Wednesday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Sep 7 Wed 2022

02:10 PM
951Milwaukee BrewersE. Lauer -L-1½
+110		-133O 11½
-110
952Colorado RockiesK. Freeland -L+1 Markets+1½
-130		+123U 11½
-110
02:37 PM
979Atlanta BravesS. Strider -R-1½
-155		-265O 7
-120
980Oakland AthleticsK. Waldichuk -L+1 Markets+1½
+135		+237U 7
+100
03:07 PM
965Detroit TigersD. Hutchison -R+1½
-115		+174O 8½
-115
966Los Angeles AngelsP. Sandoval -L+1 Markets-1½
-105		-189U 8½
-105
03:10 PM
953San Francisco GiantsA. Cobb -R+1½
+110		+219O 8½
-110
954Los Angeles DodgersC. Kershaw -L+1 Markets-1½
-130		-244U 8½
-110
05:45 PM
957Miami MarlinsT. Rogers -L+1½
-140		+157O 8
+100
958Philadelphia PhilliesB. Falter -L+1 Markets-1½
+120		-171U 8
-120
06:05 PM
973Toronto Blue JaysA. Manoah -R-1½
+115		-140O 7½
-115
974Baltimore OriolesD. Kremer -R+1 Markets+1½
-135		+130U 7½
-105
06:45 PM
961Washington NationalsC. Abbott -R+1½
+120		+258O 8
-103
962St. Louis CardinalsJ. Montgomery -L+1 Markets-1½
-140		-290U 8
-117
07:40 PM
963Arizona DiamondbacksT. Henry -L+1½
-115		+181O 7½
-125
964San Diego PadresY. Darvish -R+1 Markets-1½
-105		-197U 7½
+105
 
Rox finally got their home offense going this series after woodruff came out! I dunno how Lauer does in coors or if he has pitched there at all? Off the top I lean rox Ff ml and over again.
 
I don’t much see how the cws/seattle series doesn’t continue being pitcher dominated. The only problem is kopech hasn’t been very good away from home.
 
2daBank said:
Rox finally got their home offense going this series after woodruff came out! I dunno how Lauer does in coors or if he has pitched there at all? Off the top I lean rox Ff ml and over again.
Click to expand...

Oh hot damn, look at Lauer at coors! Rox all day, Ff ml. Tt over, gm ml.,honestly no clue why Milw favs here?
 
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Tigers are fucjing terrible, the one place they should have a edge in the pen and they get them a 1 run lead in extras and these fucks give up 2. Now halo’s have another sizable starting pitching edge. Tigers should be better vs lefties but they were totally dominated by Suerez gm1 and their offense just been complete dog shit overall. If they couldn’t win the game where they managed to score 4 they not gonna win many games cause that bout most you gonna get from that lineup! Halo’s actually been winning some games, Hutchinson is awful, but do you really want to lay -185 w a bad halo’s team?
 
Who knows what we get out the A’s rookie? He has swing and miss stuff and god knows Braves swing and miss! He also has a huge walk/control issue all thru his minor league career. Be super interesting where they put his k prop? If he can go 4 innings there a real good chance he fans 5.
 
Damn. See what I’m talking bout, they back to posting really strong k numbers. Every guy I had a number I thought could be a play they opened right where I have them! They even came with 4.5 on oak rookie Waldichuk! Way more aggressive than the numbers they posted last 2 weekends, much more in line with the last month where I havnt been playing as many., im gonna continue to be smart and not play numbers that don’t have value. We will pivot back to a couple team totals and sides. Maybe as we get to the weekend with ncaa and now NFL they will slip up on the k props.
 
There still some that not out yet so maybe still a chance to have one or 2, that ok tho, we been pretty good pivoting off these when they post aggressive numbers and finding value on those 1st 5 team totals! I see a few of those! As always will post my card after I play it (casino opens at 9am central).
 
I really dunno wtf we do with the cardinals? I have no doubt they win this game but the juice is insane! Even taking the Ff -.5 you paying -190!! I would expect Montgomery to once again be really good as nats don’t have a lot of success facing lhp.

