UFC on Fuel TV 10

Dollaz

Dollaz

Egor Demin Watch Club Member
-Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (34-7-1) vs. Fabricio Werdum (16-5-1)
-TUF Brazil 2 Final: William Macario (6-0) vs. Leonardo Santos (11-3)
-Thiago Silva (14-3) vs. Rafael “Feijao” Cavalcante (11-3)
-Daniel Sarafian (7-3) vs. Eddie Mendez (7-0-1)
-Erick Silva (14-3) vs. Jason High (16-3)
-Rony Jason (12-3) vs. Mike Wilkinson (8-0)
Preliminary Bouts (on Facebook):
-Raphael Assuncao (18-4) vs. Vaughan Lee (13-8-1)
-Ronny Markes (14-1) vs. Derek Brunson (10-2)
-Godofredo “Pepey” Castro (9-1) vs. Felipe Arantes (14-4-1)
-Ildemar Alcantara (18-5) vs. Leandro Silva
-Rodrigo Damm (10-6) vs. Mizuto Hirota (14-6-1)
-Caio Magalhaes (5-1) vs. Karlos Vemola (9-3)
-Antonio Braga Neto (8-1) vs. Anthony Smith (17-9)
 
Looking thru card, don't know a lot of fighters.

Brunson is boring as hell and is a lay and prayer. Markes beat a strong wrestler in Simpson. \

I like Werdum.
 
5dimes GOGOGOGOGOGO
[TABLE="class: LineTable, width: 536"]
<tbody>[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]2101 Anthony Smith[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+180[/TD]
[TD]Over 1½ +145[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]2102 Antonio Braga Neto[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-260[/TD]
[TD]Under 1½ -185[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]2001 Karlos Vemola[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-150[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ +100[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]2002 Caio Magalhaes[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+110[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ -140[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1901 Rodrigo Damm[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-195[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -150[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1902 Mizuto Hirota[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+155[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +110[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1801 Leandro Silva[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+150[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -140[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1802 Ildemar Alcantara[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-190[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +100[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1701 Felipe Arantes[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-215[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -210[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1702 Godofredo Pepey[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+165[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +160[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1601 Derek Brunson[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+180[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -270[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1602 Ronny Markes[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-260[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +190[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1501 Vaughan Lee[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+240[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -160[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1502 Raphael Assuncao[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-320[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +120[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1401 Mike Wilkinson[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+280[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ +100[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1402 Rony Jason[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-400[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ -130[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1301 Erick Silva[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-420[/TD]
[TD]Over 1½ -130[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1302 Jason High[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+335[/TD]
[TD]Under 1½ +100[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1201 Eddie Mendez[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+370[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -120[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1202 Daniel Sarafian[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-465[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ -110[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1101 Thiago Silva[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+175[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ +145[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1102 Rafael Cavalcante[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-210[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ -175[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1101 William Macario[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+175[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -140[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR Alt, bgcolor: #EEE8ED"]
[TD]1102 Leonardo Santos[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-245[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ +100[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LHR"]
[TD="colspan: 5"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1001 Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]+260[/TD]
[TD]Over 2½ -125[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: LR NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD]1002 Fabricio Werdum[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]-320[/TD]
[TD]Under 2½ -105[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
The only thing I've played so far is:
Big Nog - Werdum o2.5 @+120 for 2u.

Still think there is plenty of value at -125. 5 round fight that I think starts pretty slow. No doubt both guys respect each other greatly and will IMO not take any risks early and make a mistake in front of Brazilian fans. I do like Werdum ITD though as I think he has a great shot at finishing Nog late as his skills are definitely superior to Nog's at this stage. Waiting on BOL to put up their shit props before I play any.

Looking at a Eric Silva / Werdum parlay, Eric Silva ITD props, and Cavalcante / Silva u2.5 and fight doesn't go distance plays.
 
Mendez / Sarafian u2.5 rds @ -105 1u on BOL.

Wanted to wait and see if we'd get back to + odds on this total but its been hit down to -120 on 5dimes and I bit on the stale BOL line. Mendez is some Strikeforce under card jobber who has no business being in the UFC. I think Saraian definitely got a wake up call in the fight he blew against Dollaway and should be motivated to put on a show in front of the Brazilian fans.
 
Werdum / Erick Silva / Sarafian parlay: 1u to win 1.02u

Decided to add Sarafian to this parlay as I think Mendez has literally zero to offer. Didn't really want to lay big juice with Werdum so took him with two Brazilians in Brazil who should dominate their fights.
 
FWIW Big Nog looked AWESOME at the weigh in. Literally the best shape I've seen him in the UFC, which to me even adds to the o2.5 rds but for some reason money came in on the under. Time will tell, but at this point I would probably pass on laying the -300 on Werdum as I would not be shocked if after the fight we hear about a Big Nog TRT exemption.
 
Final card for tonight:

Big Nog / Werdum o2.5 +120 to win 2u
Mendez / Sarafian u2.5 -105 1u
Werdum / Eric Silva / Sarafian 1u to win 1.02 u
Eric Silva KO/TKO/DQ +105 1u
Thiago Silva / Cavalcante u2.5 rds -175 to win 1u

BOL all I obviously am rooting for a pretty action packed night of fights.
:cheers:
 
Just did this parlay

[TABLE="class: Grid, width: 1330"]
<tbody style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">[TR="class: NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD="class: MiddleRight Currency, align: right"]$200.00[/TD]
[TD="class: MiddleRight Currency, align: right"]$931.10[/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Pending[/TD]
[TD="align: left"]4 Team Parlay[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Pending[/TD]
[TD="align: left"]6/8/13 10:00pm Props Fighting 779 Gamboa wins inside distance -250* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Not Gamboa inside distance [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Pending[/TD]
[TD="align: left"]6/8/13 10:30pm Props Fighting 1004 Fight won't go 5 round distance -260* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Nogueira/Werdum goes 5 round distance [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Pending[/TD]
[TD="align: left"]6/8/13 9:30pm Props Fighting 1209 Cavalcante wins inside distance +100* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Not Cavalcante inside distance [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: NonAlt, bgcolor: #E9EEEE"]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"][/TD]
[TD="align: left"]Pending[/TD]
[TD="align: left"]6/8/13 8:30pm Props Fighting 1405 Silva wins inside distance -218* <small style="padding: 0px; margin: 0px;">vs</small> Not Silva inside distance[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Lil nog v Shogun would've been very entertaining IMO, but Canada gets screwed losing that fight. Oh well, they love GSP so surely they love guys like shields and Evans who love to stink the joint up.
 
Son_of_Balrog said:
Lil nog v Shogun would've been very entertaining IMO, but Canada gets screwed losing that fight. Oh well, they love GSP so surely they love guys like shields and Evans who love to stink the joint up.
Click to expand...

I agree. I cheer for GSP since hes a home country guy but I hate him. Rory is the shit though. Can't for his fight next month against Ellenberger.
 
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