wiseplayer
Let Me Be Frank With You
Yes! We have Friday night football! St Louis -6 and 37.5. Was hoping totals would be in the 40’s for some nice unders.
UFL Anyone?!
- Thread starter wiseplayer
- Start date
I'll join ya!
Putting my post/pick together now.
Here are some notes I pulled off my charts from last year:
"The Under dominated in the first two weeks, going 3-0-1 in week 1 and 2-1-1 in week 2, paying off in five of seven games and only lost in one, with two pushes.
That would lead you to want to play Unders this week, BUT . . .
The oddsmakers aren't stupid.
The totals in last year's week one games:
41, 41', 43, 40'.
That's an average of 41'.
This year's games:
37', 37', 37', 40'.
That's an average of 38.
This season's totals dropped by a full field goal, 3' points per game.
Last year, week one, Unders were profitable at 3-0, with the fourth game being a push.
Using this year's average total per game the record would have been 2-2, for no profit.
The books adjust.
Week one Dogs last year were 3-0-1.
Average spread was -5.
Average spread this year is similar at 4.8."
Just some stuff to think about.
Good luck to you this season.
Putting my post/pick together now.
Here are some notes I pulled off my charts from last year:
"The Under dominated in the first two weeks, going 3-0-1 in week 1 and 2-1-1 in week 2, paying off in five of seven games and only lost in one, with two pushes.
That would lead you to want to play Unders this week, BUT . . .
The oddsmakers aren't stupid.
The totals in last year's week one games:
41, 41', 43, 40'.
That's an average of 41'.
This year's games:
37', 37', 37', 40'.
That's an average of 38.
This season's totals dropped by a full field goal, 3' points per game.
Last year, week one, Unders were profitable at 3-0, with the fourth game being a push.
Using this year's average total per game the record would have been 2-2, for no profit.
The books adjust.
Week one Dogs last year were 3-0-1.
Average spread was -5.
Average spread this year is similar at 4.8."
Just some stuff to think about.
Good luck to you this season.
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