It’s crazy, I still really don’t know what to make of Montgomery and I’ve watched him a ton since coming here. It was without a doubt a great trade for us, that a given, I wasn’t super excited when it happened as I think cards needed a guy with ace stuff to have a chance in playoffs. He has pitched like a ace since coming here but it mostly been against bad lineups, his one bad game (which we cashed Braves Ff tt over against him!) wasn’t really bad at all if xfip is to be believed? Makes it tough cause that the only good lineup he has faced and favorable metrics or not he gave up 5 runs to that lineup! He has owned that bad teams tho! He hasn’t allowed more than 1 run in any other start!! His k’s have been been up (until recently), come playoff time im not real sure what to think but right now I think we can continue playing bad teams 1st 5 team total unders. Nats are at 1.5 today and there really nothing that says they score more than 1.
 
I really don’t think you want to be laying -1.5 w cards as their offense has hit a bit of a lull. How they do vs this young pitcher today is anyones guess? Unlike some the young kids coming up pitching this month he doesn’t have particularly good stuff but as we have seen from cards lineup this whole series they can be vulnerable to mediocre pitching from rhp’s! I like this lineup but the fact the have a ops .15 points better than any other team in baseball since the asb makes me nervous! I don’t think they that good so it almost inevitable the bats cool off quite a bit! It’s concerning there not much time left for that to happen and then got hot again before the playoffs! I think ppl are starting to buy into them and fact is I’m afraid they peaked too soon and can’t sustain the clip they been hitting at.
 
2daBank said:
Tigers are fucjing terrible, the one place they should have a edge in the pen and they get them a 1 run lead in extras and these fucks give up 2. Now halo’s have another sizable starting pitching edge. Tigers should be better vs lefties but they were totally dominated by Suerez gm1 and their offense just been complete dog shit overall. If they couldn’t win the game where they managed to score 4 they not gonna win many games cause that bout most you gonna get from that lineup! Halo’s actually been winning some games, Hutchinson is awful, but do you really want to lay -185 w a bad halo’s team?
Click to expand...
Yeah I had tigers last night…felt good up 1 with a trio of Duffy, Velasquez, and Wallace coming up. Dunno why they didn’t bring Soto in but still…what did them in was the Javy error on the second batter after Duffy flew out. Knew it was toast after that
 
I didn’t realize this when playing some west coast pitchers yesterday, and honestly cobb ov 4.5 was bout only k prop I liked but it gonna be 100 degrees in la with a wind blowing out, those conditions ripe for a great lad hitting team to mash, he might suffer same fate as wright last night where he woulda hit his k’s easy if he didn’t get run so early by the awful hitting A’s!!! Prob the 1st time all year they ran a pitcher early! Lol
 
2daBank said:
There still some that not out yet so maybe still a chance to have one or 2, that ok tho, we been pretty good pivoting off these when they post aggressive numbers and finding value on those 1st 5 team totals! I see a few of those! As always will post my card after I play it (casino opens at 9am central).
Click to expand...
As a side note... You got a Playa Club Card @ The Casino? Do they know you by name? I'd think so by now. GL Today Brother!
 
2daBank said:
Who knows what we get out the A’s rookie? He has swing and miss stuff and god knows Braves swing and miss! He also has a huge walk/control issue all thru his minor league career. Be super interesting where they put his k prop? If he can go 4 innings there a real good chance he fans 5.
Click to expand...
I like the fg over, been playing west coast overs in that heat recently
 
So as mentioned above im on the Rox ff tt ov 2.5 pretty big, straight and then parlayed several ways.

Rox ff tt ov 2.5/sf/lad ov7 +161
Rox ff tt over 2.5/sf ff tt ov 1.5 +251
Rox ff ml/nats ff tt un 1.5 +229
Rox ff tt ov 2,5/Kremer ov 3.5 ks/cards ml
 
Kremer ov 3.5 k’s only k prop I played. I was 2 min from playing cobb till I realized it was 100 degrees in la with stiff wind out!! Fuck that!

San Fran has seen nothing but lefties this series, they tend to do ok vs Kershaw, over 1.5 at +105 I thought had to take a shot.
 
number2 said:
Anymore plays DBank?
Click to expand...

I don’t think so, already left casino. I can’t make any promises I don’t maybe find something I like in the later games, I don’t think they had k props out for every pitcher yet, that if for day games for sure.
 
