Wednesday December 5

SF_capper

SF_capper

CTG addict
Philly +10 (+110)- 1 unit push
Cleveland +10- 1 unit lose
Charlotte pk- 1 unit lose
Phoenix 1st H -4.5 (-120)- .25 unit win
New Orleans pk (+110)- 1.25 units lose
Houston 1st H -6.5 (-120)- 1.5 units win
Houston -10.5 (+100)- 3.25 units win
San Antonio +3 (+110)- 1 unit win
1st H Denver -5 (-120)- 2 units lose
Denver -8.5- 4 units
Denver 2nd H (-120) -7- 7 units
Golden State 1st H -6.5 (-120)- 10.25 units
Golden State -10.5- 5.25 units

so far
6-6-1
+2.85 units

had a pretty decent day yesterday. Woulda loved to see Utah pull it out, but they didn't. Sacramento somewhat reminds me of GS.. more a poor mans GS that seems to be yet found out of. Looking to bet them often at home.

a couple spots I like 2m, but looks like the linemakers saw the same as I did, and will likely get less value than I expected

Charlotte -2ish vs Chicago

Chicago should be big public bet. After the circus trip, they haven't been playing too poorly- beating Charlotte and Atlanta pretty badly, then staying with Dallas. However, they are back on the road- and imo will be back to their problems. The line pretty much tells you what to expect. Chicago just beat them on saturday 111-95, outboarding them 48-24. I think rebounds are a sign of trying and determination, and Charlotte should be more motivated tonight. Chicago was on Saturday needing a W at home for their first b2b Ws. Charlotte been looking pretty badly, but now get home. can never be too wrong fading Chicago on the road

be back in a bit with semi-writeups, but other leans are: Washington, Jersey, Houston, SA, Denver, and GS.

revenge is big in my capping: wash with playoff revenge, Houston with revenge from earlier this yr loss to Memphis and off 2 losses, SA off revenge from earlier loss this yr at Dallas, Denver with the big TNT revenge game.

Jersey as a NY fade on the road, without Marbury?

GS off a loss, Milwaukee off big W tonight.

those are the keys just in case I don't get the time to post more extensive
 
Last edited:
thanks guys

Washington -? vs Cleveland

Playoff revenge for Wash. Actually ironically really playoff revnge as Arenas didnt play the playoffs, so this team was led by Butler/Jamison in the playoffs to lose to this Cavs team. Cleveland will likely be without lebron again. Hate to bet against injuries (by principle), but would play this at the shorter number with bron in even. Cavs not too great a road team, and now without their leader. IMO lebron is MVP material. (meaning he is VERY VALUABLE) without him, this team cannot get it together. Without him, cleveland has now lost 4 times in a row albeit to pretty good eastern teams (NJ, Boston, Toronto, Detroit) I think this is another one to add to the list. expect a result similiar to NJ's last night. Wash off a win, which is pretty good cuz they get on streaks. Wash with plenty rest and motivation, Cavs on b2b
 
Jersey -7 vs NY

twice in one day betting essentially against injury. NY likely without Stephon, their point position is a a situation. worse problems- that PG will be going up against hall-of-famer Jason Kidd. NY on the road is a problem anyway, now they're without their only PG? although they should rally, I don't beliee this is the situation. better chance to get the W (and line value) in the home2home coming against Philly after this game. NJ needa get on a roll
 
Houston -9 vs Memphis

shit just realized I posted all chalk. oh well. Houston off 2 losses and some rest. Only home game in a while for them. Earlier this yr, Memphis beat Houston as home doggs. Don't think that'll happen tonight. Houston papers talkin about how the players are just not steppin up, Tmac callin the role players out. Houston is waay better than their record implies (as well as this line). Houston should bring a lot of effort in this one. Hopefully I'm not wrong about them. Houston by 15+
 
SF_capper said:
Jersey -7 vs NY

twice in one day betting essentially against injury. NY likely without Stephon, their point position is a a situation. worse problems- that PG will be going up against hall-of-famer Jason Kidd. NY on the road is a problem anyway, now they're without their only PG? although they should rally, I don't beliee this is the situation. better chance to get the W (and line value) in the home2home coming against Philly after this game. NJ needa get on a roll
Click to expand...

