Vikings-Jaguars Over 43 (-110)
Sam Darnold owns man coverage (152.1 passer rating!), which Jags play a lot of. Mac Jones has a strong history against Brian Flores.
Commanders -2.5 (-105)
Steeler defense's toughest test by far. While Commanders only scored 18 against Bears (tough defense that they faced), they also amassed 481 yards of total offense.
Saints +3.5 (-110)
Saints are going to fight with head coach canned and hatred for Falcons plus bitterness over their last game, which Saints really gave away. Getting 3.5 points at home feels crazy...it's a great buy low moment.
Broncos-Chiefs Under 42 (-110)
As Lex pointed out, Broncos struggle to score at all against strong defenses: 6 vs Pitt, 10 vs Jets, 16 vs Chargers (all 16 coming from behind against soft zone). Meanwhile Broncos have an elite defense and Chiefs aren't a team to just run away from an opponent.
Cardinals ML (+112)
Why on earth are the broken Jets favored on the road against a competent team?
ML Parlay: 49ers (-290), Chargers (-385), Eagles (-340) = +119
49ers are great against tight ends, so who does Baker have left to throw to? Chargers have the only competent offense here plus their defense plus the Titans D is banged-up. Cowboys won't stop the run or Brown/Smith and backup QB + no run game.
Sam Darnold owns man coverage (152.1 passer rating!), which Jags play a lot of. Mac Jones has a strong history against Brian Flores.
Commanders -2.5 (-105)
Steeler defense's toughest test by far. While Commanders only scored 18 against Bears (tough defense that they faced), they also amassed 481 yards of total offense.
Saints +3.5 (-110)
Saints are going to fight with head coach canned and hatred for Falcons plus bitterness over their last game, which Saints really gave away. Getting 3.5 points at home feels crazy...it's a great buy low moment.
Broncos-Chiefs Under 42 (-110)
As Lex pointed out, Broncos struggle to score at all against strong defenses: 6 vs Pitt, 10 vs Jets, 16 vs Chargers (all 16 coming from behind against soft zone). Meanwhile Broncos have an elite defense and Chiefs aren't a team to just run away from an opponent.
Cardinals ML (+112)
Why on earth are the broken Jets favored on the road against a competent team?
ML Parlay: 49ers (-290), Chargers (-385), Eagles (-340) = +119
49ers are great against tight ends, so who does Baker have left to throw to? Chargers have the only competent offense here plus their defense plus the Titans D is banged-up. Cowboys won't stop the run or Brown/Smith and backup QB + no run game.