2daBank said:
My score app lying like a mofo then (wouldn’t be 1st time), it says 99 in la today, 80 in Oakland
Click to expand...
Need weather report Vap! Have heared NoCal has been ridiculous this week and supposed to be for a few more days.
 
Last edited:
Most of the extreme heat is in Sacramento area and the Los Angeles area today. Oakland will probably be low to mid 80s during the game
 
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2daBank said:
I don’t think so, already left casino. I can’t make any promises I don’t maybe find something I like in the later games, I don’t think they had k props out for every pitcher yet, that if for day games for sure.
Click to expand...
Why don’t you open Caesar’s sportsbook….they have app where I can wager
 
So I guess no pitcher props if Kremer out.
Just the rox and sf Ff team totals, the la/sf over, rox ff ml, nats Ff tt u1.5 is it I think.
 
2daBank said:
Who knows what we get out the A’s rookie? He has swing and miss stuff and god knows Braves swing and miss! He also has a huge walk/control issue all thru his minor league career. Be super interesting where they put his k prop? If he can go 4 innings there a real good chance he fans 5.
Click to expand...

Vap'sBack said:
Most of the extreme heat is in Sacramento area and the Los Angeles area today. Oakland will probably be low to mid 80s during the game
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Yeah I seen it had record temperatures in Sacramento as high as 120 degrees, I'm in the bay and even in places like Oakland where you never see it anywhere near 100 it has been 95-99 degrees the last couple days
 
Jm8122 said:
Yeah I seen it had record temperatures in Sacramento as high as 120 degrees, I'm in the bay and even in places like Oakland where you never see it anywhere near 100 it has been 95-99 degrees the last couple days
Click to expand...

Im assuming that why wright got blown the hell up by oak?? I still can’t believe that shit! Gotta be 1st time all year that offense forced a decent starting pitcher from game after 4 innings! All he had to do was go 5 and his k prop cashes,
 
Jm8122 said:
Yeah I seen it had record temperatures in Sacramento as high as 120 degrees, I'm in the bay and even in places like Oakland where you never see it anywhere near 100 it has been 95-99 degrees the last couple days
Click to expand...

It’s a crazy low number in Oakland if the ball carrying! A rookie with control issues vs the Braves should equal a big number! It odd Braves Ff tt ov 2.5 is even money! A’s 1st 5 team total is freaking .5!!! Strider a beast but after seeing what they did to wright i wonder if strider dominates? Just 1 run cashes!
 
Feel same way bout the giants/la game, hot and wind blowing out. Cobb gets a ton of ground balls tho, I dunno, I really wanted to play his k’s over 4.5 but the temps scared me off. Just scary trusting a pitcher vs dodgers lineup with ball carrying!!! I’m sure he well fav 10 since I passed.
 
number2 said:
I see….I thought Ny was bad enough with the gambling laws
Click to expand...

Nope, missouri in the stone ages, bunch of conservative Bible thumping jerkoffs control this state! Every state around us in every direction has it so why not let all the money it generates leave the state?!!?!! Not like we have casinos all over the place, oh wait we do!! They have to be on water tho!! That keeps it from becoming a problem!!! Not like casinos just started digging man made ponds to put them on, oh wait, they did!! Not like you can buy $30 scratch off tickets at every gas station, oh shit, we can! But sports gambling? That bad!

Same with weed, have to get medical card here but can run right over to Illinios and skip that bull shit. Luckily it just a few minute drive across the river for me! One these days we fucking moving!
 
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2daBank said:
Nope, missouri in the stone ages, bunch of conservative Bible thumping jerkoffs control this state! Every state around us in every direction has it so why not let all the money it generates leave the state?!!?!! Not like we have casinos all over the place, oh wait we do!! They have to be on water tho!! That keeps it from becoming a problem!!! Not like casinos just started digging man made ponds to put them on, oh wait, they did!! Not like you can buy $30 scratch off tickets at every gas station, oh shit, we can! But sports gambling? That bad!

Same with weed, have to get medical card here but can run right over to Illinios and skip that bull shit. Luckily it just a few minute drive across the river for me! One these days we fucking moving!
Click to expand...
Crazy you can't even bet on horses there. Now That's archaic.
 
