Wednesday 02/13/13 NBA discussion thread

[divol]

[TABLE="class: linesTbl, width: 934"]
<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px;">[TR="class: linesHeader"]
[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL BASKETBALL - WED 2/13[/h][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesColumns"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Wed 2/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]701[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Atlanta Hawks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-3 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 197 1.943[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]702[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Orlando Magic[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+3 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 197 1.962[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Wed 2/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]709[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Washington Wizards[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+2 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 188 1.980[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]710[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Detroit Pistons[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-2 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 188 1.926[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Wed 2/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]711[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Toronto Raptors[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+8.5 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 197.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]712[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]New York Knicks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-8.5 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 197.5 1.952[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Wed 2/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]713[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Chicago Bulls[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+1 1.909[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 183 1.926[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]714[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Boston Celtics[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-1 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 183 1.980[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Wed 2/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]715[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Utah Jazz[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Offline[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Offline[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Offline[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]716[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Minnesota Timberwolves[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Offline[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Offline[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Offline[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Wed 2/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]717[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Portland Trail Blazers [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 192.5 1.926[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]718[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]New Orleans Hornets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 192.5 1.980[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Wed 2/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]719[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Philadelphia 76ers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 195.5 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]05:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]720[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Milwaukee Bucks [/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 195.5 1.909[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Wed 2/13[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]721[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sacramento Kings[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+10.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 209 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]05:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]722[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Dallas Mavericks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-10.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 209 1.952[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]

 

[MoneyStacks]

Pistons.

 

[divol]

Boston, Dallas, mega battle in Milwaukee, so Sixers +5 seems decent, Portland ML - at least first thoughts...

 

[165yds]

Lean Sixers and Raps. Chandler is as important as any player on that team, Toronto should have easy looks. How do you bet the Bucks? They're the East version of GS right now, they'll try and regroup after the break. Just hope have decent refs. Two huge dog refs covered in Toronto and Memphis, one of the main reasons I backed off both teams.

 

[divol]

Chicago falls under one of my favorite BC's angles:
East - 2nd game back on the Road as a Dog vs Conf teams: 31-54

Clips falls under BC's angle as well:
vs Conf teams as a Fav ..............................<wbr>... 25-28-1

 

[emkee]

Dogs 12-2 ATS last 2 days...

 

[tuck321]

Pistons.

Very interesting choice. How does the song go

But suicide is painless
It brings on many changes
And I can take or leave it
If I please

 

[tuck321]

Chicago away on Wednesday

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[TD="class: TSN1a, width: 100%, align: center"][/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="class: TSN1b, width: 100%, align: center"]Chicago away vs any opponent in any month on Wednesday[/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 100%, align: left"] [/TD]

[TD="width: 100%"]

<tbody>
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 12%"]Date[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 25%"]Opponent[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]Score[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]SU[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]Line[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]ATS[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 10%, align: center"]O/U[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]01/30/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Milwaukee[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]104-88[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+1.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 191 [/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]01/16/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Toronto[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]107-105[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]-4.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]O 183.5 [/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]01/02/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Orlando[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]96-94[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]-3 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 184 [/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]12/12/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Philadelphia[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]96-89[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+2 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]O 180.5 [/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]12/05/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Cleveland[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]95-85[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]-3.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]U 184 [/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]11/21/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Houston[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]89-93[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+1 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 192.5 [/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]11/14/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Phoenix[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]112-106[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]-2.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 190.5 [/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]04/25/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Indiana[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]92-87[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]-2.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 188.5 [/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]04/18/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Charlotte[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]100-68[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]-12.5 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]U 179.5 [/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]03/28/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Atlanta[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]98-77[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]-4 [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W [/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 181.5 [/TD]

</tbody>

[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 100%"] [/TD]

</tbody>

 

[tuck321]

2 early bets
1 unit Washington plus 2
2 units Hornets minus 5
The first bet was strong and yet I played the second bet for twice as much.
Good night

 

[divol]

Why Hornets?

Portland need a win badly. They decent in B2B spots on the road, they won 5 of the last 6 against Hornets, Hornets have great ATS on the road, but suck at home.

 

[tuck321]

Portland on the road last 10
2 wins vs Minn
Portland on the road on Wednesday
[TABLE="align: center"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="align: left"][TABLE="align: center"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="align: left"]

<tbody>
[TD="class: TSN1, align: left"][/TD]

[TD="width: 100%"]

