UFC Vegas 26
- Thread starter mrpickem
- Start date
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| First half of the card action... | |
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- Phil Hawes ...Daukaus is a towering 6’3″ Middleweight who may prove difficult to get control of in the clinch, but I can see Hawes’ cleaner striking and greater power during the early rounds banking enough on the scorecards before his gas tank fades. Daukaus can throw up a submission off his back, but Hawes proved last time out that he has the technique in addition to physical athletic excellence to grind out rounds from the top...likely over and descision
- L'udovit Klein ITD...Ultimate Fighter winner, Trizano, comes off a 2-year layoff since being slept by a Grant Dawson rear-naked choke back in 2019. Trizano was an okay wrestler but he excelled on the feet with patient kickboxing together with compact defense and an educated single shot selection. Klein is an early fight threat with a lethal head kick that is expertly masked with front kicks, body kicks and decent boxing.
- Tafon Nchukwi KO ...This may be too stern a test for Nchukwi so early in his career, and with so many question marks remaining over his wrestling ability, yet the sheer power and size of the Cameroonian will likely be too much at 185. If Park can sail through an early storm, his simple but sharp boxing combinations and solid wrestling should force the fight to the mat or at least against the cage. Whether the fight makes it outside of the first few exchanges, however, is the real question...I'm banking on a 1st round finish
- Carlston Harris ...Harris may be 33, but he has a wealth of experience with a couple solid wins including Wellington Turman (UFC) and Saygid Izagakhmaev (Khabib’s sparring partner). Aguilera does have some heavy hands with a decent wrestling game, but Harris will relentlessly pursue the takedown. Harris may even find a submission, but the safest call is Harris grinding Aguilera down against the cage for a victory on the cards
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Big daddy naught
Pretty much a regular
On Gillespie here
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| [1-4 -2.52u] | ||||||
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That was a lame start, Hawes still pending and will have a few more.
- Waterson by decision ...Michelle is a technically polished striker, with a disgustingly underrated clinch game, but her size may prove an issue in this fight. While both women are career FW, Rodriguez is best primed to benefit from the fight being at 125, as Waterson already fights above her natural weight due to the lack of Atomweight division in the UFC. The Brazilian is a tall striker with strong footwork that forces opponents to chase her laterally around the border of the octagon, rarely backing herself against the cage. Rodriguez struggles to work herself up off the mat when she is forced onto her back, however and often drains out rounds by staying safe in guard. Waterson’s wrestling isn’t stellar, but her deep gas tank and ability to mix shots with kickboxing combination suggest the American will eventually take the fight to the ground and maintain enough top control for the decision.
- Cowboy Cerrone ...This comes down to just how far Cowboy has regressed. At 38, and owner of a 0-4-1 slide, Cerrone is also a momentum fighter that has been forced to stay on the sidelines for nearly a year. Still, the time off may also prove beneficial to fully recuperate any injuries sustained over 2019-2020. As long as Cerrone hasn’t declined sharply, this is an ideal stylistic match-up. Morono is a well-rounded grinder who uses unorthodox herky-jerky striking to pressure opponents against the cage and eventually work his way to the back. Cerrone is a master of distance, however, and won’t struggle to keep a longer range where he can land his demolition kicks within creative combinations. Moreover, Cerrone’s intercepting knees and sharpened shot defense will stop Morono from blindly wrestling from the opening minute. Has making for a fun watch and I wouldn't be surprised by Donald decision or ITD
- Geoff Neal KO ...In a 5-round fight, Magny would have to be favored as his exceptional conditioning and underrated wrestling would allow him to take over a powerful but fleeting Neal. In a 3-rounder, Neal’s solid TDD (as seen vs Belal Muhammad) will allow him to keep the fight standing and push Magny on the feet. At 6’3″ and operating behind a strong jab, Magny should keep the fight at an uncomfortable range for Neal, but his striking defense is leaky. Moving backwards in a straight line will allow Neal free reign over the center, as well as ample time to land his heavy hands.
- Maurice Greene sub ...This is a real-toss up between two gatekeepers at HW with massive holes in their game. Greene is a high-risk striker with almost no striking defense, throwing ridiculous head kicks while biding his time to engage in the clinch. De Lima possesses heavy hands and filthy leg kicks, by throwing full power in every shot he regularly leaves himself exposed to takedowns. Greene’s durability may be enough to see him through a rocky first-round, and eventually, expose a tiring de Lima on the mat.