I've Been To A's Games When It's Low 80's...But Believe Me, Low 80's Feels Like Low 90's!

I'm Seeing A Start Time 12:37 In Oakland. Noon Says 77* And Around 3:00 Is 83*

Only Thing That Scares ME Is They Score 19 Last Night, Gives Me The Feel Of A 3-2 Type Gm...

But That's Just Me!
 
Vap'sBack said:
I've Been To A's Games When It's Low 80's...But Believe Me, Low 80's Feels Like Low 90's!

I'm Seeing A Start Time 12:37 In Oakland. Noon Says 77* And Around 3:00 Is 83*

Only Thing That Scares ME Is They Score 19 Last Night, Gives Me The Feel Of A 3-2 Type Gm...

But That's Just Me!
Click to expand...

I’m not messing with it, I just know something was wrong for them to score 8 runs off wright in 4 innings!! That shit still don’t make any sense to me.
 
Mfers have only scored more than 8 like 1 time in last few months at least and they just happen to do it to my pitcher in 4 innings???? Something going on!
 
2daBank said:
Nope, missouri in the stone ages, bunch of conservative Bible thumping jerkoffs control this state! Every state around us in every direction has it so why not let all the money it generates leave the state?!!?!! Not like we have casinos all over the place, oh wait we do!! They have to be on water tho!! That keeps it from becoming a problem!!! Not like casinos just started digging man made ponds to put them on, oh wait, they did!! Not like you can buy $30 scratch off tickets at every gas station, oh shit, we can! But sports gambling? That bad!

Same with weed, have to get medical card here but can run right over to Illinios and skip that bull shit. Luckily it just a few minute drive across the river for me! One these days we fucking moving!
Click to expand...
I feel you…had casino in Jersey but not NY….

Check DM…..sent you long azz message
 
2daBank said:
Nope, missouri in the stone ages, bunch of conservative Bible thumping jerkoffs control this state! Every state around us in every direction has it so why not let all the money it generates leave the state?!!?!! Not like we have casinos all over the place, oh wait we do!! They have to be on water tho!! That keeps it from becoming a problem!!! Not like casinos just started digging man made ponds to put them on, oh wait, they did!! Not like you can buy $30 scratch off tickets at every gas station, oh shit, we can! But sports gambling? That bad!

Same with weed, have to get medical card here but can run right over to Illinios and skip that bull shit. Luckily it just a few minute drive across the river for me! One these days we fucking moving!
Click to expand...
Regarding lotto scratch offs…..

NY supposedly have the highest payouts at like 53-55 % payback on a Book of scratch offs.

When I was working at my dad store selling lotto tickets, I have customers buying them by the book. Asians are crazy when it comes to gambling. A book of $30 scratch offs gets back the better payouts not including the big prizes. $1500 gets you back somewhere between $800-900. A book of set for life ( 50 tickets at $10 = $500 ) gets you back at least $265. This does not include the occasional $100 ,$500 prizes.

Don’t know what the odds are now since my dad retired during the pandemic.
 
2daBank said:
Kremer ov 3.5 k’s only k prop I played. I was 2 min from playing cobb till I realized it was 100 degrees in la with stiff wind out!! Fuck that!

San Fran has seen nothing but lefties this series, they tend to do ok vs Kershaw, over 1.5 at +105 I thought had to take a shot.
Click to expand...
NO intereest in Luis in Seattle? He's got 14K in 42 abs vs W Sox hitters....small sample size...over 6.5 -143
 
2daBank said:
Mfers have only scored more than 8 like 1 time in last few months at least and they just happen to do it to my pitcher in 4 innings???? Something going on!
Click to expand...
Looks like same story today except Strider is not even through the 1st inning with 32 pitches, bullpen already warming up...
 
How bout them Rox!!!!

And don’t look now but San Fran somehow got 2 in 5th!!!! WOOT WOOT. Thought that was toast! All it takes a bloop and a blast!!
 
Marsski said:
NO intereest in Luis in Seattle? He's got 14K in 42 abs vs W Sox hitters....small sample size...over 6.5 -143
Click to expand...

Sorry bro. I was out running errands and didn’t see till now, good call! He mowed down the 1st 7 or so didn’t he?
 
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