<tbody>
[TD="class: TSN1c"]Date[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 25%"]Opponent[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]Score[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]SU[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]Line[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]ATS[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 10%, align: center"]O/U[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]02/06/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Dallas[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]99-105[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 201[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]01/02/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Toronto[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]79-102[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+4[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 192[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]12/05/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Indiana[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]92-99[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+4[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 186.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]11/28/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Washington[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]82-84[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]-3[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 193.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]11/21/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Phoenix[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]87-114[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+2[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 200.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]03/14/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at New York[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]79-121[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+5.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]O 199.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]03/07/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Minnesota[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]94-106[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+1[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 195.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]02/29/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Denver[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]95-104[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+2.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 201.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]02/15/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Golden State[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]93-91[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]U 198[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]01/25/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Golden State[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]93-101[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+3.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]O 192.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]01/18/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Atlanta[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]89-92[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+2[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]U 184.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]04/13/2011[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Golden State[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]86-110[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+4[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 202.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]03/30/2011[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at New Orleans[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]91-95[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]-2[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 181[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]03/02/2011[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Sacramento[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]107-102[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]-3.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]O 196[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]02/02/2011[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Denver[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]90-109[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+8.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]U 203.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]01/19/2011[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Sacramento[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]94-90[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]-1[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 196.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]01/05/2011[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Houston[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]103-100[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 195[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]12/15/2010[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at Dallas[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]98-103[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+6.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]O 184[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]12/01/2010[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]at Boston[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]95-99[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+7[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 187[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]10/27/2010[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]at LA Clippers[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]98-88[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]-3[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 191.5[/TD]

</tbody>

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<tbody>
[TD="class: TSN1c"]Records[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 50%"]Points[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 50%"]Straight Up: 5-15
Against the Spread: 7-13[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 50%"]Home PF - 0 (0.0)
Home PA - 0 (0.0)
Away PF - 1844 (92.2)
Away PA - 2015 (100.8)[/TD]

</tbody>

[/TD]

</tbody>

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I am not impressed by this
Hornets on Wednesday have covered last 5
Hornets last 10 are 6-4 ATS. Portland last 10 3-7 ATS
Portland with 0 rest 7-5
Hornets on 1 days rest 17-10 ATS
You make these glib statements about the Hornets at home when they were buried with injuries most of the season.
Hornets at home last 10

<tbody>
[TD="class: TSN1b, align: center"][/TD]

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<tbody>
[TD="class: TSN1c"]Date[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 25%"]Opponent[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]Score[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]SU[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]Line[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 8%, align: center"]ATS[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1c, width: 10%, align: center"]O/U[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]02/06/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]vs. Phoenix[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]93-84[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]-6.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]U 194.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]01/25/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]vs. Houston[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]82-100[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]-2.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 201[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]01/21/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]vs. Sacramento[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]114-105[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]-5.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 193.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]01/19/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]vs. Golden State[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]112-116[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]-5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]O 188[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]01/11/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]vs. Minnesota[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]104-92[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]-2.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 182[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]01/09/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]vs. Houston[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]88-79[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+2.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 200[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]01/07/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]vs. San Antonio[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]95-88[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]+8[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]W[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]U 193.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]01/01/2013[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]vs. Atlanta[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]86-95[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+2[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 186.5[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN5, width: 12%, align: left"]12/28/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 25%"]vs. Toronto[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]97-104[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]-3[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN5, width: 10%, align: center"]O 183[/TD]

[TD="class: TSN1, width: 12%, align: left"]12/22/2012[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 25%"]vs. Indiana[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]75-81[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]+3.5[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 8%, align: center"]L[/TD]
[TD="class: TSN1, width: 10%, align: center"]U 179[/TD]

</tbody>

[/TD]

</tbody>

I guess I think your remarks about them as a home team are a little silly.
They have an elite point guard and they have a team that when healthy plays very hard. This year when they have won a game they have covered all but 1 game.
And you know what. They are VERY SICK AND TIRED OF PORTLAND.
I think Divol that your idea of betting Portland money line is more than a little silly.
I like to bet on teams I respect who play well. Hornets fit that perfectly.
I think if you had actually spent time on this game instead of firing out a million leans which I find terrible to start with then You would not have have talked about Portland ML.
Instead I had to look at that.
Oh of course I had to look at the Detroit pick which actually has some logic and could win but when you are betting against the best ATS team in the NBA who is playing super and riding a 14 game revenge ride against teams that beat them in Washington is pretty lame.
Maybe before you fire out a lot of leans you should THINK. This is not publish or perish. I am trying to pick plays that make sense.
I am happy to listen to ideas that have been thought out. I did not see that today.

 

[divol]

Pistons suggestion wasn't mine.
As far as Portland goes, you convinced me to play Portland.
I respect you, but you have zero logic behind your NOH support and win or lose, this is a bad play.
You show me 5 - 5 ATS at home like this is a great accomplishment and interestingly enough, they are 3 - 3 SU as favorites in that sample you showed me.
So 50% chance on 3.00 odds. Yeah, I must be silly...

They are 0 - 3 SU and ATS at home as favorites against teams that still have something to play for - Rockets, Raptors and Warriors.
They are 3 - 0 ATS as favorites against teams that couldn't care less about this season like Wolves, Suns and Kings.

You know, you can play the Hornets. Sometimes bad plays win as well, so who knows, maybe you're get lucky.
Too bad you don't think straight and don't use your brain making some plays...

