UFC ~ VEGAS 28 Fight Night

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Decent fight night night card but nothing special

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:cheers3:
 
some random bs on early card

  • Montana De La Rosa ...The Lipski hype train has fully crashed and burned and through the smoke, it is clear that it was her lack of TDD that shot the Queen of Violence in the foot. With no real volume on the outside, and a lack of desire to engage in the pocket (which found her success on the regional circuit), Lipski needs to rebuild outside of the UFC if she is to lose again on Saturday. De La Rosa is a competent wrestler/grappler, whose size has often been an issue, but should be more than skilled enough to snatch onto Lipski’s back for fifteen minutes)
  • Tanner Boser ...Mullet man, Boser, is an easy HW to root for as a result of his high volume, stick and move style which is rare amongst 265'ers. His slick movement and lightning hand speed have left the majority of unranked HW’s bemused after they were unable to land their 100% power punch stand-up. Latifi is a tiny Heavyweight, only 5’10”, but the Swede carries heavy hands that have seen him earn a string of first-round knockout victories. Boser’s TDD will come under intense scrutiny from Latifi’s Greco-Roman wrestling, yet the Canadian should be able to prosper on the feet after an early barrage. Less technical than Volkan Oezdemir but sharper on his feet, Boser vs Latifi should see the cards, so long as Boser isn’t caught in an early submission
  • Muslim Salikhov ...Trinaldo and Salikhov are old, but the Brazilian has shown a more visible physical decline over the past couple of years. While Trinaldo is a wily veteran, picking smart counter strikes and mixing in a grinding top game, Salikhov is an expansive counter-striker who thrives in open space where he can employ a range of spinning attacks. At 42, it is becoming increasingly difficult to back Trinaldo despite his ability to carry his power late into a fight. Salikhov was lucky last time out to secure a decision over Elizeu Zaleski, but his ability to maintain a striking distance favorable to himself will determine this fight.
  • Mason Jones ...Jones’ relentless pressure on the feet will be too much for the one-shot striking of Alan Patrick. While the Brazilian still carries power despite being 37 years of age, he throws far too little to seriously threaten Jones’ rock-solid chin. Moreover, while Jones was taken down with relative ease by Mike Davis, he is a difficult fighter to keep tied down. Expect Patrick to find some success wrestling during the opening round before Jones secures the later rounds with furious volume on the feet. Likely decision
  • Manon Fiorot - TKO ...Fiorot surprised in her UFC debut, picking apart Victoria Leonardo with a wonderful mixture of striking and clinch work. Fighting out of a side-on stance, Fiorot uses her length with side kicks, before feinting with her lead leg into heavy boxing combos. Ricci is taking this fight on short notice, which will not aid her already tiny stature for Flyweight. Moreover, digging into Ricci’s record reveals the LFA faithful has not yet earned a victory over an opponent with a winning record. Still, Ricci has an extensive background in judo and her grappling is certainly a viable weapon. Fiorot will be too big and too experienced tonight, me thinks
 
Gl tonight. Not the best name power card but think it will be entertaining. I'll be curious what you think about some of the main card fights, was on the fence on several.
 
Fight one, would prolly take Leavitt by sub but my book has no props on early stuff
  • 1.5/1.15 Claudio Puelles vs Jordan Leavitt Total UNDER 2½ -130

