UFC on FX 7: Bisping vs. Belfort

Grind_4_Mine

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Middleweights


Michael Bisping (23-4, 13-4 UFC) vs. Vitor Belfort (21-10, 10-6 UFC)

The Matchup: As the contenders continue to drop like flies, the middleweight division grows more muddled by the month. An injury to Chris Weidman and recent losses by Tim Boetsch and Alan Belcher have left a shortage of fresh and interesting challengers for Silva, the longtime 185-pound champion. Belfort has a chance to further complicate things by knocking off Bisping; the Brit will likely receive a title shot if he is victorious here, but Belfort, with memories of his front-kick knockout loss to “The Spider” at UFC 126 still fresh, would not be next in line.

Long one of the UFC’s more underappreciated talents, Bisping has compiled an impressive resume in the Octagon, as his 13 victories tie him with Jon Fitch for 10th all-time in the promotion. “The Count” has also garnered respect in defeat: a closer-than-expected setback at the hands of Chael Sonnen at UFC on Fox 2 did little to hurt his standing. “The Ultimate Fighter” Season 3 winner has since rebounded by posting a unanimous verdict over Brian Stann in September.

Belfort, meanwhile, gave light heavyweight king Jon Jones the greatest scare of his title reign to date, nearly submitting the champion with an armbar from his back in the opening frame at UFC 152. That would be the Brazilian’s one shining moment in the bout, however, as he was ultimately worn down and submitted in round four.

That armbar, along with the rear-naked choke Belfort used to tap Anthony Johnson at UFC 142, marked the first submissions the former 205-pound champion had attempted since 2006, when he faced Dan Henderson under the Pride Fighting Championships banner. Although it is good to see Belfort, a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt, re-incorporating that aspect of his arsenal, it is unlikely that he will defeat Bisping by going the submission route. Instead, this contest is likely to go one of two directions: a quick and explosive finish by Belfort or an extended, five-round affair that showcases Bisping’s defensive boxing, skilled movement and stellar conditioning.

At his best, Belfort explodes out of the gates with a purpose, as he did in first-round stoppages of Rich Franklin and Yoshihiro Akiyama during his second UFC tenure. Belfort’s hand speed allows him to unload on opponents with blistering combinations; if Bisping finds himself rubber-legged, as he briefly did in the first round of his encounter with Stann, he might not have an opportunity to recover. The downside of this approach is that Belfort can fade in the latter stages of a bout, leaving someone with the superior cardio of Bisping plenty of chances to land accurate combinations in the championship frames.

If Belfort, a southpaw, cannot create angles and opportunities to lay hands on Bisping, his night will become increasingly more frustrating. “The Count” is a sound defensive fighter with a solid understanding of how to control the cage. He is especially adept at racking up points on the feet while moving in and out of danger, so Belfort needs to maintain his poise if things do not go his way early. Recently, Bisping has shown an ability to mix up his attacks by landing timely takedowns, but Belfort should be strong enough to thwart most of his opponent’s shots.

The Pick: Belfort struggles when faced with the pressure of a relentless wrestler, but Bisping will probably be on his bicycle for most of this contest in hopes of avoiding the Brazilian’s dangerous hands. Belfort will eventually find the opening he needs to land a tide-turning strike -- perhaps a left hook -- and he will finish the job with one of his patented flurries in the second round.

(Preview from Sherdog.net)
 
[h=2]Middleweights[/h]
C.B. Dollaway (12-4, 6-4 UFC) vs. Daniel Sarafian (7-2, 0-0 UFC)

The Matchup: It is difficult to tell whether Dollaway’s UFC 146 victory over Jason Miller had more to do with his performance or with the struggles of an underwhelming “Mayhem,” who faltered badly in two recent Octagon appearances before being released by the company. What is clear is that after a lengthy layoff due to hip surgery, Dollaway will take the dominant victory, regardless of Miller’s state.

Next up for the Power MMA Team product is Sarafian, who is making his Octagon debut after a stint on “The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil.”Sarafian was knocked out of the reality show’s finale by an arm injury, and he has not had an official professional bout since June 2011. The 30-year-old Sao Paulo native has shown a dangerous submission game thus far in his career, earning six of his seven victories via tapout.

Sarafian will want to control distance with his jab and leg kicks, but if he can initiate the takedown, he will have a good chance at earning a finish. The Brazilian is adept at advancing position and has slick transitions on the mat. Meanwhile, Dollaway is a competent grappler with dangerous chokes, but he tends to leave himself exposed while pursuing submissions of his own.

An NCAA All-American wrestler at Arizona State University, Dollaway’s standup has remained limited as his UFC tenure has progressed. “The Doberman” can be rocked on the feet, as evidenced by recent knockout losses to Mark Munoz and Jared Hamman. Sarafian, with a more diverse striking arsenal that includes various kicks and flying knees, should have the advantage in exchanges.