 

[165yds]

Hate the Raps and Sixers, think the Knicks will rebound and Minny should take Utah out.

 

[nbafan88]

I love it when tuck posts at 3 am.

 

[nbafan88]

The raptors are playing so much better than the Knicks right now. I still can't get the quote from woodson out of my head after the clippers loss. He said that the team is playing like they don't trust each other and the cohesiveness isn't there. I can't seem to find the quote anywhere

 

[D-Woww]

teams like the raptors, sixers, and wolves are best not bet on. not saying always bet agaisnt them, but fade them in spots that you like but just don't play them ever. you can never trust them to show up.

 

[D-Woww]

and yeah, the raptors are one more good win away from getting out of that group in my mind.

 

[raems]

legit question--do the raps fly back home after tonight? because if not, a streaking team facing a slumping team, with the raps getting the night in nyc to kick off their all star breaks, that's a spot that the knicks should run away in.

 

[Dollaz]

I don't see how anyone bets against washington right now. They are rested and after tonight have 6 games off. They got crushed by Detroit back to back nights in late December.

Since Wall came back they are 10-7 straight up and 14-3 ATS. Loses straight up were @SA, @MEm, @Phil, @Utah, @LAC, @Sac, and home to Sac.

Im not sure that I will wager on that game at all, but I think it is crazy to fade Washington right now. They are rested, healthy, and have no reason not to give max effort tonight. They are also the better team at this point.

 

[nbafan88]

I really don't think the raps went out partying last night in nyc

 

[nbafan88]

Rudy Yag averages 23.7 last 3 at MSG. Landry Fields first game back at the garden

 

[chancedog]

Boston - 1
Revenge spot for Boston 2 teams that do not really like each other. Tough schedule spot for Chicago 6 road games in a row, 1 game at home and then on the road again at Boston. Boston comming off a 6-1 marking losing to CHAR in a game they should of won last time out. Celtics still in circle the wagons mode regarding injuries

 

[nbafan88]

Definite flat spot for Chicago. Gonna wait and see what the line does. It opened at 2.5

 

[MoneyStacks]

I know IceMan had a thread like this in the football thread:

Fade if 52% of public is on the DOG: with that said, play on
Pistons, Hornets, Wolves, Clippers

 

[165yds]

Still early but crazy %'s on the Rockets right now.

 

[nbafan88]

I know IceMan had a thread like this in the football thread:

Fade if 52% of public is on the DOG: with that said, play on
Pistons, Hornets, Wolves, Clippers

That does not work in the nba. Trust me. You can do so when the dog is receiving 66% or higher. Which is a rare occurrence but it's money.

 

[nbafan88]

Spurs went from -2.5 to -7 at Cleveland with the news of Duncan, ginobli, and Parker returning tonight.

 

[IvyinBarondise]

Pop decided to lift the veil on the three "injuries" that had his big three getting some nice rest w/o the possibility of additional fines...

Duncan- ankle/knee/old age injury? ahhhh let him play he's tired of pretending
Parker- sore whatever sounds the best? ahhhh let him play he's not even old yet
Ginobli- strained everything? yup he's beat up...but he wants to play with his friends, let him play tonight...

news? SAS OVER....fuck the side guys...take the OVER

 

[MoneyStacks]

That does not work in the nba. Trust me. You can do so when the dog is receiving 66% or higher. Which is a rare occurrence but it's money.

Currently, 65% on Wizards and 73% on Rockets

 

[nbafan88]

52% on wizards, 69% on rockets. I will definitely be on the clippers regardless of the percentages. The team is back to trending upwards

 

[tuck321]

Tend to agree on Clippers. Team does know they are playing 4 in 5 vs Lakers next day

 

[tuck321]

HH[TABLE="class: tborder, width: 0, align: center"]
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[TD="class: thead"] #1

Today, 01:47 PM
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Happy Hippo 1.20.09

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 3,544

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[TD="class: alt1"] Wednesday

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ATS: 124-87-6 (+44.8)
OU: 67-59-2 (+0.8)
ML dogs: 5-8 (+3.6)


I have been revising chemistry papers pretty much non-stop in my waking hours for the last two days, so didn't have time to post... hope everyone had a good run! Lot's of text here, so pardon if I made any mistakes.


How does the all-star break affect teams? One would think that those participating in the events this weekend may already be a bit mentally checked out... This could be especially relevant for road weary teams, and one very special team from Houston that will be hosting the events. I’m sure there are plenty of parties and other festivities to think about. Trends seem to support this mentality. Since the 2005 season, road teams playing in their last game before the all-star break are 21-41 SU (-6.4 ppg) and 15-38-1 ATS (Houston, Denver, Toronto, Portland, Sacramento, Utah). If you add in the fact that none of these teams are rested, the trend sharpens to 12-34 SU (-7.4) and 12-33-1 ATS. In conference games, where the opponent may be even more concentrated on getting a win, these teams are 7-31 SU (-9.2 ppg) and 6-31-1 ATS (Houston, Toronto, Portland, Sacramento, Utah). Finally, teams playing on the road on no rest that are coming off a home game are 2-17 SU (-10.8 ppg) and 2-17 ATS against rested opponents before the all star break (Toronto, Utah). Of course, these trends greatly influenced my thinking today, so hopefully they hold true!!


Minnesota Timberwolves

Utah may have a hard time concentrating today after a huge win against the Thunder last night. Teams coming off a home win against a team with a 70% or greater winning record are just 3-13 SU (-10.1 ppg) and 5-11 ATS when playing on no rest as a road dog against a team with a losing record. Utah’s personal lack of mental toughness is reflected in the fact that they are just 3-7 SU and ATS in the last three seasons following a SU win as a dog when playing on no rest.

Since the 2005 season, teams seeking home revenge for a double digit road loss are 55-20 SU (+7.5) and 45-28 ATS when they are coming off a road win and their opponent is coming off a home game. The Wolves are due for a good stretch - I don’t think they are nearly as bad as their record indicates, and they can get it going tonight against a comparable team.


New Orleans Hornets

Since the 2003 season, teams playing as a home favorite coming off a road game that they won by double digits are 120-21 SU (-11.3 ppg) and 82-58-1 ATS against a team coming off a road game that they lost by double digits. If their opponent is unrested, the trend sharpens to 49-7 SU (+13.1 ppg) and 36-20 ATS.

Teams playing on the road in at least their third road game are 21-65 SU (-7.3 ppg) when playing on no rest in the last game of a road trip since the 2001 season when they failed to cover at least their last two games. Portland has had a tough schedule as of late, playing three really good teams in their last four, and their defensive lapses have been increasingly noticeable by game to game. I don’t see them recovering any poise in this game, playing on no rest against a team that recently has liked to push the pace. Lillard may be looking forward to his first all star experience in the rookie challenge, and after last night’s fourth quarter debacle, I don’t see them getting up for this one.


Brooklyn Nets

The Nuggets are playing their fourth game in five days, all on the road. They are coming off a running game against the Cavs, then a triple overtime game, and finally a one possession loss to the Raptors. In other words, they have played super hard in all three. I like to fade road teams that lost SU but covered the spread in their last two road games, because it reflects their effort with no reward. If Jason Terry hadn’t thrown in a last second meaningless bucket in the Celtics game, the Nugs would have pushed that, but for propriety’s sake, I built the trend this way - teams coming off two road losses where they won or lost ATS by less than 2 as dogs are 22-91 SU (-9.1 ppg) and 43-68-2 ATS when playing on no rest when playing on the road.


Philadelphia 76ers

The Sixers will try to seek revenge for two losses this season on the road today against the struggling Bucks, who are 1-6 SU and 0-7 ATS in their last seven. Both of these teams have struggled offensively. Teams coming off of three games where they shot less than 42% from the field are 50-79 SU (-3.1 ppg) and 75-52-2 ATS (average line -5.2) on the road when both they and their opponent are coming off a loss. Sometimes, teams need a change of scenery to break out of a shooting slump.

The Bucks don’t get this change of scenery for their recent offensive woes. They rely too heavily on jump shooting. Their inside presence is lacking. This season, they are 7-18 SU and 6-18 ATS if they shoot less than 50% from the field and are outscored in the paint. This has happened in 9 of their last 14 games, and 10 out of 17 under Boylan. Tonight they will face a Philly squad that is the fifth best in the league at defending the paint, and they give up only 44.8% from the field on average. The Sixers are coming off a horrible defensive outing vs. the Clippers, where they allowed them to shoot over 55% from the field. The Sixers have been in this spot already once before in this season, and in the next game they won by 19 as a dog and only allowed their opponent to score 80 points on 39.2% from the field. Teams playing as a road dog against a team that shot worse than 40% from the field in their last game, when they allowed better than 55% are 26-15-1 ATS (expect a better defensive effort). This game is going to come down to who can play better defense, and I think that Philly is up to the task.


Dallas Mavericks

Teams playing their fourth game in 5 nights since the 2001 season on no rest as a road dog are 8-47 SU (-10.3 ppg) and 20-31-4 ATS after a game as a road dog where they lost but covered the spread. In these games, they give up an average of 104 ppg.

Teams that beat an opponent on the road already in the same season are 42-5 SU (+12.6 ppg) and 30-17 ATS since the 2009 season, averaging 106 ppg, when playing as a home favorite against an unrested opponent that gave up over 100 points in their last game. When teams are playing their third game of the season as a home favorite when they won the last two matchups and scored more than 110 points in each are 63-11 SU (+12.3 ppg) and 43-28-3 ATS, scoring 113.8 ppg, since the 2001 season. If you add in that they are coming off a loss as a favorite, teams are 13-0 SU (+14.8 ppg) and 8-3-2 ATS.

