Wednesday discussion

[redbearde]

bookmaker lines at 6pm EST.

NBA - Mar 19

NBA
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 18TH

4:05 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">Spread</td><td class="gTot">Total</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">623</td><td class="gName">DENVER</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711481_3_0_2_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">+2-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711481_3_2_-218_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">o218-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">624</td><td class="gName">PHILADELPHIA</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711481_3_1_-2_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">-2-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711481_3_3_218_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">u218-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

4:05 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">Spread</td><td class="gTot">Total</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">625</td><td class="gName">WASHINGTON</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711482_3_0_7.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">+7½-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711482_3_2_-210.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">o210½-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">626</td><td class="gName">ORLANDO</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711482_3_1_-7.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">-7½-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711482_3_3_210.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">u210½-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

4:05 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">
</td><td class="gTot">
</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">627</td><td class="gName">MIAMI</td><td class="gSpr lineChk">
</td><td class="gTot lineChk">
</td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">628</td><td class="gName">TORONTO</td><td class="gSpr lineChk">
</td><td class="gTot lineChk">
</td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

4:05 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">Spread</td><td class="gTot">Total</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">629</td><td class="gName">CHARLOTTE</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711484_3_0_6_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">+6-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711484_3_2_-211.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">o211½-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">630</td><td class="gName">INDIANA</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711484_3_1_-6_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">-6-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711484_3_3_211.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">u211½-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

4:35 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">Spread</td><td class="gTot">Total</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">631</td><td class="gName">ATLANTA</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711485_3_0_2.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">+2½-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711485_3_2_-200_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">o200-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">632</td><td class="gName">NEW JERSEY</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711485_3_1_-2.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">-2½-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711485_3_3_200_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">u200-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

5:05 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">Spread</td><td class="gTot">Total</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">633</td><td class="gName">MEMPHIS</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711486_3_0_7_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">+7-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711486_3_2_-205_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">o205-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">634</td><td class="gName">MINNESOTA</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711486_3_1_-7_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">-7-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711486_3_3_205_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">u205-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

5:05 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">
</td><td class="gTot">
</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">635</td><td class="gName">HOUSTON</td><td class="gSpr lineChk">
</td><td class="gTot lineChk">
</td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">636</td><td class="gName">NEW ORLEANS</td><td class="gSpr lineChk">
</td><td class="gTot lineChk">
</td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

5:05 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">Spread</td><td class="gTot">Total</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">637</td><td class="gName">DETROIT</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711488_3_0_1_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">+1-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711488_3_2_-183.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">o183½-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">638</td><td class="gName">CLEVELAND</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711488_3_1_-1_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">-1-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711488_3_3_183.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">u183½-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

7:05 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">Spread</td><td class="gTot">Total</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">639</td><td class="gName">PHOENIX</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711489_3_0_-10.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">-10½-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711489_3_2_-226_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">o226-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">640</td><td class="gName">SEATTLE</td><td class="gSpr lineChk"><input name="game" value="711489_3_1_10.5_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">+10½-110 </td><td class="gTot lineChk"><input name="game" value="711489_3_3_226_-110_NBA" class="chkbox" type="checkbox">u226-110 </td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

7:35 PM3 /19 /08
<table cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"><thead><tr><td class="gNum">#</td><td class="gName">
</td><td class="gSpr">
</td><td class="gTot">
</td><td class="gML">
</td></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td class="gNum">641</td><td class="gName">GOLDEN STATE</td><td class="gSpr lineChk">
</td><td class="gTot lineChk">
</td><td class="gML lineChk">
</td></tr><tr><td class="gNum">642</td><td class="gName">LA CLIPPERS</td><td class="gSpr lineChk">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

 

[divol]

The diffrence between Detroit and Philly is now only 2 points in line???
Ok...

Love Minni here, Detroit as well...

 

[redbearde]

Denver @ Philly (-2)

Denver sucks as much on the road as they get sucked at home.

Denver plays Detroit Tuesday...this began a 5th in 7.
Denver will be on a 3rd in 4 Tuesday.
This will be Denver's 5th game between the 12th and 19th.

Philly has Tuesday and the previous 2 days off.

Last meeting, the Nuggets won in Denver 109-96. Both teams desperately want wins for playoffs and seeding. Philly is currently only 1/2 game behind Washington.

These trends don't include Tuesday's game at Detroit.

Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Philadelphia is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games at home
Philadelphia is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Philadelphia
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

Nuggets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Nuggets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games.
Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
Nuggets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Nuggets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest.

76ers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games.
76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
76ers are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games.
76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
76ers are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 games overall.

Nuggets are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

Denver is the third highest scoring team in the league at 108.9 points per game.
Denver is third in rebounds in the league at 44.6.
Denver has the second worst rebounds allowed in the league at 45.2.

