Vegas 53 ~ April 30

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Nothing special, just another standard fight night with an early start.


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Tanked at end last week to finish down barely, basically even for the year.

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Vegas 53: Prelims​


iu

  • Mazany early sub ...Athletically and technically limited, Young could well be cut if she cannot find some success against Mazany. While Mazany is not as competent a wrestler as Egger, the same gameplan will likely punish Young on the mat.
  • Levy ...Explosive and athletic, Levy combines slick point-fighting karate with solid grappling credentials. Breeden’s deep gas tank is being touted as a massive advantage over a historically short-tanked Levy, but the Israeli is no longer cutting to Featherweight. Albeit, Levy’s lesser size at 155 could be an issue if he continues to opt for a grappling-heavy approach, but his speed should be visibly obvious.
  • Green Decision ...This may well be a beautiful, bloody war. Pouring insane amounts of volume, Green pieces together long boxing combinations. There is a worry that Green walks into a hard shot early, his chin has been cracked early before. Outside of an early sleeping, however, Green is the far more proven consistent striking threat.
  • Da Silva Round 1 ...To fight Deiveison’s style, you need elite power and speed. BTEC Figgy, lacking those athletic attributes, often engages in 50/50 trades which rarely benefit Francisco. Da Silva burns his gas tank early through a delectable array of spinning strikes and jumping attacks, but he cracks fucking hard.
  • Romanov KO ...Romanov is set in stone in his game, running headfirst into takedowns and looking to overpower opponents into submission. Stylistically, Romanov is almost guaranteed to put Sherman on his arse. As seen against the bloated Jake Collier, Sherman will eventually place himself in a dangerous position and receive a mercy submission. Sherman’s non-existent footwork will allow Romanov to close the distance at will.

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First 2 fights...
  • 3/1.58 GINA MAZANY -190
  • 3/6.00 Wins Inside Distance-Gina Mazany +200
  • 2/3.04 GINA MAZANY vs SHANNA YOUNG u2½ +152
  • 3/1.54 NATAN LEVY -195
  • 3/4.80 Natan Levy by Points +160

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Fights 3-4
  • 4/3.36 GABRIEL GREEN -119
  • 2.82/2 GABRIEL GREEN vs YOHAN LAINESSE o1½ -141
  • 3.51/3 DANIEL DA SILVA -117
  • 2.20/2 DANIEL DA SILVA vs FRANCISCO FIGUEREDO u2½ -110

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UFC Vegas 53: Main Card​

GERALD MEERSCHAERT(34-14) VS KRZYSZTOF JOTKO(23-5) ~ Middleweight (185)
  • Jotko ...Meerschart will not only struggle to takedown Jotko, but he will find further difficulty in out-grappling the Pole. On the feet, Meerschaert can just about hold his own with straight shots, but Jotko is the far more fluid striker and will have a huge speed differential. The Pole is the king of neutralizing an opponent’s offense.
DARREN ELKINS(26-10) VS TRISTAN CONNELLY(14-7) ~ Featherweight (145)
  • Elkins ITD ...The insanely durable blood God still has the knack to snatch victories from the jaws of defeat, but only against the weakest of opposition. Thankfully, Connelly is one of the weakest physical specimens on the roster. The Canadian has the TDD to keep this on the feet for the first half of the fight, but Elkins’ relentless pressure has regularly led him to victory late.
JARED GORDON(18-4) VS GRANT DAWSON(17-1-1) ~ Lightweight (155)
  • Dawson Decision ...The big question for this fight revolves around whether Dawson can take Gordon down? If yes, you’d have to wager Dawson finding more success from a top position than Joe Solecki. If not, Dawson’s going to struggle against Gordon’s functional boxing. Dawson’s need to bully opponents physically will find less success at Lightweight, but stumbling to a draw against Ricky Glenn last time out may have just been teething problems at the new weight.
ANDRE FILI(21-8) VS JOANDERSON BRITO(12-3-1) ~ Featherweight (145)
  • Fili ITD ...A thoroughly solid wrestler, Brito is going to struggle to out-wrestle Fili. Over recent fights, Fili has become a far more consistent threat on the feet, especially timing short exchanges and exiting the pocket. Brito carries power and is an explosive threat, but his inability to layer exchanges means that his dangerous flurries can be predicted and countered.
JAKE COLLIER(13-6) VS ANDREI ARLOVSKI(33-20) ~ Heavyweight (265)
  • Arlovski Decision ...Despite being wildly overweight and fighting well above his natural weight class, Collier’s frantic volume boxing has benefited him against sloppy, down-on-their-luck Heavyweights. Against Mr Conservative, Arlovski’s patient counter-punching and strong TDD will leave Collier without answers after a potentially exciting first round.

