Wednesday Discussion

BlitzBandit

Friend of CTG
Here's what I got for Wednesdays' games...


<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=12 width=293 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>New York
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>4
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>Connecticut
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>-4

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>

</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>Minnesota
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>6.5
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>San Antonio
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>-6.5

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>

</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>Los Angeles
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>-5.5
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>Houston
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>5.5

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>

</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>Detroit
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>-1
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>Seattle
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>1

</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>

</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>Washington
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>9
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="68%" height=0>Phoenix
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="32%" height=0>-9

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>​


Here's some thoughts..

Leaning Connecticut right now... it's amazing the talent on this team and the struggling they have had... I figure coming off a home loss, they have a chance to play at home again and fix things... I think they show up here..

San Antonio has been looking good at home, but right now Minnesota is off a two game win streak... unfortunately, they were both at home and the Connecticut game went into OT... this one may be a tough one to call..

LA is still playing decently and HOU is still horrible... this should be an easy win for LA, but you just know that every dog has his day.. I'm just wondering when Houstons' will be...

I don't know whats up with Seattle.. they have been up and down all season... scoring over 100 pts against Phoenix then being held to 4 pts in an entire quarter against Indiana... I think catching Detroit on back to back road games is a good spot for Seattle here, but Detroit knows they have 4 consecutive road games lined up and I'm sure Laimbeer has them focused on them all... leaning Seattle, but the line is still pending of course...

Washington is still having problems and I would not be surprised to see Phoenix tear things up since they are clicking on all cylinders, but with Phoenix, you just never know what you're going to get... I mean.. besides alot of points... lol.



any thoughts??
 
Sparks are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings in Houston.
Sparks are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

Comets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games.
Comets are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
Comets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog.
 
I like the value NY presents on the road at the Sun...+8 strikes me as high...

however, the Liberty are 5-1 ATS at home and 1-3 ATS on the road.

So it looks to me like the Liberty on the road is when they suck and they do well at home.

not sure I want to play the "line value" game with those two teams...
 
just copied and pasted from Pinny and my spreadsheet... its much less work that way.. lol...



<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Wed 6/20</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>651</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Minnesota Lynx</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> +8 -105 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+335 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> OVER 149.5 -105 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> 05:00 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>652</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>SA Silver Stars <TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> -8 -105 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-365 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> UNDER 149.5 -105 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=12 width=516 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
My Line​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
Actual​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
Minnesota​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
6.5​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
8​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
Small Value​
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
San Antonio​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-6.5​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-8​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
( 1.5 pts )​
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Wed 6/20</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>653</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>New York Liberty</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> +8 -105 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+335 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> OVER 145.5 -110 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> 04:00 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>654</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Connecticut Sun <TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> -8 -105 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-365 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> UNDER 145.5 +100 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=12 width=516 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
My Line​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
Actual​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
New York​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
4​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
8​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
High Value​
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
Connecticut​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-4​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-8​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
( 4 pts )​
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> Wed 6/20</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>655</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>LA Sparks</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> -1.5 +100 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-115 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> OVER 152.5 -105 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> 05:30 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>656</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Houston Comets <TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> +1.5 -110 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+105 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> UNDER 152.5 -105 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=12 width=516 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
My Line​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
Actual​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
Los Angeles​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-5.5​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-1.5​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
High Value​
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
Houston​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
5.5​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
1.5​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
( 4 pts )​
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Wed 6/20</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>657</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Washington Mystics</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> +10 -105 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+450 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> OVER 164.5 -105 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> 07:00 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>658</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Phoenix Mercury <TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> -10 -105 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-500 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> UNDER 164.5 -105 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=12 width=516 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
My Line​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
Actual​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
Washington​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
9​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
10​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
No Value​
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
Phoenix​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-9​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-10​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
( 1 pt )​
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>




<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Wed 6/20</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>659</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Detroit Shock</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> -1.5 -105 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-120 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> OVER 153 -105 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> 07:00 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>660</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Seattle Storm <TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> +1.5 -105 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+110 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap> UNDER 153 -105 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=12 width=516 border=1><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
My Line​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
Actual​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
Detroit​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-1​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
-1.5​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
No Value​
</TD></TR><TR><TD vAlign=bottom width="39%" height=0>
Seattle​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
1​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="18%" height=0>
1.5​
</TD><TD vAlign=bottom width="25%" height=0>
( .5 pt )​
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 
I like the value NY presents on the road at the Sun...+8 strikes me as high...

however, the Liberty are 5-1 ATS at home and 1-3 ATS on the road.

So it looks to me like the Liberty on the road is when they suck and they do well at home.

not sure I want to play the "line value" game with those two teams...


good point with NY on the road.. very interesting... those non-cover road games were against Indiana, San Antonio, and Chicago.. so even though I'd like to say they played tough teams, playing Connecticut is going to be just as tough or more..

I think I still have to play the "line value" game with them though... I'm hooked... lol.
 
Wow!!!

Starting them early Blitz!!!


haha.. yea.. I'm thinking I'll probably start calculating them and throwing them out by midnight two days before game day.. since the lines come out the day before a bit after noon time... I figure that gives us about 12 hours plus to discuss these things before actually seeing the actual lines...

I just think discussing and figuring where the lines should be and what we expect of the teams before the lines come out helps us avoid being swayed in any direction by vegas... we won't be influenced by the vegas line, but rather use it as a tool to our advantage... if that's possible.
 
good point with NY on the road.. very interesting... those non-cover road games were against Indiana, San Antonio, and Chicago.. so even though I'd like to say they played tough teams, playing Connecticut is going to be just as tough or more..

I think I still have to play the "line value" game with them though... I'm hooked... lol.

GL my friend. It would surprise me to see a Sun 10pt win, tho...I'll be pulling for ya.
 
I'm just waiting for you guys to post your plays so I can tail you. These past few days, I can't hit water even if I fell from a boat.

On the brighter side of things, it was reported that both Chicago and Sacramento WNBA teams suffered from a severe case of menstrual cramps for not hitting the over 143 in their recent game.
 
Last edited:
I'm just waiting for you guys to post your plays so I can tail you. These past few days, I can't hit water even if I fell from a boat.

On the brighter side of things, it was reported that both Chicago and Sacramento WNBA teams suffered from a severe case of menstrual cramps for not hitting the over 143 in their recent game.


hahahaha tell me about it!!! JV scoring on that one...
 
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