VC's Week 4 Plays

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Steelers ML (-124)

Arthur Smith owns the Colts defense (see last year with Heinicke, for example).
Colts' run defense is porous. Steelers D locks down opposing running backs, and AR is a piece of shit.

Jaguars-Texans under 44.5 (-110)

CJ Stroud struggles historically against man coverage, and Jax does more man than probably any other team.
Trevor struggles against high-ranking pass defenses. His pass pro also stinks.

Broncos +7.5 (-102)

Not impressed by Jets performance against Pats D missing its captan. Jets D hasn't been impressive to me, while Denver's offense looks worse than it is due to not translating good yardage totals into more points (namely in Steelers game).

Eagles ML (-127)

Bucs have struggled with mobile quarterbacks and with stopping rush attacks in general. Winfield banged up while hopefully AJ Brown plays. Bucs' pass pro will get eaten alive. Bucs possibly the least-equipped team to exploit Fangio light boxes with rush attack.

Seahawks-Lions Under 46.5 (-113)

Goff, who is already off, history vs. Macdonald (see last year vs Ravens). Improved Seattle D. Improved Lions pass defense will limit Geno this time + solid run defense will lock down Seahawks rush attack.

ML Parlay: Bengals (-215) & Chiefs (-365) & Cardinals (-177) at +192

Bengals defense should bounce back while its offense will continue playing well; Chiefs are stout against the run while Chargers lack weapons in the pass attack. Mahomes vs. banged-up Chargers D; Cardinals D is much better, while Kyler should light up Commanders secondary.
 
I would have been tempted to play Jax at +7. this team can’t be that different from the one that won in Houston last year before its collapse. No Campbell but also Texans receivers apparently banged-up. I think under is the play for the stated reasons
 
Steelers ML (-124)

Arthur Smith owns the Colts defense (see last year with Heinicke, for example).
Colts' run defense is porous. Steelers D locks down opposing running backs, and AR is a piece of shit.

Jaguars-Texans under 44.5 (-110)

CJ Stroud struggles historically against man coverage, and Jax does more man than probably any other team.
Trevor struggles against high-ranking pass defenses. His pass pro also stinks.

Broncos +7.5 (-102)

Not impressed by Jets performance against Pats D missing its captan. Jets D hasn't been impressive to me, while Denver's offense looks worse than it is due to not translating good yardage totals into more points (namely in Steelers game).

Eagles ML (-127)

Bucs have struggled with mobile quarterbacks and with stopping rush attacks in general. Winfield banged up while hopefully AJ Brown plays. Bucs' pass pro will get eaten alive. Bucs possibly the least-equipped team to exploit Fangio light boxes with rush attack.

Seahawks-Lions Under 46.5 (-113)

Goff, who is already off, history vs. Macdonald (see last year vs Ravens). Improved Seattle D. Improved Lions pass defense will limit Geno this time + solid run defense will lock down Seahawks rush attack.

ML Parlay: Bengals (-215) & Chiefs (-365) & Cardinals (-177) at +192

Bengals defense should bounce back while its offense will continue playing well; Chiefs are stout against the run while Chargers lack weapons in the pass attack. Mahomes vs. banged-up Chargers D; Cardinals D is much better, while Kyler should light up Commanders secondary.
Nice analysis... I can't really debate much
 
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