Wednesday Discussion Thread

[VirginiaCavs]

Aug 3 Wed 2022

12:20 PM
901	Philadelphia PhilliesZ. Wheeler -R	+1½ -180	+117	O 7½ -110
902	Atlanta BravesC. Morton -R	-1½ +160	-127	U 7½ -110

01:05 PM
917	Seattle MarinersL. Castillo -R	+1½ -145	+160	O 7½ +110
918	New York YankeesG. Cole -R	-1½ +125	-174	U 7½ -130

01:10 PM
919	Detroit TigersT. Alexander -L	+1½ -115	+186	O 8½ -113
920	Minnesota TwinsJ. Ryan -R	-1½ -105	-203	U 8½ -107

02:05 PM
921	Baltimore OriolesK. Bradish -R	+1½ -155	+134	O 8 -115
922	Texas RangersM. Perez -L	-1½ +135	-145	U 8 -105

02:10 PM
923	Kansas City RoyalsB. Singer -R	+1½ -150	+134	O 8½ -105
924	Chicago White SoxL. Lynn -R	-1½ +130	-145	U 8½ -115

04:05 PM
903	New York MetsC. Bassitt -R	-1½ -150	-232	O 9 -120
904	Washington NationalsA. Sanchez -R	+1½ +130	+209	U 9 +100

06:40 PM
905	Cincinnati RedsM. Minor -L	+1½ -128	+179	O 7 -102
906	Miami MarlinsS. Alcantara -R	-1½ +108	-195	U 7 -118

07:45 PM
909	Chicago CubsJ. Steele -L	+1½ -140	+148	O 8 -115
910	St. Louis CardinalsM. Mikolas -R	-1½ +120	-160	U 8 -105

09:45 PM
913	Los Angeles DodgersJ. Urias -L	-1½ +105	-149	O 7½ -120
914	San Francisco GiantsA. Cobb -R	+1½ -125	+138	U 7½ +100

 

[Coolslaw1]

unda NYY

 

[EL CAPO]

unda NYY

agree....seattle run line and ml at plus value should have value if it's a low scoring game as well

like lot of dogs correlated with under - wheeler looks like the better pitcher in the phillies braves game... pirates, cubs

 

[2daBank]

I did a 3 team RR with

Kikuchi ov 5.5 k’s
Castillo ov 5.5
Bradish ov 4.5 k’s

 

[2daBank]

I guess books have had bout enough of us crushing them when lefties pitch against the fish! They seriously hung a 5.5 for freaking Mike minor! He of the 8% swinging strike, 7ish k’s per 9, and has hit 6+ k’s all of 2x in 10 starts this year!!! If I had any balls or faith in fish I would play this under but I havnt played one k prop under all year and this way has worked so just gonna leave it alone.

 

[2daBank]

I guess books have had bout enough of us crushing them when lefties pitch against the fish! They seriously hung a 5.5 for freaking Mike minor! He of the 8% swinging strike, 7ish k’s per 9, and has hit 6+ k’s all of 2x in 10 starts this year!!! If I had any balls or faith in fish I would play this under but I havnt played one k prop under all year and this way has worked so just gonna leave it alone.

He did fan 8 vs pirates who I think are incredibly similar to how bad they stink against lhp. So I guess it possible he fans 6+ here but no way could I bet that. Be nice if fish blew him up/didn’t strike out at all so maybe they don’t go so overboard with the next lefty who faces the fish k prop.

 

[chipnotized]

I guess books have had bout enough of us crushing them when lefties pitch against the fish! They seriously hung a 5.5 for freaking Mike minor! He of the 8% swinging strike, 7ish k’s per 9, and has hit 6+ k’s all of 2x in 10 starts this year!!! If I had any balls or faith in fish I would play this under but I havnt played one k prop under all year and this way has worked so just gonna leave it alone.

Yeah, it looks like you've milked that cow dry banker!

It's just my game to tackle the Under on Minor...5.5 k's -136

 

[2daBank]

Yeah, it looks like you've milked that cow dry banker!

