Ump details

[tuck321]

Kaz has no history with Angel
Cueto has an ERA of 9.49 based on 12.1 innings with Angel
Kaz on 6+ has an ERA 2.42 this season based on 26 innings
Cueto on 4 days rest clocks in at 3.30 ERA
Kaz in the day 2.36 ERA
Cueto in the day 3.48 ERA based on 67.1 innings
WE know over his career has been fine in the day
WE know Kaz has an ERA of 6,52 last Sept-October
Kaz career 4.52 ERA vs KC
Cueto vs Houston 3.36 ERA whips almost duplicate
Kaz 2-4 at site with a 4.52 ERA
Angel 20-12 over
Pitcher histories a solid under
A lot of guessing here
Cueto last start 5 innings 1 run 100 pitches 3 walks 6 hits
Strong opinions. I have none
Lean over

 

[nbafan88]

The cueto/Hernandez history is skewed tuck. Gotta post the details from baseball-reference or it's misleading IMO. But yes cueto was not dominant in day games this season like years past.

 

[tuck321]

Hamels with Carapazza 3-1 1.95 ERA 37 innings
0-4 vs Toronto with a career ERA 6.97 whip 1.937
The man is a top pitcher getting huge money odds
Considering a small bet on him despite facing a true elite pitcher
Also considering sleeping in as i am a Toronto fan
Feel free tp add anything I am missing Nbafan 88

 

[Play2win]

BOL today tuck

 

[tuck321]

Stroman 7 innings with Caraapaza no runs 3 hits
top pitcher!!


Days and day records favor Toronto. Need to check 1 thing
Very strange on Turf and at Toronto total record is 4.2 inning 7.71 ERA
Beltre out both hurt players back for Toronto
Small RL bet TORONTO

 

[tuck321]

Will look at the rest later

 

[dudleysdad]

I am sorry but making texas a +163 dog is a joke with Hamels throwing
game should be a pick em

 

[tuck321]

Would agree if there was any indication he can pitch well on Turf and if Beltre was available. That was my first lean but Hamels is an older pitcher and this is not an easy adjustment especially after a complete game 4 days ago. This season on 4 days 3.61 ERA 114.2 ERA. Have thought about the under with that ref as well but am unsure.

 

[kdog]

I am sorry but making texas a +163 dog is a joke with Hamels throwing
game should be a pick em

Yeah, there's a lot of 'must win' built into that one. I made it 144 assuming both lineups healthy and we already know Tulo isn't. With Beltre now out for Texas I'll just make the easy guess that the drop off to Alberto = the drop off to a one armed Tulo and leave it there.

 

[tuck321]

Remarkable comentary
Jon Lester plays at Cards facing Lackey with Cuzzi as ump
Cuzzi this years is a mild over. Last year neutral. Year before big under
This year favors home team mildly at least at 18-11
With Jon 20.1 innings 0-2 3.10 ERA
With Lackey 2.95 ERA based on 42.2 innings 3-1 record
This is not enough to make a decision..
Cubs are playing with great momentum
Lester has a bullt in edge as a leftie and a serious negative as this is his 6th game vs the Cards this year.
No real interest here but a small lean to the Cards
Not really liking my Toronto Bet.
I guess a lean to the under based on history plus massive pen rest
Very minor

 

[tuck321]

Going to skip Mets at Dodgers based on a general feeling that The Mets are behaving VERY strangely

 

[tuck321]

Just want to clarify. Based on history this Cards game GOES UNDER.
They just played 3 under games with Atlanta. The CARDS want to win fast. They have no interest in facing Arrieta. They created a senario which almost compells them to win today. But for the first time it is really not clear who has the better team. Let the buyer beware.

 

[tuck321]

Just glanced at Alan Porter
[TABLE="class: data"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: datahead, colspan: 2"]Home favorites this year
[/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, width: 2%"][/TD]
[TD="class: datahead, colspan: 2"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: mbt, width: 30%, bgcolor: #ECECE4"] -101 to -120
-121 to -140
-141 to -160
-161 to -180
-181 + [/TD]
[TD="class: datacell, width: 19%"] 1-5
2-1
2-3
0-3
0-2[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
With Kershaw 4.26 ERA based on 12.2 innings
Degrow no history
Mets off a 1 run win!!!!
This day is getting very freaky.

 

[tuck321]

I am going to close my eyes and make a small bet on the Cards under
As small as it get on Mets

 

[tuck321]

Adding Cards also small. On top of everything else
Lackey on 7-4 2.66 ERA
Jon on 6+ 3-2 4.17 this season
Career on 6+ 4.07