UFC Vegas 24

[mrpickem]

Pretty weak card with a good matchup at the top.

I got nothing for first 3 bouts, may have some interest after that :cheers3:

 

[ProV1Colt]

GL tonight. I’ll be tailing as usual!

 

[mrpickem]

One I really like is the PitBull at -107 ...Sherman likes to move forward, very aggressive fighter. Fairly high volume as well, but the issue with his style is that he also has very little defense. He’ll eat 2 or 3 shots to land one of his own. Even on the regional scene he’s been taking a lot of damage from lower level guys. It does look like he has some pop in his shots though. Arlovski, on the other hand, is more of a counter puncher. His volume isn’t great but he has a habit of slowing fights down to his pace. Even though he’s coming in short notice I think it is a rather favorable matchup for him. Unless Arlovski shows up completely washed, I think he should be able to counter Sherman coming in and slip a lot of his shots, especially with how much Sherman likes to move forward. The last fighter that tried to constantly move forward on Arlovski was Rothwell and Arlovski touched him up. The obvious concern is Arlovski is 42 and has lost a step, but his game still has aged rather well. Arlovski is the much better fighter, so unless his age really starts to show I think he gets this. He should be able to cruise to a decision, but with how hittable Sherman is and coming forward...it wouldn’t be surprising if Andre got the KO.

 

[mrpickem]

​	wth...lol​
	2041 Gravely points handicap -3½ -240 vs Birchak points handicap any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighte 1.44/.6

Gravely should outclass this guy even though the odds are shit. Birchak was already released once in 2016 but has managed to get another run. Gravely's ground work can be dominate although he may choose to strike,,,at least for awhile. In reality he should be able to dictate whatever he wants.

 

[mrpickem]

Bush may be a live dog, but hard to back a fighter on 8 days notice. Seriously considered Bush by SUB +490 but gonna sit this one out

 

[mrpickem]

As for the next fight: I really thought hard on Meerschaert by SUB +200 but his last 2 fights inspire little confidence. I do expect Fabinski to take Meerschaert down but Meerschaert will be confident he can wrap up a sub. Fabinski has shown a weakness there but he has faces high-level black belts in Prazeres and Muniz. Meerschaert may really have to hurt Fabinski to soften him up enough for the finish. This could also be a boring position battle with limited action...gonna stand aside for another one...

 

[mrpickem]

​	[1-0 +.6u]​
	1742 Godinez points handicap -3½ +125 any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter .8/1 1701 Jessica Penne/Lupita Godinez Over 2½ -315 1.89/.6

 

[mrpickem]

​	[2-1 +.4u]
	1605 Espino wins inside distance +200 .5/1 1627 Espino wins by submission +290 .6/1.74 1601 Juan Espino +132 vs Alexander Romanov .5/.66

 

[mrpickem]

​	[2-4 -1.2u]​
	1401 Luis Pena -157 vs Alex Munoz 5.65/3.6

***** was outta gas and begged off with weak nut shot :riphair:

 

[mrpickem]

​	[3-4 +2.4u]​
	1511 Cortez wins by 3 round decision -145 2.03/1.4 1540 Cortez (scorecards = no action) -215 vs Kish (scorecards = no action) if fight goes to scorecards all wagers are no action 2.58/.2

 

[mrpickem]

​	this seems so easy, but odds are dropping so I'm in at 127​
	801 Ben Askren +127 vs Jake Paul 4/5.08

after all, just look at the difference :rofl:

 

[mrpickem]

real athlete


vs

whatever he is

 

[mrpickem]

​	[4-4-1 +3.8u]​
	1309 Razak Alhassan wins inside distance -170 2.04/1.2

 

[mrpickem]

​	[4-5-1 +1.76u]
	1207 Arlovski wins by 3 round decision +210 1.5/3.15 1201 Andrei Arlovski +105 vs Chase Sherman 2.6/2.73 1201 Andrei Arlovski/Chase Sherman Over 2½ -150 1.5/1

 

[mrpickem]

BOL players, I'm out

last play

1001 Kelvin Gastelum +230 vs Robert Whittaker 2/4.6

 

[Andy]

Gl