Philadelphia is second last in the league in free throw percentage at 71.0.
Philadelphia is last in the league scoring three points made with 3.6 per game.
Philadelphia is second in rebounds allowed in the league at 38.8.

Denver is 12-19 on the road this season (12-20 if Detroit beats em tonight).
Philly is 18-15 at home this season.

 

[redbearde]

The diffrence between Detroit and Philly is now only 2 points in line???
Ok...

Love Minni here, Detroit as well...

Denver was an 8.5 pt fave at home on January 6th.

:cheers:

 

[redbearde]

and the last time Denver visited the Palace (last year), the Pistons were -2...

 

[redbearde]

Washington @ Orlando (-7.5)

the Bullets fuck up and win on the road occasionally when they shouldn't...

Washington has had 1 day on, 1 day off for several games now...they last played on Monday and lost to Atlanta in DC. Washington's next game is a cakewalk at Miami on Friday.

Orlando last played on Monday...beating Cleveland soundly 104-90.
On Friday, Orlando hosts philly.

Last meeting, Orlando thoroughly pushed in the bullets' shit...winning 122-92 in Washington.

Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games on the road

Orlando is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Orlando is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Orlando is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Washington is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Washington is 3-18 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Orlando

Wizards are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog.
Wizards are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games.
Wizards are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog.
Wizards are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Wizards are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games.

Magic are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Magic are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.
Magic are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
Magic are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite.
Magic are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
Magic are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 Wednesday games.

this season,
Washington is 13-18 on the road.
Orlando is 22-12 at home.

 

[redbearde]

Charlotte @ Indiana (-6)

What a tremendously shitty game.

Last game, Charlotte lost at Memphis on Monday. They host Miami at home on Saturday. Wednesday is the last game of a long road trip, and they have 4 in 5 AWAY coming up next week after a 1(one) game homestand.

Last game, Indiana managed to hold off the Knicks on Monday. They host Minnesota on Friday.

Last meeting, Charlotte won in Indiana on December 31st in OT as 1.5pt faves. Yes. Charlotte actually BLANKETED on the ROAD as a FAVORITE.

Charlotte is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Charlotte is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Charlotte is 5-9-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
Charlotte is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games on the road

Indiana is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Indiana is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

Charlotte is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Indiana
Charlotte is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS & 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana

Bobcats are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
Bobcats are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog.
Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
Bobcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Pacers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Wednesday games.

Charlotte is 6-26 on the road.
Indiana is 14-18 at home.

I might play Charlotte as a ML dog......the remarkable run of wins against this team in particular is weird....

 

[redbearde]

more later. tired now.

 

[doublem9]

I hate over unders , but why not over 218 in denver philly
clearly den thinks the way to the playoffs is by showing up and scoring.
if the philly AI thing has any effect it should be AI scoring ...
but yeah hate ou's

 

[Satyr]

doublem9, I wouldn't be surprised they started playing some D. Karl was pissed after the game in Detroit last night saying they should have beaten a team when they score 120 on them and shoot 60% from the floor. I would expect it to come back to normal soon.

 

[pigeon]

mark your calendar for sunday, april 6th when denver, who hosted sacramento the night before, travels to seattle and fails to cover the large spread perhaps losing straight up.

 

[Marlo]

My thoughts for today

Denver is dismal on b2b this year on the road. Philly is solid at home. Only thing that scares me is Denver has got pounded by Karl last night over there defense. I expect a much better performance out of Denver tonight. The west is heavy and if they dont find a form of defense soon they are going to be on the sidelines come playoff time

Washington/Orlando

Would only play this total, I noticed it opened last night @ 210 and is down to 208. No real opinions either way. Orlando should cover this number.

Miami/Toronto

Miami got there 11th win of the season last night on the road of all places and now they face Toronto with bosh back in the lineup. I have a feeling Toronto covers this number, but I am skeptical of laying 16 in Bosh's first game back

Bobcats/Indy

Bobcats actually have a shot at the playoffs in the east, which is really sad. They rattled off 5 straight wins, before losing to Memphis @ Memphis. No real feel on this game, but gun to my head I take the Cats and the pts.

Memphis/Minny

Minny should never lay more than 5 to anyone. Even a team compiled of CTG all stars. But this is Memphis and they suck, and the team of CTG all stars could probably cover 10 against them. Memphis is 1-10 ATS in there last 11.

Rockets/NO

I would lay 5 with NO. Rockets have to keep up the momentum, but during there streak they beat NO twice. I expect a 6-7 pt win here. Time for the Rockets to take a game or two off before closing out the regular season.

Det/Cleveland

No clue, would lean Det here. But I can see them losing by 3+