NFL: Early Super Bowl Line
If you have a crystal ball this is a good time to get it out of the closet as Sportsbook.com has updated its
Early Super Bowl Line .
The current line is
AFC (-11) over the NFC, and that makes sense from a historical perspective as half of the Super Bowls over the last decade were decided by 10 points or more.
The first thing you need to do when examining this future bet is look at the most likely matchup. New England (16-0) is the heavy favorite to win the AFC at 2:7 odds, while Dallas (13-3) is also a big favorite in the NFC at 4:7 odds.
A New England and Dallas finale would have major appeal both from a football and fan standpoint. Dallas is “America’s Team” and their five Super Bowl wins tie Pittsburgh and San Francisco for the most all-time. The Patriots are the team of the century so far with their three Super Bowl victories.
On the field, there are more similarities. New England has the NFL’s top-rated offense behind glamour boy quarterback Tom Brady (aka Mr. Gisele Bundchen) and star receiver Randy Moss.
Tony Romo (aka Mr. Jessica Simpson) leads the Cowboys and their third-rated offense, and they plan to have their great receiver, Terrell Owens, back from his ankle injury to start the playoffs. The defenses have also been stingy this year with each ranked in the Top 10.
So the question is, if these teams meet in the Super Bowl what would the final score look like?
Recent history of New England in the Super Bowl suggests a close game. The Pats won their three Super Bowls over St. Louis (2001 season), Philadelphia (2003) and Carolina (2004) by exactly three points each. In fairness though, New England’s offense this year is far superior to any of those teams, while the defense is just a shade behind the 2003 and 2004 squads.
New England and Dallas would be another extremely close matchup. Of course, the Patriots can’t rely on Adam Vinatieri for any more game-winning field goals, but you could expect a score similar to
New England 38, Dallas 34.
New England would have its fourth Super Bowl in seven years and a record setting 19-0 season, but the NFC would be cashing in at the betting window on this wager. However, if New England faces any other NFC team like Brett Favre and Green Bay, you could be looking at a two-touchdown blowout for the Patriots.
The next likely AFC team to play in the Super Bowl is Indianapolis. The defending champs will have to go to New England to get it done, but that is certainly possible given the recent history between the squads.
If Indianapolis faces either Dallas or Green Bay in the Super Bowl, the Colts should be favored by about a touchdown. If San Diego somehow sneaks in and goes against Dallas or Green Bay, then you would be looking at a very close spread.
The worst case scenario from an NFC perspective is that someone like the NY Giants or Washington goes on a miraculous run and makes it to the Big Dance. Their fate would not be pretty there.
So there are some scenarios for the
Early Super Bowl Line . For a look at all the NFL future odds, please
visit here .