I love our diff perspectives it is what makes this board great. First off I am a Knicks fan but an objective one. The Nets should def win tommorow but it wont be because of pg pla or knicks on the road. Playing in that dump 10 minutes away from the Garden is hardly considered the road and there will be as many Knicks fans in there as Nets. Hard to predict this game because the Knicks without Steph actually play better. The team really doesnt like him and it gives more time to Fred Jones who has been putting up numbers when playing. Im taking the over because the side wont be as easy as people think
 
Knicks fan as well - even tho there might be Knicks fans, how happy do you think they re with this team. I am not going to any games this year, b/c I'm disgusted with Dolan, Thomas, and the whole mess - it's one thing to have a shit team (i'm starting to get used to it), but the whole dysfunctional circus that is going on is pissing me off, and that there is nothing being done about it.

Also have to remember how much the Nets love to beat up on the Knicks if they can, the Nets have been better than the Knicks for so long now, and they still get more pub than them, it pisses them off - all that being said, I won't lay 9 w/ Nj, but I am looking into putting them into a ML parlay

gun to head - Nets and lay the pts


gl tonight sf, enjoy your posts -
 
GL SF. Don't let what anybody else is doing affect what you're game is about. Always love reading your thoughts.
 
Horus said:
I love our diff perspectives it is what makes this board great. First off I am a Knicks fan but an objective one. The Nets should def win tommorow but it wont be because of pg pla or knicks on the road. Playing in that dump 10 minutes away from the Garden is hardly considered the road and there will be as many Knicks fans in there as Nets. Hard to predict this game because the Knicks without Steph actually play better. The team really doesnt like him and it gives more time to Fred Jones who has been putting up numbers when playing. Im taking the over because the side wont be as easy as people think
Click to expand...

agreed the other players will be more determined to show they don't need steph, I know they hate him, but I'm saying that despite how much they'll want to, Fred Jones at PG cannot get it done. Just my IMO, could be wrong. we'll see
 
Also have to remember how much the Nets love to beat up on the Knicks if they can, the Nets have been better than the Knicks for so long now, and they still get more pub than them, it pisses them off - all that being said, I won't lay 9 w/ Nj, but I am looking into putting them into a ML parlay

never thought of this. seems goos though. good shit
 
the Wash line just may be high enough to get me off of it. value is with Cleveland no doubt.. what would this line be with LBJ in?
 
trying to read this wash line... on one side... they could be throwing out this high line to screw those who automatically fade Cleveland w/o Lebron in which I'll be the sucker

or to get people off Wash cuz they know Wash will destroy Cleveland

in a neutral situation with Bron I'd say Cavs are -2 over wash, add in home field so its wash -1, take out bron (say 5 pts?) and thats -6 wash.... uhh throw in wash w playoff revenge and that worth what? probably overhtinking this one. Probably best to stay away
 
cool my sportsbook.com account funded me 100 dollars (.5 unit) just checked it, no idea why, but can't complain.. bad odds, but I like it

ML Parley: Houston, Denver, GS- 100 to win 72.35

not gonna keep it in my record here, but if this hits, I'll have 172.35 in my account. gonna do a little MDF with this :)
 
played New Orleans

gonna play a couple .25 unit bets. my friend don't have a bookie and calls in thru me. He plays 50 a game and my bookie only takes whole numbers, so eh
 
Denver 2nd H is very pretty. Lakers shooting fucking 7-15 3s. As expected, Lakers cannot guard AI. They were saying Kobe will have to guard him 2nd H-- fine with me
 
Milwaukee joyful off that W, and a bit tired. GS will come out fuckin blazin off a home loss. Each player has his own motivation to do so. Jackson- last game 1st H had 0 points. blamin himself. Baron shot like crap and fouled out leavin his team at end of 4th and couldn't help in OT. Monta missed the FT with 20 secs in regulation that would've made their lead 3, then with 13 seconds left he just dribbled it out and shot the 3 and pretty much just asked for OT, then missed a clutch layup in OT. Kelenna blames himself for letting Bogans get that 3 in OT that pretty much closed the door for GS. Expect them to come out damn near perfect
 
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