Wednesday Discussion

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
played TOR -105, MIA +119, ATL u7 (+105)

leans from the BOL open:
LAD u7: VanUNDER
BAL u9: Basner
TB -102: Schrieber
OAK +123: Layne
SF u6.5
MIA u7
PIT u7.5

on the radar:
CHC +134: Meals
SD u6: Everitt
 
post-open leans:
OAK +113: Layne
SF u6.5
SD u6: Everitt

on the radar:
CHC +141: Meals
LAD u7.5: VanUNDER
TB -105: Schrieber
 
miles mikolas debuting for the rangers today. in 6 starts at round rock he was 3-1 w/a 3.58 era.
 
ARZ/PIT
The visitor is 9-1 SU L10 Hudson games behind home plate, averaging 6.2 ±2.5 runs per game. The Pirates are 0-3 SU in Morton's starts with Hudson behind home plate, but all of those losses were away. Interesting stat: Anderson has allowed 4 runs in 16.1 IP away this season, all via the home run - solo shots by LeMahieu and Moises Sierra, and a two-run homer by Matt Kemp. On the road he owns a 1.04 WHIP, .182 BAA, .660 opponent OPS, and .293 opponent wOBA. The D-Backs are 2-1 SU in Anderson's road starts (avg line 140). I'm thinking of backing the D-Backs ML at plus money and their team total at the flat 3 with a guaranteed 9 innings.
 
Reds at Padres. 9-3 day for Reds. Both starters on inferior rest. Marked over ump who Cueto had a good start with.
Yanks on best day of week and an easy play EXCEPT for Nuno's day problem. He looked rather good in his last home start. Still thinking
 
The Pads game feels like the Mariners game when Felix was lined -130 at SD and lost with a huge public backing. The Padres going for the home sweep are 11-4 SU as the underdog since 2004 (avg line 120) and 5-1 SU L6 (since 2012, avg line 114).
 
Wainwright on 5 days rest is 11-2 SU since 2013 (avg line -148). In the two losses he received one run of support and lost 2-1 in each game. Opposing teams averaged 1.8 ±1.2 runs per game.
 
Since 2013 the Tigers are 4-7 SU and 0-4 L4 going for the three-game home sweep. The losses were all by margins of two runs or more.
 
Right-handed batters are batting .195 versus Chavez this season. The Tigers have seven righties in their starting lineup today, although Detroit does rank 3rd in OPS versus RHP.
 
Is the line really reacting to Votto being out? I think the Reds are better off without him in there.. That movement is weird especially considering SI says 86% of the wagers are backing the Reds. No way that's just a reaction to Votto sitting.
 
Is the line really reacting to Votto being out? I think the Reds are better off without him in there.. That movement is weird especially considering SI says 86% of the wagers are backing the Reds. No way that's just a reaction to Votto sitting.

he's really banged up, think it's better for the Redlegs
 
Both starters in the Arizona game improve with 6+ although Chase improves more. Small bets on game under and Arizona first half but solid bet on first 5 under. Chase is 3-0 under away in the first half
 
I went with all the overs with Barrett. He is 9-4-1 O/U on totals less than or equal to 7.0 (avg total 6.7).
 
Cubs +171, going for the sweep

Nice job on sweeping the Red Sox and being on every single side. That has to be rewarding as hell since the Cubs haven't swept the Red Sox at Fenway in at least the past 10 years, and God knows how long before that.
 
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