The Mavericks as a home favorite this season are 8-1 SU (+12.1 ppg) and 6-3 ATS when playing an unrested opponent, averaging 108.8 ppg. The Kings on no rest this season as a road dog give up 106.4 ppg. Teams that average over 100 ppg are 85-18 SU (+12.1 ppg) and 62-39-2 ATS as a home favorite since the 2009 season when their opponent is unrested and coming off two games where they gave up over 100 points in each, scoring an average of 108.5 ppg.

Teams that average more than 100 points per game on the season are 16-2 SU (+12.2 ppg) and 14-4 ATS since the 2010 season when playing as a home favorite against an unrested opponent that is on a three or more game OVER streak (these games are also 4-14 UNDER). Since the 2008 season, teams in this situation have averaged 108 ppg.

Teams that have covered their last three games are 4-13 SU (-11.3 ppg) and 8-25-2 ATS since the 2005 season when playing as a road dog on no rest after a road loss, when their next game is at home, giving up an average of 106.4 ppg. The Kings on the road are just 1-13 SU (-16.6) and 4-9-1 ATS, giving up 110.7 ppg since the 2008 season when playing on no rest. I believe that playing on no rest is a lot harder for younger teams that older teams, because it speaks more to mental than physical toughness, which is why teams like the Kings struggle while teams like the Spurs have better success.

I expect Dallas to score easily...and a lot of points tonight.


Los Angeles Clippers

Teams before the all start break playing on no rest when their opponent still has one more game before the break are 1-10 SU (-14.5 ppg) and 1-10 ATS (mentally checked out, while their opponent is still engaged) since the 2000 season. As a dog, teams are -17.2 ppg, with no wins. The Clippers will play the Lakers tomorrow, and teams playing their first of back to back games at home before the all-star break are 9-1 SU (+13 ppg) and 8-2 ATS when their opponent is playing their last game before the break. Since the 2000 season, teams coming off of two double digit covers on the road are 41-2 SU (+12.5 ppg) and 28-14-1 ATS when playing as a home favorite of 8 or more. In other words, they are playing great, and this carries over to a big home win.

The Rockets are just 1-6 SU and ATS on the road this year when they score less than 95 points, and they are averaging only 96.3 ppg on no rest on the road this year, which is 6.3 points under their road average. The Clippers play great defense at home, only allowing opponents 92.4 ppg, and I think they will be up to the task of holding the Rockets under 95 tonight.


Mavericks TT OVER 109.5
Clippers -10
Wolves -2
Nets PK
Hornets -5
Philly +5.5
Wizards UNDER 191


Good luck...
__________________
We are here to laugh at the odds and live our lives so well that Death will tremble to take us. ~Bukowski~

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Today, 02:02 PM
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eeeerock Registered User

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 5,270

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[TD="class: alt1"] Well GL on the plays and appreciate the post as always.I got my eyes on Clips under and thought the side looked way off being that high,well after reading your post will be willing to lay those points.I'm also on Charl+10-,Clev +7and Port/NOR under 195. Reasoning is Clev usually plays up to their competition,I'm sure what Spurs did to Bulls and what Cavs did vs Minny is fresh in everyones mind and I will sprinkle some on Cavs ML as well,(no way they can play with this Spurs team).....Don't see all of Portlands road games going over on this trip,well they have so far and this is last game,my guess under,and how do they get up for this game when they played so well only to lose last night,I'm thinking Port TT under a good bet as well.

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Today, 02:19 PM
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HighFlyingKilla Registered User

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[TD="class: alt1"] Does it scare you that Hornets are playing 3 in 4 nights and first game back off a road trip with only 1 day rest?

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Today, 02:57 PM
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Happy Hippo 1.20.09

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[TD="class: alt1"] Quote:

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[TD="class: alt2"] Originally Posted by eeeerock Port TT under a good bet as well.
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Good luck on all...I think this one sounds real good!
__________________
We are here to laugh at the odds and live our lives so well that Death will tremble to take us. ~Bukowski~

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Today, 02:58 PM
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Happy Hippo 1.20.09

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[TD="class: alt1"] Quote:

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[TD="class: alt2"] Originally Posted by HighFlyingKilla Does it scare you that Hornets are playing 3 in 4 nights and first game back off a road trip with only 1 day rest?
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A lot of the teams I bet on tonight are playing 3 in 4...of course that is not ideal, but almost all of them are playing opponents that are on back to backs. Teams this season playing 3 in 4 against teams on b-bs are 29-21 ATS. Nothing great, but doesn't scare me away either. Teams returning off a three game road trip 100-37 SU (+6.2) and 73-62 ATS since the 2005 season when playing as a home favorite on one day rest. No advantage there, but certainly no disadvantage either. Bigger disadvantage to be on the end of six game road trip, playing a back to back. Of course, Portland is always full of surprises!

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[nbafan88]

awesome, i was leaning on the clippers, hornets, mavs, wolves, and nets :thumbsup2:

 

[tuck321]

Dallas Minn and Clippers were games I was going to look at seriously. Nets and Philadelphia I will need more time on.

 

[nbafan88]

samuel dalembert should be motivated in his start vs philly, no?

 

[austinhous]

I am sold on the Mavs team total now.

 

[tuck321]

Took Minn. Among other things looks like a stong gamelogs play as Utah away b-b after a win has been a disaster.

 

[hugh613]

samuel dalembert should be motivated in his start vs philly, no?

If you're pinning your hopes and dreams on Samuel Dalembert...

 

[tuck321]

Just a 1 unit play on Clippers. Laker situation can be looked at 2 ways. Bottom line is Clippers at home vs playoff contenders teams seem to be 12-2 ATS this year. Also Houston is just a very easy team to dislike.

 

[nbafan88]

If you're pinning your hopes and dreams on Samuel Dalembert...

oh heck no, just rambling

too big of a card to even think about looking at philly/milwaukee

 

[smh212]

samuel dalembert should be motivated in his start vs philly, no?

LOL....that was a long time ago bro. Brook Lopez should be motivated to stick that finger up Moscovs ass....no?

 

[smh212]

Anyone else agree that the Hawks suck?

 

[nbafan88]

not as much as the magic suck

 

[nbafan88]

PHILADELPHIA — Evan Turner can’t wait for the all-star break.
Only two games — a home meeting with the Clippers on Monday night and a road date with the Bucks on Wednesday — separate Turner and the Sixers from a five-day respite.
“I sure am (looking forward to it),” said Turner after Sunday’s short practice. “I’m going to the Bahamas. I have my bathing suit ready. I’m excited.”
Turner is the only Sixer to start all 49 games this season. He’s third on the team in scoring (13.7), and second in rebounds (6.7), assists (4.5) and minutes (36.2).
“(Playing so many games) tests your mind,” Turner said. “In the up-and-down moments as a unit in a main city like Philadelphia, it can get trying at times. You just need a break to rest your body and stuff.”
Turner, like many of the 22-27 Sixers, has been inconsistent. He scored 12-plus points in 17 consecutive games from Nov. 16-Dec. 18, but also had five-single digit outings in an 11-game stretch.
Turner contends it’s all about the opportunities. When taking at least 12 shots in games this season, Turner is shooting 46.6 percent and averaging 17.7 points, while the numbers drop to 32 percent and 6.2 points when he shoots 11 or fewer times. But the Sixers are only 14-18 when he gets 12 shots, compared to 8-9 when he attempts 11 or fewer.
“You need shots,” said Turner, a fourth-year pro. “That’s not hating at anybody or anything like that. Obviously, I’m gauged on if I make shots, you know? Like my man Herb Magee says, ‘You can’t make shots without taking them.’ I go and get seven shots some nights and I go the whole second half without shots and we win, to me, that’s a successful night.”
Unlike teammate Jrue Holiday, who tends to seem unaffected on the court, Turner often lets everybody see when he’s upset or frustrated. He sometimes reacts similarly away from basketball, too, whether it’s a fan giving him a hard time or hearing “crazy stuff” like an espn.com report that the Sixers may be trying to determine how much interest there is in him around the league.
“The other day, some guy was hassling me and he was like 500 pounds — he probably hadn’t run for like four years,” Turner said. “It was like, ‘Why are you hassling me? Just leave me alone.’ I like myself too much to let somebody negatively affect me.”
Sixers coach Doug Collins realizes there are times when it’s best not to question or correct Turner.
“The one thing I’ve learned to do when he gets in those places is try to say very little to him,” Collins said. “Some guys you maybe talk a little bit more and talk them through things. Evan is so hard on himself. I’ve learned in those moments to say, ‘He’ll find it.’ ”
Holiday, whose locker is next to Turner’s, appreciates Turner’s passion.
“Obviously, he’s probably the hardest person (on the Sixers) to calm down, but that’s somebody I’m going to fight with,” Holiday said. “When he gets revved up, I do, too — inside. I don’t really show it.”
Pargo still a go
Collins said he expects to continue using Holiday alongside recent 10-day signee Jeremy Pargo in the backcourt. He likes how Pargo enables Holiday to play off the ball, making it tougher for opponents to double-team Holiday, while Pargo can defend opposing point guards to limit the pounding Holiday takes.
“I think having Jeremy out there relieves some pressure from me,” Holiday said.
Pargo had 12 points and six assists in 29 minutes during his Sixers debut in an 87-76 victory over the Bobcats on Saturday.

 

[nbafan88]

[h=2]RAPTORS AT KNICKS, 7:30 P.M. ET[/h] February 13, 2013 · 6:30PM
TV: League Pass

• The Knicks (32-17) are expected to start Raymond Felton, Jason Kidd, Iman Shumpert, Carmelo Anthony and Tyson Chandler.
• If New York wins, they would improve to 8-3 in their final 11 games before the All-Star break. Head coach Mike Woodson initially said the team’s goal was to go 9-2. “I’ll still take that; we’re still at the top of our division where we want to be,” Woodson said Tuesday. “And we’ll have three or four days to get away from the game and re-think about what we gotta get done when we come back.”
• The Knicks are 19-7 at home this season where they average 102.4 points per game and hold their opponents to an average of 94.7 points.
• New York will have four players represented at the All-Star festivities, with Anthony and Chandler playing for the East, Steve Novak in the Three-Point Contest and James “Flight” White in the Dunk Contest. “That’s big,” Anthony said. “Anytime you can have three, four guys representing your team for a weekend like that, that’s always big for the team, for the morale of the players, for the city.” Terrence Ross, a rookie for the Raptors, will compete against White in the Dunk Contest.
• The Raptors are expected to start Kyle Lowry, DeMar DeRozan, Rudy Yag, Amir Johnson and Jonas Valanciunas.
• The Raptors (20-32) have won four of six games since acquiring Yag from Memphis. On Tuesday, he knocked down his second game-winning shot in the last three games with 4.8 seconds left, giving Toronto 109-108 victory over the Denver Nuggets (33-20) at the Air Canada Centre. Yag is averaging 22.3 points per game for the Raptors after averaging 17.2 points for Memphis. Regarding Rudy Yag coach Mike Woodson said, “There’s not a whole lot he can’t do on the basketball floor…he’s a hell of a three in our league.”
• Seven times this season the Raptors have lost games in which they held the lead going into the fourth quarter.
• These two Atlantic Division teams have not met yet this season. The Knicks are 5-4 in Atlantic Division games and the Raptors are 1-8.

– Dan Kelly & Adam Zagoria
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[h=2]BOBCATS at PACERS, 7 P.M. ET[/h] February 13, 2013 · 6:28PM
TV: League Pass

• Not only will Danny Granger not make his long-awaited, much-anticipated debut tonight, the Pacers also will be without starting power forward David West, who will be inactive due to a scratched left eye sustained in the first quarter of Monday’s loss to the Nets. After his second full practice of the week Tuesday, Granger’s left knee responded well but he came down with flu-like symptoms. “He probably wouldn’t be quite ready yet, even if he wasn’t sick,” Coach Frank Vogel said. “Combined with the fact he’s sick, just not the right time.” Granger’s return from left knee tendinosis will thus be pushed beyond the All-Star break.

• West will miss his first game since signing with the Pacers as a free agent prior to last season. Tyler Hansbrough will get his first start since May 26, 2011, the fifth game of the Pacers’ first-round playoff loss to Chicago. Vogel said after the morning shootaround he would start Jeff Pendergraph if West could not go, but changed his mind. “While I’ve always talked about the need to get Jeff Pendergraph more minutes, Tyler deserves that opportunity, too,” Vogel said. “He’s a starter-level player.” In 30 career starts, Hansbrough has averaged 13.9 points, 6.2 rebounds and .498 shooting. He has struggled this season with career-low averages of 6.3 points, 4.1 rebounds and 15:41 minutes.

• Pendergraph had season highs of 14 points and 10 rebounds in the Pacers’ 89-84 overtime loss to the Nets on Monday, prompting the discussion of creating a bigger role for the 6-9 forward. “He’s a good basketball player,” Vogel said. “Most teams in this league he’d be playing rotational minutes and we’ve got to continue to look every day to find him minutes.” The plan is for Hansbrough and Pendergraph to divide the minutes fairly evenly tonight.

• The Bobcats, who beat Boston 94-91 on Monday, are seeking consecutive victories for the first time since Nov. 19-21. They’ve gotten a big lift from the return of forward Byron Mullens, who has averaged 17.6 points and 9.8 rebounds in five games since returning from an ankle injury that kept him out 19 games. Charlotte Coach Mike Dunlap said fresh legs have helped but Mullens worked extensively on his game “behind the scenes” during the rehab process, using video sessions and walk-throughs with assistant coaches.

– Conrad Brunner
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[h=2]WIZARDS AT PISTONS, 7:30 P.M.[/h] February 13, 2013 · 6:28PM
TV: League Pass

• Washington, which has won four straight, has held nine straight opponents under 100 points. Detroit coach Lawrence Frank said that pushing the pace isn’t the only thing his team needs to do tonight to combat the Wizards defense. “You want to play your game, regardless of who you play,” he said. “It’s not just in transition. You really have to work your sets — your setups, your screening, your spacing and your passing has to be precise. That’s how you (probe) a good defensive team, by really working them from side to side.”
• The combination of Nene and Emeka Okafor has been the Wizards much more formidable inside. The Pistons will have to combat them without standout rookie Andre Drummond, who is out until at least next month with a back injury. Greg Monroe, Jason Maxiell and Charlie Villanueva will draw those defensive assignments. “You’ve got to take the challenge one on one,” Frank said. “You have to take ownership in that. You’ve got to get them off their spots and take away their pet moves. You look at Nene in his last two games against Brooklyn and Milwaukee, he went 19 for 26. That’s pretty good.”
• Washington coach Randy Wittman will stick with Garrett Temple at shooting guard and bring rookie Bradley Beal off the bench, even though Beal had a career-high 28 points against the Bucks.
• Other than Drummond, the only injured player on either side is Wizards forward Cartier Martin (left knee).

– Dana Gauruder
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[h=2]HAWKS AT MAGIC, 7 P.M. ET[/h] February 13, 2013 · 6:21PM
TV: League Pass

• Hedo Turkoglu’s long and injury-ravaged season just got longer — or shorter actually — when the NBA suspended him Wednesday for 20 games for testing positive for methenolone, a steroid. The 33-year-old forward said he took the substance in Turkey last summer to help get over a shoulder injury, and insisted it was not to improve his performance. “It’s just a bad year for me, I guess, and I have to apologize especially to the DeVos family, to the Magic organization and all the fans throughout the world,” said Turkoglu, who has played only 189 minutes in 11 games this season. “I let everybody down with the decision I made in the summertime. I take full responsibility for that.”
• Comment of Magic coach Jacque Vaughn: “As a professional athlete, you have a responsibility to know what you put in your body at a rest stop, at a vitamin shop, or after you get a massage. It doesn’t matter.”
• For the Hawks, Anthony Tolliver will start for the fourth straight game in place of a sore Kyle Korver, although Korver did participate in shootaround and will play.
• The Hawks have beaten the Magic eight straight times, including twice this season, holding Orlando to only 79.4 points per game in those eight games. ”I think we’ve zeroed in some things that they really like do and we’ve done a good job of defending them, but the last thing you want to do — I don’t care how many times you’ve had success against a team — is go into it overconfident, and that’s something I will not allow to happen with this ball club,” said coach Larry Drew. ” We have been a team that has shown we have not handled certain situations consistently, this being one of them.”
• Hawks lineup: Tolliver, Josh Smith, Al Horford, Devin Harris, Jeff Teague.
• Magic lineup: Maurice Harkless, Andrew Nicholson, Nikola Vucevic, Arron Afflalo, Jameer Nelson.

– Dick Scanlon
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[h=2]SPURS AT CAVALIERS, 7 P.M. ET[/h] February 13, 2013 · 6:17PM
TV: League Pass

• Spurs power forward Tim Duncan (left knee soreness), point guard Tony Parker (right knee bruise), and shooting guard Manu Ginobili (left hamstring tightness) all return to action tonight. San Antonio’s “Big Three” sat out its 103-89 win Monday in Chicago, but will play in the Spurs’ final game before the NBA All-Star break. Duncan and Parker are starting, while Ginobili resumes his role as the sixth man. “Everything will be back to normal for us,” San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich said.
• Spurs center Tiago Splitter (left ankle) also will start after twisting his ankle against the Bulls, but small forward Stephen Jackson (personal reasons) is not with the team for the second straight game. “Tiago is going to give it a shot tonight, but we’ll see what happens,” Popovich said. Small forward Kawhi Leonard and shooting guard Danny Green round out San Antonio’s first five.
• Cavaliers point guard Kyrie Irving (left ankle) is in the lineup two days after landing awkwardly on the foot of Timberwolves point guard Alexey Shved. The first-time NBA All-Star is the sixth-leading scorer in the league at 23.9 points. Center Tyler Zeller, power forward Tristan Thompson, small forward Alonzo Gee, and shooting guard Dion Waiters join Irving as starters.
• The Spurs are 3-1 on their annual nine-game, 19-day Rodeo Road Trip that is sandwiched around the NBA All-Star break. San Antonio owns the best record in the league at 41-12 and has won five straight over Cleveland. “I expect the Cavs to have (foam) coming out of their mouths and the veins popping when they come out of the tunnel tonight,” Popovich joked.
• The Cavaliers are 3-2 on their ongoing seven-game homestand, but are coming off losses to Denver (111-103 on Saturday) and Minnesota (100-92 on Monday).

 

[emkee]

Heat just opened at Pinny as a +5 dog for the BIG 'TNT' clash tomorrow night...

 

[raems]

First Half TT Under 50-50.5 for the Heat, nice cushion there even if they shoot well early.

 

[nbafan88]

Heat just opened at Pinny as a +5 dog for the BIG 'TNT' clash tomorrow night...

I saw 4.5 earlier today

 

[emkee]

Boston with an offensive clinic in the 2nd quarter.

6 points, lol...

 

[emkee]

C's 3-8 SU when trailing at halftime at home.

Bulls 11-2 SU if leading at halftime on the road.