Sammy Meatballs
Sammy Meatballs? Never Heard of Her
How can Sammy make such a ridiculous comment like this, but it is true the bowl lines are way off. VEGAS simply cannot set accurate lines for these games as there are way too many intagibles in these games.
Vegas is setting ACcurate lines on these bowl games as if they were regular season games. The line is set based on regular season performances. The only problem is that there has been a 1 month layoff which is affecting performances of teams.
Does anyone find it interesting how the biggest blowouts have been with lines 3 or less? Even more interesting is that the lines over a Touchdown so far have been decided between 3, 3, 3, 10, points. The lines and the games that are capped between one and 3 points have been decided by 23, 17 and 18 points? This tells me that the highest dog available Florida state is worth a look as it should be a close game possibly a 3 point game.
So what does this tell us, these so called experts in Vegas certainly should be able to set better lines on these close games? After all they are one sided. And the higher lines over a TD are set because they know the betting patterns of the public, and they will attract action on those games.
IF the results are any indication, the line is put out there on the basis of the regular season. The game is played. How is it that the highest spreads are the closest games and the lowest ones are the blowouts? This basically tells me because I am betting a higher favorite it does not really mean I have any advantage, in fact you a DISADVANTAGE big time because the game is likely to be close.
I think Texas had a huge advantage tonight, because of a line of -1.5, if Texas was -10.5 it would have been fair but not a great line, but the thing is , that is how a -10.5 point favorite should play, not like the BOISE's, Cincy's and Utah's.
What is the point of this thread. It is simple, there is easy money especially on dogs over a TD and Vegas knows this but can set the line high knowing the public will be all over it.
If we just eliminate the line and not give VEGAS all this credit that they know, oh this team is favored by -10.5 they must win. THe lowest lines are the biggest blowouts, should these not be the close games, but no the close ones are the ones with the bigger spreads.
THe line is set by VEGAS but really has no effect on the game, the team that wins on the field tonight was TEXAS, they were better and won this game. So your bet won, to bet a game by using Vegas, and thinking they will trick you, and trap you, they have already beat you because they get you second guessing yourself and tricking yourself.
I think we should cap what is going on on the field and not in Vegas. I had some good discussion with ETG and Sportsnut on the Texas game and nailed ASU's gameplan, in that I knew they had no passing patterns to the middle of the field and only have possession receivers. I think as a group if we can cap based on advantages on the field, we can pick some winners tomorrow also in Maryland gamea and the other games. After all the game is decided on the field not in Vegas.
Vegas is setting ACcurate lines on these bowl games as if they were regular season games. The line is set based on regular season performances. The only problem is that there has been a 1 month layoff which is affecting performances of teams.
Does anyone find it interesting how the biggest blowouts have been with lines 3 or less? Even more interesting is that the lines over a Touchdown so far have been decided between 3, 3, 3, 10, points. The lines and the games that are capped between one and 3 points have been decided by 23, 17 and 18 points? This tells me that the highest dog available Florida state is worth a look as it should be a close game possibly a 3 point game.
So what does this tell us, these so called experts in Vegas certainly should be able to set better lines on these close games? After all they are one sided. And the higher lines over a TD are set because they know the betting patterns of the public, and they will attract action on those games.
IF the results are any indication, the line is put out there on the basis of the regular season. The game is played. How is it that the highest spreads are the closest games and the lowest ones are the blowouts? This basically tells me because I am betting a higher favorite it does not really mean I have any advantage, in fact you a DISADVANTAGE big time because the game is likely to be close.
I think Texas had a huge advantage tonight, because of a line of -1.5, if Texas was -10.5 it would have been fair but not a great line, but the thing is , that is how a -10.5 point favorite should play, not like the BOISE's, Cincy's and Utah's.
What is the point of this thread. It is simple, there is easy money especially on dogs over a TD and Vegas knows this but can set the line high knowing the public will be all over it.
If we just eliminate the line and not give VEGAS all this credit that they know, oh this team is favored by -10.5 they must win. THe lowest lines are the biggest blowouts, should these not be the close games, but no the close ones are the ones with the bigger spreads.
THe line is set by VEGAS but really has no effect on the game, the team that wins on the field tonight was TEXAS, they were better and won this game. So your bet won, to bet a game by using Vegas, and thinking they will trick you, and trap you, they have already beat you because they get you second guessing yourself and tricking yourself.
I think we should cap what is going on on the field and not in Vegas. I had some good discussion with ETG and Sportsnut on the Texas game and nailed ASU's gameplan, in that I knew they had no passing patterns to the middle of the field and only have possession receivers. I think as a group if we can cap based on advantages on the field, we can pick some winners tomorrow also in Maryland gamea and the other games. After all the game is decided on the field not in Vegas.
rayer