Dollaway will not waste much time trading with Sarafian. The American will attempt to close the distance as soon as he can in order to implement the same game plan -- takedowns and ground-and-pound -- he employed with great success against Miller. It will be paramount for Sarafian to sweep or reverse if he finds himself beneath his foe.

The Pick: Dollaway has been inconsistent since emerging from Season 7 of “The Ultimate Fighter,” and he will struggle to impose his will on Sarafian, who wins via decision or late submission.
 
Heavyweights


Gabriel Gonzaga (13-6, 8-5 UFC) vs. Ben Rothwell (32-8, 2-2 UFC)

The Matchup: After gasping for air in a unanimous decision loss to Mark Hunt at UFC 135, Rothwell looked like a new man in his last outing, knocking out Brendan Schaub in 70 seconds in April. The former International Fight League standout appeared to be in much better shape than in previous Octagon appearances, and he credited a revamped training regimen and lifestyle changes for the improvement.

Gonzaga returned to the promotion for the first time since October 2010 at UFC 142, where he submitted Ednaldo Oliveira with a rear-naked choke in the opening frame. “Napao”quickly rose up the heavyweight ranks after his stunning knockout of Mirko Filipovic more than five years ago, but the Brazilian’s tendency to abandon his grappling has proven to be his undoing against superior opposition.

While Rothwell took advantage of a careless Schaub with a counter left hook, the Wisconsin native is generally a methodical competitor who does his best work by bullying foes against the fence and wearing them down on the mat. The 31-year-old has decent hands, but his standup defense can be exposed; Schaub had him backpedaling early after rocking him with an elbow at UFC 145.

Gonzaga can do damage with hard leg kicks, but the Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt would be wise to try and get his opponent to the canvas instead of engaging in a standup brawl. Rothwell is a capable grappler, but most of his submission victories have come from top position, and he will not be able to control Gonzaga on the mat. Conditioning could play a role if the bout does not end early, as both Rothwell and Gonzaga have shown a tendency to tire late in fights. Rothwell’s newfound conditioning could prove to be the difference if he is able to avoid being submitted.

The Pick: After a fairly spirited beginning, the contest slows to a crawl, as Rothwell attempts to assert himself in tie-ups. The American eventually wears Gonzaga down to earn a decision victory.
 
[h=2]Lightweights[/h]
Thiago Tavares (17-4-1, 7-4-1 UFC) vs. Khabib Nurmagomedov (18-0, 2-0 UFC)

The Matchup: Nurmagomedov was fortunate to leave UFC 148 with his unblemished record intact. Gleison Tibau was able to stuff the Russian’s takedown attempts and counter effectively for most of the bout, but, in the end, Nurmagomedov was rewarded by the judges for his consistent aggression. That followed an impressive debut effort in which he submitted World Extreme Cagefighting veteran Kamal Shalorus with a rear-naked choke in the third round at UFC on FX 1.

Just 24 years old, the Red Fury Fight Team representative appears to have a bright future ahead of him if he continues to improve. He faces a veteran performer in Tavares, who enters the bout on a two-fight winning streak. The Brazilian defeated Sam Stout via unanimous decision in his last outing at UFC 142; although Tavares is known for his ground game, he held his own on the feet with Stout for much of the contest.

Tavares is a patient performer who relies on his conditioning to give him the upper hand in struggles for positional control. The Ataque Duplo product is persistent in clinches, where he gradually wears on foes and gets the fight to the floor. Nurmagomedov presents a significant challenge in this area, as he has successfully defended all 10 takedowns attempted against him thus far in the UFC.

Tavares will need to mix up his attack by landing kicks along with his overhand right. His striking is not of the world-beating variety, but, as he demonstrated against Stout, it is a useful addition to his arsenal. Nurmagomedov can set the tone by moving forward and landing multi-punch combinations, and he is also capable of catching Tavares with a solid counter as the grappling specialist attempts to move into tie-up range. The key will be how his stamina holds up after multiple draining tie-ups.

The Pick: This is a closely matched fight that could swing on just a few pivotal moments. Nurmagomedov has already proven that he is willing to initiate the action, and he will land effective combinations on the feet while defending enough of Tavares’ takedowns to come away with a narrow decision verdict.
 
(Prelims)

Featherweights

Diego Nunes (18-3, 3-2 UFC) vs. Nik Lentz (22-5-2, 6-2-1 UFC): The world-ranked Nunes used an aggressive offensive attack to outduel Bart Palaszewski at UFC on FX 5, flooring his opponent with right hands several times. After back-to-back losses to Mark Bocek andEvan Dunham, Lentz looked like a new man in his first bout at 145 pounds, stopping Eiji Mitsuoka in the first round at UFC 150. The well-rounded Nunes holds off a hard-charging Lentz to win via decision.