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more bs...
  • Jairzinho Rozenstruik ...If you don’t find yourself too excited about this one, then don’t feel ashamed. Neither man is the extreme knockout puncher they are marketed to be, at least not in regards to quality opposition. Rozenstruik’s patient kickboxing relies heavily on his durability and grit to stay in the pocket. With his feet cemented into the ground, Rozenstruik rides incoming punches before returning volume. Ciryl Gane’s stick and move style had Rozenstruik in fits as the Suriname native failed to make a read over their 25-minute battle. Sakai isn’t a slick enough striker to maintain that game plan for five rounds, but he can certainly find stretches of success with such an approach. Sakai’s lack of ground game won’t be exposed by Rozenstruik, which will allow the towering Brazilian more freedom to walk down Rozenstruik. If Sakai opts for his tried and tested strategy of simply marching Rozenstruik down, then he plays directly into Rozenstruik’s game. Instead, Sakai needs to utilize leg kicks and teep kicks that had Overeem in serious trouble during the early rounds. Don't be surprised if this one goes to the cards
  • Marcin Tybura KO ...It’s hard not to root for Harris considering the awful past couple of years he and his family have experienced. Harris’ fearsome one-punch knockout power and kill or be killed approach are also key components behind fan love for The Big Ticket. Moreover, the recent addition of hand fighting and a renewed strength and conditioning program aims to keep Harris active in the octagon beyond his explosive bursts. Unfortunately for Harris, a porous wrestling defense plays directly into Tybura’s strength. The Pole has been more relaxed on the feet in recent fights, but it would be foolish to attempt it against Harris. Instead, Tybura will need to ride an early wave of pressure before grounding his tiring opponent during the later rounds for ground and pound finish.
  • Laureano Staropoli ...This has the potential to be an absolute banger between a couple of exciting kickboxers. Dolidze is a personal favorite of mine, carrying huge power and an arsenal of submissions. Dolidze’s suspect gas tank will allow Staropoli to surge ahead during the later rounds, but the Georgian remains a threat off the mat to the final bell. Staropoli desperately needs a win to stay in the UFC. Constant movement around the border of the octagon, Staropoli sticks and moves with a variety of spinning attacks and reactive strikes that offer high-risk high reward. Close call.
  • Miguel Baeza - Decision (Baeza is a very flawed fighter who should have no real chance of winning this fight, but Ponz sadly looked over the hill against Jingliang Li. While “you’re only as good as your last fight” often plays a role, it needs to be considered Ponz had also spent two years off with a plethora of illnesses and injuries. The ranked Welterweight that tore apart competitors like Neil Magny and Gunnar Nelson, was not the athlete who entered the octagon against Li. Baeza is a clean kickboxer on the outside but struggles under the pressure. Matt Brown was able to exploit holes in Baeza’s defence and decision making, but Ponz’s lack of volume in his return worryingly suggests he doesn’t have enough anymore to crush Baeza under pressure)
  • Dusko Todovoric ...Just 3 weeks after a first-round knockout over Josh Fremd in the LFA, Gregory Rodriguez takes the last-minute call-up to face Dusko Todovoric. Both men’s best work stems from top position, yet both have struggled to wrestle against more competent competition. Rodriguez falls back on his ridiculously heavy hands, employing a single-shot counter style that picks apart holes in his opponent. While Todovoric lacks any form of guard, his movement is crisp enough to slip Rodriguez explosive kicking game and punish the Brazilian’s low volume. Either man could end this early with their power, yet Todovoric has the benefit of a proper camp and stronger grappling.
  • Tom Breese sub ...Arroyo is a ridiculously frustrating fighter because he has the athletic gifts to be a solid UFC name, but his decision making is utterly atrocious. Favoring kicks over a jab, Arroyo’s expansive strikes often result in him hitting the mat. Sure, Arroyo has proven he can get back up, but within the very next exchange he’ll make the same mistake once again and end up on his back. Breese is a shell of the fighter who was blowing up around 2015, but his jab and top-notch offensive grappling should be enough to see him through Arroyo.
 
[3-2-1 +1.26u]
  • 2/0.7 Montana De La Rosa (w) -285
  • 1/4.5 Breese vs Arroyo - Breese by Submission +450
 
Whew, passed out last night and missed last 2 fights.

posted record... [5-3-2 +2.19u]

Edit.. After checking my ticket, I see I was refunded for both the following in the No Contest eye poke. I thought the total was a loser...so a little better

Corrected record posted [5-2-3 +3.39u] ;)
  • 2/0.6 Mason Jones -335
  • 1.2/0.96 Alan Patrick vs Mason Jones OVER 2½ -125
 
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