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[6-3 +7.23u]
  • 3/1.60 KRZYSZTOF JOTKO -187
  • 1.41/1 KRZYSZTOF JOTKO vs GERALD MEERSCHAERT o2½ -141

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next 2...

[8-3 +9.83u]
  • 1/3.00 DARREN ELKINS KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +300
  • 3/1.50 Grant Dawson -200
  • 2/2.80 Grant Dawson by Points +140

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Damn, he had to get that sub with 20 seconds left, if it went to judges a +4.8u swing

[9-5 +8.33u]
  • 3/2.50 Andrei Arlovski -120
  • 2/2.90 Wins Inside Distance-Andre Fili +145
  • 1.35/2 JOANDERSON BRITO vs ANDRE FILI) u2½ +148



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[11-6 +10.83u]
  • 2.28/2 ROB FONT -114
  • 1.88/3 Rob Font by Points +160

ROB FONT(19-5) VS MARLON VERA(20-7-1) ~ Bantamweight (135)
  • Font Decision ...All of Font’s work stems from his jab. The American is primed to control the pace of the fight behind his commanding jab, denying Vera the space to set up his kicks. It is worth noting that in a 5-round affair, Vera’s style does play into edging ahead in the championship rounds. Vera’s meatheaded approach of pressing opponents and breaking them, in addition to tapping into a second wind late in contests, could pose questions for Font that he cannot answer. As seen against Aldo, however, Font’s chin is undeniable. The American was shaken by heavy artillery, yet attempted to adapt over the fight. Maybe it’s my love for Font, but I can smell a shut-out on the cards.
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Had Font with the guy who fought Arlovski...terrible decision. Can't even risk any more in Font but I like your bet. GL mang
 
UFC Vegas 53
Fight Night 4/30/22
❌3/1.58 GINA MAZANY -190
❌3/6.00 Wins Inside Distance-Gina Mazany +200
2/3.04 GINA MAZANY vs SHANNA YOUNG u2½ +152
3/1.54 NATAN LEVY -195
3/4.80 Natan Levy by Points +160
4/3.36 GABRIEL GREEN -119
2.82/2 GABRIEL GREEN vs YOHAN LAINESSE o1½ -141
❌3.51/3 DANIEL DA SILVA -117
2.20/2 DANIEL DA SILVA vs FRANCISCO FIGUEREDO u2½ -110
3/1.60 KRZYSZTOF JOTKO -187
1.41/1 KRZYSZTOF JOTKO vs GERALD MEERSCHAERT o2½ -141
❌1/3.00 DARREN ELKINS KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +300
3/1.50 Grant Dawson -200
❌2/2.80 Grant Dawson by Points +140
3/2.50 Andrei Arlovski -120
❌2/2.90 Wins Inside Distance-Andre Fili +145
1.35/2 JOANDERSON BRITO vs ANDRE FILI u2½ +148
❌2.28/2 ROB FONT -114
[11-7 +8.55u]

A decent night with a couple of fun fights. Made a few dollars and got back in the green on the year. Huge card next week!

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