It's just my game to tackle the Under on Minor...5.5 k's -136

I think it the right play, one these days maybe I’ll try a few unders but when I did this in other sports it didn’t ever work out very often, not that I tried very much. I even found what I thought was a bit a tell with nba 3 point props and the under did hit quite a bit In those spots, but when I sacked up and played one it inevitably lost. lol. Hope you cash it!!

 

[2daBank]

Freaking Kikuchi falling apart on me. He was so clean thru 2 with 4k’s, now in 3rd he hits a guy and walks a guy, ugh! This why I usually fade him but he has owned tampa and has strikeout stuff so had to play it. Just hope he gets this corrected and not run from game early!

 

[chipnotized]

I think it the right play, one these days maybe I’ll try a few unders but when I did this in other sports it didn’t ever work out very often, not that I tried very much. I even found what I thought was a bit a tell with nba 3 point props and the under did hit quite a bit In those spots, but when I sacked up and played one it inevitably lost. lol. Hope you cash it!!

Thanks brother.

What are we doing with Lynn this afternoon? I see 6.5 slightly juiced to the Under. Will his tumbly be rumbly around lunchtime? Or did he polish off a few stacks at IHOP for brunch?

 

[2daBank]

Thanks brother.

What are we doing with Lynn this afternoon? I see 6.5 slightly juiced to the Under. Will his tumbly be rumbly around lunchtime? Or did he polish off a few stacks at IHOP for brunch?

I like the over 17.5 outs better than k’s. Kc not a real high strikeout team to be needing 7. I think he have to go 6+ Innings to hit the k’s anyways. Little worried tho, i havnt looked yet but if memory serves me right lynn never been great in day starts, have to look.

 

[KJ]

I guess books have had bout enough of us crushing them when lefties pitch against the fish! They seriously hung a 5.5 for freaking Mike minor! He of the 8% swinging strike, 7ish k’s per 9, and has hit 6+ k’s all of 2x in 10 starts this year!!! If I had any balls or faith in fish I would play this under but I havnt played one k prop under all year and this way has worked so just gonna leave it alone.

This version of Fish -200 is laughable even if Cy Young himself was pitching.

 

[2daBank]

Thank god for tampa for some reason adding Siri from Stros, he a freaking automatic k every time around! Leave it to him to let Kikuchi out the inning with his 2nd k in 2 AB’s! Lol. 5 down 1 to go!!!

 

[2daBank]

This version of Fish -200 is laughable even if Cy Young himself was pitching.

Especially against a lhp. I don’t expect minor to fan 6+ but I imagine he pitches a pretty solid game.

 

[2daBank]

Maybe If Alcantara was on 5 days rest where he been untouchable but on 4 no way I’d lay that.

 

[2daBank]

Wow. Seattle busting Cole head!!

 

[2daBank]

Are France and Rodriguez both hurt for seattle?

 

[2daBank]

I hope Castillo as jacked up as seattle hitters seem to be!!

 

[2daBank]

4 runs and no outs for Cole!!

 

[KJ]

I hope Castillo as jacked up as seattle hitters seem to be!!

Should be. Guy gets to pitch in the post season most likely. SEA is that team I love on the road too...kinda like when SF and SD go to Coors or Chase. Hitting seems to be a lot easier once they leave home.

SF is still a project now after the runs have improved there the last couple years but think you get my point.

 

[2daBank]

Cole getting booed! lol

 

[2daBank]

Should be. Guy gets to pitch in the post season most likely. SEA is that team I love on the road too...kinda like when SF and SD go to Coors or Chase. Hitting seems to be a lot easier once they leave home.

SF is still a project now after the runs have improved there the last couple years but think you get my point.

Never really thought bout that with seattle but makes total sense.

 

[2daBank]

Mfers didbt hit much of anything in Houston for me tho!!

 

[2daBank]

Ppl walking into yanks game late are like “wtf” and turning around to leave! Lol

 

[2daBank]

Fucking Kikuchi didn’t fan anyone that inning??? Ugh. Need him to get to Siri again before he gets yanked

 

[2daBank]

How the hell is Matt carpenter mashing with a 1.100 ops or something crazy? Dude was awful while he stole a big check from us last few years here!!

 

[2daBank]

Holy shit Castillo takes a long freaking time between each pitch!

 

[KJ]

Did Ohtani o8.5 k's/Snell I 17.5 outs at +182