Featherweights

Godofredo Castro (8-1, 0-1 UFC) vs. Milton Vieira (13-7-2, 0-0-1 UFC): Castro, a cast member on“The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil,” came up short against Rony Mariano Bezerra in the reality show’s 145-pound final at UFC 147. It was not an especially inspiring effort, as Castro offered little offense and pulled guard on several occasions. Viera, who claims to have invented the anaconda choke, battled Felipe Arantes to a draw on that same card. Castro utilizes his 6.5-inch reach advantage and holds his own in the positional battles to take a decision.

Middleweights

Ronny Markes (13-1, 2-0 UFC) vs. Andrew Craig (8-0, 2-0 UFC): Markes took a hard-fought split decision over Aaron Simpson in his middleweight debut at UFC on Fuel TV 1. The Brazilian has solid wrestling, ground-and-pound and good finishing instincts. Craig has done better than expected in the Octagon, upsetting Kyle Noke in his first appearance before rallying to knock out Rafael Natal with a head kick in July. Markes wins by decision.

Lightweights

Edson Barboza (10-1, 4-1 UFC) vs. Lucas Martins (12-0, 0-0 UFC): Barboza appeared to be on the fast track to a 155-pound title shot until he lost to Jamie Varnerin 2012’s biggest upset. Now, the talented Brazilian will have to prove he can rebound from adversity against Martins, a Chute Boxe member who fought a whopping 10 times last year. Despite the prolific schedule of the newcomer, Barboza is the more seasoned pro with something to prove. Barboza takes this by second-round technical knockout.

Featherweights

Iuri Alcantara (28-4, 2-1 UFC) vs. Pedro Nobre(14-1-2, 0-0 UFC): Alcantara had his 13-fight winning streak halted at UFC 147, where he was unable to stay on his feet against Nova Uniao product Hacran Dias. That disappointing effort aside, Alcantara is an accurate striker with good submissions who should have better luck staying upright and landing punches against promotional debutante Nobre, a replacement opponent for George Roop. Alcantara ends it by stoppage or submission in round three.

Light Heavyweights

Wagner Prado (8-1, 0-1 UFC) vs. Ildemar Alcantara (17-5, 0-0 UFC): Prado’s ground game was exposed the second time around against Phil Davis, as “Caldeiro” tapped out to an anaconda choke in round two of their UFC 153 encounter. For his second Octagon challenge, he gets Alcantara, who has won his last seven bouts, six of them inside of a round. With neither combatant likely to waste much time once the bell sounds, this one could be headed for a quick finish. Alcantara is a natural middleweight, and he succumbs to the power of Prado via knockout or technical knockout in the opening frame.

Lightweights

Francisco Trinaldo (11-2, 1-1 UFC) vs. C.J. Keith (8-1, 0-1): Trinaldo was not able to consistently stop the takedowns of Gleison Tibau in his last outing, but the “The Ultimate Fighter: Brazil” alumnus did throw a scare into the veteran by rocking him with a left hand and nearly earning a submission. He should be able to keep the bout upright against Keith and win via TKO stoppage or decision.
 

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 10:20 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] Vitor Belfort vs Michael Bisping [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7001 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Vitor Belfort [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -110 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7002 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Michael Bisping [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -115 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 9:50 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] C B Dollaway vs Daniel Sarafian [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7003 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] C B Dollaway [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] +140 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7004 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Daniel Sarafian [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -165 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 9:20 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] Gabriel Gonzaga vs Ben Rothwell [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7005 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Gabriel Gonzaga [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -120 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7006 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Ben Rothwell [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -105 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 8:55 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] Khabib Nurmagomedov vs Thiago Tavares [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7007 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Khabib Nurmagomedov [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -180 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7008 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Thiago Tavares [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] +155 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 8:10 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] Godofredo Castro vs Milton Vieira [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7009 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Godofredo Castro [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] +170 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7010 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Milton Vieira [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -200 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 7:50 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] Andrew Craig vs Ronny Markes [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7011 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Andrew Craig [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] +265 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7012 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Ronny Markes [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -325 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 7:15 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] Nik Lentz vs Diego Nunes [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7013 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Nik Lentz [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] +135 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7014 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Diego Nunes [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -160 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 6:45 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] Edson Barboza vs Lucas Martins [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7015 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Edson Barboza [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -290 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7016 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Lucas Martins [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] +240 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 6:10 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] Yuri Alcantara vs Pedro Nobre [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7017 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Yuri Alcantara [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -500 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7018 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Pedro Nobre [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] +400 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 5:50 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] Ildemar Alcantara vs Wagner Prado [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7019 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Ildemar Alcantara [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] +185 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7020 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Wagner Prado [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -225 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 120"] 1/19/2013 5:15 PM [/TD]
[TD="width: 500"] C J Keith vs Francisco Trinaldo [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7021 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] C J Keith [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] +350 [/TD]
[TD="width: 200"] [/TD]

</tbody>

<tbody>
[TD="width: 55, align: center"] 7022 [/TD]
[TD="width: 300"] Francisco Trinaldo [/TD]
[TD="width: 65"] -450 [/TD]

</tbody>
 
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