that all don't have wins, so can't really credit any of their wins. However, I like Indi here. If we had to, I'd put Washington, Miami, and Memphis a bit higher than Seattle, GS, and Chicago. However, more importantly, the Indiana squad just has the right pieces. I think Indiana is a very underrated team , as they have incredible pieces on every position deep. Although, LA also has a pretty deep lineup, Indiana's front court is just stronger (J Oneal, Foster, Diogu, Harrison, Murphy). That will create serious problems for the weaker part of Clippers roster. Both teams will like to run up and down, but pretty much Indiana has just impressed me more under O'Brien's control. I don't buy into the kool-aid yet for the clips. Lean over and Indiana
Prediction: Indiana 110-95
 
Great read, I agree the Warriors suck and I honestly do not see them making the playoffs even when shoot em up Jackson returns. The Warriors small ball worked late down the stretch and in the first rd of the playoffs but it got them destroyed against Utah. I think J Rich was the heart and soul of the Warriors and it's somewhat ironic how Dunleavy is off to the best start of his career helping the Pacers to an undefeated record.
 
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Miami +10.5 @ San Antonio

small lean to Miami. First let me say, SA has not impressed me this yr. Not covering Portland, just squeezing by Memphis, beating Sac (wow) and losing to Houston who was on a b2b. Not impressive, not that Miami was at all. However, everyone is saying how Miami is screwed and will start 0-5, with "sure losses" at San Antonio and Phoenix. Thats bull. Miami still has talent and coaching and Shaq, so its hard to say they're a sure loss anywhere. I'm sure they'll come out pumped to show that they're not as bad as advertised. San Antonio will be off a loss, true, so they'll probably win this game. But by DD? Miami's role players have been alright (chris quinn, Daquann Cook, Dorell Wright, Haslem, and you can't forget about Ricky Davis and J WIlliams.) Basically, I feel this is a motivation thing for Miami to come out hard. Lean Miami
Prediction: San Antonio 93-90
 
Sportsbettor4life said:
Great read, I agree the Warriors suck and I honestly do not see them making the playoffs evening when shoot em up Jackson returns. The Warriors small ball worked late down the stretch and in the first rd of the playoffs but it got them destroyed against Utah. I think J Rich was the heart and soul of the Warriors and it's somewhat ironic how Dunleavy is off to the best start of his career helping the Pacers to an undefeated record.
Click to expand...

agreed mostly. One thing I question most of the Warriors' moves were if we needed a big man (and yea we did), and we're off that yr we had with intentions to continue and improve, why get an experiment in Wright? JRich was a bit out of the loop with his numbers down, and I even heard before that he was upset as he wasn't the face of the team no more (replaced by Baron adn even Monta), but if he needed to trade him why not for an established running big man that has proved something at least. Baron isn't getting any younger and we had the pieces to go now. I mean imagine a lineup of Baron, Azabuike, SJax, (big man, running PF), and Biedrins with Monta, Harrington, Belinelli, Barnes, Pietrus off the bench. Wouldn't that be something improved for both this yr and for a few yrs? Not only Dunleavy, Diogu is doing pretty well in Indiana. Fuckers
 
actually looking at the schedule, I see a gem that I missed. GEM

New Orleans -3 @ Portland

LOVE Portland here. The scheduling is a nice fit. Portland is 0-3. This will be their home opener, the last team to get one. They have rest, something NO does not have. New Orleans on a b2b, 3rd game in 4 nights, 4th in 6, 5th in 8. with SA is 2 days. They'll look to use SA as a measuring stick. They're off 2 big road wins at Denver and just tonight at LA. Portland is a scrappy young team with a lot of talent and Potential. NO will have a let-dwon off a big win and with a big game coming. They are undefeated both ATS/and SU, and that will end tonight. Really like Portland.
Prediction: Portland 108-100
 
That Portland line just yells out let down by the Hornets. Bees shot their asses off and i highly doubt Stojakovic can go 10/13 beyond the arc back to back nights! Look the Blazers in this spot to bud. Sorry about the Raps, any olympic wheelchair basketball team could of beaten the Raps.
 
good luck, great read btw. :shake: The Spurs usually start slowly, we'll see what they're made of in the postseason. ;)

GL tonight :cheers:
 
SF I've been looking forward to this game since NO routed Portland last week. Goodluck tonight, lets get this paper:cheers:
 
BOL

I also like Portland today

Will wait for the results of my early games first and how well i do

:D
 
Thanks guys

Cleveland @ Utah

watched the Cleveland.GS game yesterday, and both teams were ugly. Cleveland got the win off the benefit of my warriors sucking, so that W means nothing IMO. Cleveland on a b2b on the road was a grfeat fade last yr. should continue today with Utah off that loss. AK should be able to limit Lebron, if at the very least force him to shoot which can be a crap shoot. Biggest mismatch is Derron Williams IMO who will be guarded by.. boobie? Maybe Lebron switches on to him as he did for Baron, but that leaves boobie on AK? the mismatches are on the Utah side. Cleveland makes their wins on outrebounding teams. They won't be able to and will struggle similiarly to how they did against SA in the finals. Utah by DD
Prediction: Utah 105-90
 
Memphis @ Seattle

mostly a fade of Seattle. Memphis is 0-2 with losses to SA and Indiana- who I have high respect for. Seattle just cannot get it done down the stretch. the veterans on Memphis (Gasol, miller) have the major advantage. If this game is close as the line suggests, Memphis is the side to go. Seattle hasn't prooved anything. If Seattle is up at HT, Memphis 2nd H is where my money is going. Like the over too as both teams will look to run to hide their inexperience.
Prediction: Memphis 116-110
 
Bobcats +4 @ Philly

this one depends on Felton. If Felton is out, this one goes to Philly. Charlotte needs thier PG no doubt about it. Charlotte off a rout, and I have high hopes for this team. Most players didn';t play last night cuz of the score. Brezic didn't play at all as he's too slow to keep with Phoenix. However, looking at the matchups, it seems to favor Charlotte. Felton/Miller, JRich/Green, Wallace/AI, Meka/Evans, Primo/Dalembert. However, if Felton is out, need to play Philly
 
bounceback

Toronto -4.5- 2 units
Atlanta +5.5- 2 units
Atlanta/Phoenix OVER 207- 4 units
Indiana -6.5- 4 units
Philadelphia -4- 4 units
 
late post, looks like aq splot but will post anyway

2nd H Portland -.5 (-120)- 2 units
2nd H Utah -4.5 (-120)- 2 units
 
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