- Gillespie likely by Decision ...One of the top BJJ specialists at LW, Ferreira has tightened his kickboxing over his UFC tenure to the level that he is no longer reliant solely on the ground game. Porous TDD has plagued Ferreira, and against a 4-time All-American wrestler, Gillespie has the athletic and technical ability to keep Ferreira pinned on his back. If this was solely a wrestling/BJJ toss-up, then Gillespie has to favored to bank the rounds based on his dominant top control, submission defense and gas tank. After a year and a half layoff, it will be a far closer match with sprinklings of striking that may see the Brazilian pull ahead on the scorecards early.
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Big daddy naught
Pretty much a regular
Hawes is a beast. He basically made that kid quit. He didn’t want no more.
Big daddy naught
Pretty much a regular
Get that shit Gillespie. What a 2nd round
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
| [3-5 +0.48u] rest of my card... | |
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Inspekdah
My man, Michael Jordan!
1402 Gregor Gillespie -135 vs Diego Ferreira
2.97/2.2
1/1.35
^
That was a lame start, Hawes still pending and will have a few more.
- Waterson by decision ...Michelle is a technically polished striker, with a disgustingly underrated clinch game, but her size may prove an issue in this fight. While both women are career FW, Rodriguez is best primed to benefit from the fight being at 125, as Waterson already fights above her natural weight due to the lack of Atomweight division in the UFC. The Brazilian is a tall striker with strong footwork that forces opponents to chase her laterally around the border of the octagon, rarely backing herself against the cage. Rodriguez struggles to work herself up off the mat when she is forced onto her back, however and often drains out rounds by staying safe in guard. Waterson’s wrestling isn’t stellar, but her deep gas tank and ability to mix shots with kickboxing combination suggest the American will eventually take the fight to the ground and maintain enough top control for the decision.
- Cowboy Cerrone ...This comes down to just how far Cowboy has regressed. At 38, and owner of a 0-4-1 slide, Cerrone is also a momentum fighter that has been forced to stay on the sidelines for nearly a year. Still, the time off may also prove beneficial to fully recuperate any injuries sustained over 2019-2020. As long as Cerrone hasn’t declined sharply, this is an ideal stylistic match-up. Morono is a well-rounded grinder who uses unorthodox herky-jerky striking to pressure opponents against the cage and eventually work his way to the back. Cerrone is a master of distance, however, and won’t struggle to keep a longer range where he can land his demolition kicks within creative combinations. Moreover, Cerrone’s intercepting knees and sharpened shot defense will stop Morono from blindly wrestling from the opening minute. Has making for a fun watch and I wouldn't be surprised by Donald decision or ITD
- Geoff Neal KO ...In a 5-round fight, Magny would have to be favored as his exceptional conditioning and underrated wrestling would allow him to take over a powerful but fleeting Neal. In a 3-rounder, Neal’s solid TDD (as seen vs Belal Muhammad) will allow him to keep the fight standing and push Magny on the feet. At 6’3″ and operating behind a strong jab, Magny should keep the fight at an uncomfortable range for Neal, but his striking defense is leaky. Moving backwards in a straight line will allow Neal free reign over the center, as well as ample time to land his heavy hands.
- Maurice Greene sub ...This is a real-toss up between two gatekeepers at HW with massive holes in their game. Greene is a high-risk striker with almost no striking defense, throwing ridiculous head kicks while biding his time to engage in the clinch. De Lima possesses heavy hands and filthy leg kicks, by throwing full power in every shot he regularly leaves himself exposed to takedowns. Greene’s durability may be enough to see him through a rocky first-round, and eventually, expose a tiring de Lima on the mat.
- Gillespie likely by Decision ...One of the top BJJ specialists at LW, Ferreira has tightened his kickboxing over his UFC tenure to the level that he is no longer reliant solely on the ground game. Porous TDD has plagued Ferreira, and against a 4-time All-American wrestler, Gillespie has the athletic and technical ability to keep Ferreira pinned on his back. If this was solely a wrestling/BJJ toss-up, then Gillespie has to favored to bank the rounds based on his dominant top control, submission defense and gas tank. After a year and a half layoff, it will be a far closer match with sprinklings of striking that may see the Brazilian pull ahead on the scorecards early.
What a smoke. What an awful tattoo
Big daddy naught
Pretty much a regular
Cowboy needs to retire
