UFC ~ Vegas 25
- Thread starter mrpickem
- Start date
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
randoms on prelims...
- Kai Kamaka III -135...Kamaka is legit boxer with decent TDD and scrambles, but he lacks the power to keep guys like TJ Brown from continuing to pressure. Brown’s bread and butter are to shoot and grind opponents on the mat, but his reactive striking and ability to throw multiple shots off the same hand can catch opponents unaware. Kamaka’s long gas tank and cleaner striking will probably still out-point Brown on the cards.
- Loma Lookboonmee -400...Eventually, Lookboonmee will be physically dominated at Strawweight. As an Atomweight fighter forced to fight at 115 due to the lack of her natural division in the UFC, the Thai fighter has held herself extremely well at 115. Dominating fighters in the clinch, Lookboonmee lands frequently with knees and elbows and throwing hard body kicks when exiting. Hughes is a physically imposing Strawweight, one that could win this on size alone, yet her leaky striking defense leaves her open to punishment. Hughes can use her size and grappling chops to negate Lookboonmee’s best work in the clinch, but the Thai fighter is hard to hit standing...lean Loma but too close to call at this price.
- Andreas Michailidis -190...Both were both finished in the first-round of their UFC debuts, Michailidis was a last-minute call-up in a heavier weight class. Despite Bhullar’s huge 6’4″ frame for MW, his lack of volume allows opponents to set the pace of the fight and close distance without risk. While Michailidis is limited to low kicks and hooks on the feet, his grappling is more proven than Bhullar’s..likely descision
- Luke Sanders KO +360 ...Colares can hold his own on the feet for periods, but his single-shot offenSe won’t be enough to keep Sanders from walking him down. While Sanders often swings and misses, he carries crazy power and only needs one to wobble opponents. Colares will likely aim to pull guard to stay away from Sanders’ power on the feet, but he struggles keeping opponents on the mat.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
more horsey...
- Dustin Jacoby +107 & ITD +215 ...Cutelaba is an exciting one-round gas tank brawler, and there is a great chance that the Moldovan simply bulldozes forward and cracks Jacoby clean on the chin during one of his explosive barrages. However Jacoby, reborn after his stint across various kickboxing promotions, has always shown a stellar chin. Moreover, Jacoby’s strong TDD and grappling defense vs an experienced Grishin last time out, indicate that Jacoby has the tools to keep the fight standing. If Jacoby can withstand an early blitz, he will be able to pick apart the tired power puncher during the later rounds and possible get the finish.
- Sean Strickland -260 ...There is a reason that Jotko isn’t a home brand name and that’s because his fights are almost always garbage to watch unless he is on the losing end. A slick counter-puncher, Jotko is incredibly difficult to pin against the cage or on the mat, and often picks opponents on the feet with frequent jabs and leg kicks. Sadly, Jotko rarely commits to power shots while Strickland attempts to incorporate a power shot in almost all of his short boxing combinations. Strickland’s career revival since the motorcycle accident has been of the better feel-good stories in MMA. Strickland’s low right hand will leave him open to Jotko’s jab all night, but Strickland’s power will leave Jotko on the losing end of most exchanges.
- Merab Dvalishvili -250 ...In this match of two excellent wrestlers, Dvalishvili’s 4" reach advantage will play a major role in the success of taking down Stamann’s fridge-like physique. Although both men operate the solid overhand into takedown pattern that finds wrestlers great success in MMA, Dvalishvili has developed a chopping leg kick that keeps him active on the feet. Stamann carries decent power and can time an accurate counter, but he will struggle with the sheer tenacity and relentless grinding that Dvalishvili is known for.
- Poliana Botelho Round 1 +525 ...Carolina has a decent kicking game, and her long frame makes her difficult to deal with on the outside, but her tendency to drop her hands immediately after firing a kick frequently leaves her vulnerable. Botelho is a somewhat un-coordinated striker, she carries power unseen at 125 and can punish Carolina’s awful boxing. Willing to wade into danger and close the distance, Botelho’s chin and heavy hands very well may make this an early night.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
top of the card bullsheeit...
- Dominick Reyes +102 & ITD +165 ...Reyes thrives in clean kickboxing matches that favor his natural athleticism (as king of the stationary bike) and freakish length. Prochazka will be more than happy to keep the feet standing, yet his unorthodox angles, low hands and ‘offense is the best form of defense’ style means that Reyes will struggle to keep a lid over his Czech opponent. While Prochazka’s freak one-punch power has attracted all the limelight during the build-up to this fight, Reyes’ kicking game has been sorely over-looked. Prochazka keeps his lead leg extended well before him, and while he constantly changes stances throughout the fight, Reyes will be able to pepper the calf of his opponent. Oezdemir wobbled the Czech during his debut, and although he was able to recover fast, Reyes has shown a greater aptitude for finishing fights. Both men carry a decent gas tank, but Reyes is more likely to land consistently during the earlier rounds and can bank decent work to the body and legs that will pay dividends during the championship rounds. The lack of solid striking defense of Prochazka, relying almost solely on sharp head movement, may bait Reyes into the one hard shot that Prochazka needs but it probably will spell the downfall of the meme machine. :/
- Cub Swanson +155 ...It is time for us all to accept that Cub isn’t the fighter he use to be, having engaged in several wars and suffering career-altering injuries (such as the torn ACL/Meniscus against Jake Shields). Still, as proven in his last outing, Cub has the experience and technical ability to adapt inside the octagon and find the winning formula. While Chikadze could target Swanson’s lead leg in a similarly devastating manner that Daniel Pineda managed, the Georgian will likely be unwilling to risk the possibility of Swanson catching the kick and taking the fight to the mat. Swanson is capable of out-working Chikadze at a boxing range, yet Chikadze excels against pressure fighters and if Cub blindly closes the distance then he will play directly into Chikadze’s hands. Swanson’s best case would be to force Chikadze to press the action, use counter strikes as a vehicle to the takedown, and test the unproven grappling chops of the Georgian. Tough call here, but nothing trumps experience...mostly
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
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This is the rest of my card, I'm out, Best of luck to all. :shake:
