Great input Tuck, always looking forward to your posts, as you seem to point out a lot of useful trends and info. :shake:
Short comments from me, I'll put up my own thread later on when I filter down the leans and have my plays finalized.
Ok here's what I think: The logic that supports CBJ is fine, and gun to my head, it's CBJ ML or nothing. But they have sucked big time lately, and I don't like to play guessing when the team breaks out of the funk, as that usually leads to chasing (at least it has in the past with me) or frustration since you had the feeling they get the job done "one of these days", but backed them on the wrong one.
So it's a no play, too many variables with all these injuries and determining how Minnesota are doing right now, too many contradicting indicators here, in that kind of situation I usually take the dog or skip it. Since I feel there are better plays on the board today, it's a pass. But I agree the value can only be on the Jackets here.
I'll be taking the Sabres on the puckline here. I don't think this one goes to OT, and like Sabres' chances to win here a lot. The Habs will obviously fight hard tonight but I'm thinking if they go down 2,3-0 they could have tomorrow's game in the back of their heads. The Habs have alternated wins and losses in their last 7, thinking they keep the trend going tonight, then perhaps tomorrow get back to winning ways, prolonging the zig-zag.
All I know is, I'm not laying any chalk here, if the Sabres have really managed to wake up their offense, regular time win sounds good, and if it HAS to come down to it, I'll put my faith in an empty netter. But I don't think it does come down to that.
Can't take St Loo, the Canucks are the weirdest team around. They go 6-2 in last 8 but lose twice to Edmonton(!?). They seem to love being the unfavorable dog and tend to stay in most of their games and I don't like going against a team that can do that. They get outshot night after night, thriving off opponent's domination then score out of nothing. Not to mention the Luongo factor. Skip.
NJ are improving but Atlanta should take care of business here. I have little doubts they are currently the better team out of the two. Over 5.5 at plus money sounds good as well. No plays as of yet, will probably take ATL in regulation.
Florida warrants a play at these odds. Ok the Rangers are this sucky road team for the most of the season then they break out of their shell and now they're road favs?
I don't buy it. They're playing well but this ML price seems good all things considered, Panthers are no slouches, they may be kitty kats on the road but can roar at home. One more thing.
Tampa Bay had a classic letdown after a huge winning streak, losing consecutive games (I actually thought the Rangers would lose that one, but they stepped up, another reason for their (NYR) letdown tonight).
I think I'll play Dallas as well. They are playing rather well of late and Toronto being Toronto, they can step up on a given night but lack consistency. Regular time win for the Stars pops to mind for a medium bet.
No take on the Anaheim game.
GL tonight Tuck. :shake: I'll pull the trigger on a few bets soon.
