UFC on Fight Island 8

[mrpickem]

First fight

2301 Manon Fiorot -210 vs Victoria Leonardo
2.1/1

Had a miserable Saturda, almost comical in the number of losers I picked. Time to reverse course today.

 

[pb278817]

Nothing like waking up to some ufc. Gl today

 

[mrpickem]

​	[1-0 +1u]​
	2211 Nurmagomedov wins by 3 round decision -140 vs Not Nurmagomedov by 3 round decision .84/.6 2201 Sergey Morozov/Umar Nurmagomedov Over 2½ -207 2.9/1.4

​

 

[mrpickem]

​	[1-2 -2,74u]​
	2101 Mason Jones +142 vs Mike Davis .65/.92 2101 Mason Jones/Mike Davis Under 2½ +122 .85/1.04

 

[mrpickem]

2001 Francisco Nazareno -140 vs Jerome Rivera
2.8/2

 

[mrpickem]

​	[2-4 -2.24u]​
	1933 Lungiambula wins by TKO/KO +115 1.2/1.38 1902 Dalcha Lungiambula* -152 vs Markus Perez 3.8/2.5

 

[mrpickem]

​	[3-5 -0.94u]
	1821 Mudaerji wins in round 1 +135 .6/.81 1842 Mudaerji points handicap -3½ -300 vs Adashev points handicap any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter 4.5/1.5

 

[mrpickem]

Ricky Simon - ITD & SUB ...Simon has the clear advantage on the mat, but adhering to a gameplan has never been the strong point of Simon's career. Pirrello is tighter on the feet, but Simon's power is also a threat. Maybe we get to see a war in the pocket before a bit of grappling action and likely Simon SUB.

 

[mrpickem]

​	[4-6 -0.25u]​
	1709 Simon wins inside distance* +130 vs Not Simon inside distance 1/1.3 1731 Simon wins by submission* +255 vs Any other result 1.2/3.06 1/20/2021 11:30 AM MMA Props Fighting 1742 Simon points handicap* -3½ -255 vs Pirrello points handicap any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter 2.04/.8

 

[mrpickem]

Omari Akhmedov by KO ...It'll be an interesting round 1 as Breese's range and jab will likely cause the Russian some difficulty, yet the Brit's questionable chin/heart will be exposed eventually as Akhmedov refuses to pull his foot off the gas pedal and gets the finish.

 

[mrpickem]

​	[7-6 +4.91u] :clapping2:​
	1605 Akhmedov wins inside distance +540 vs Not Akhmedov inside distance 1/5.4 1617 Akhmedov wins in round 2 +1350 .6/8.1 1601 Omari Akhmedov +130 vs Tom Breese 1.3/1.69 1601 Omari Akhmedov/Tom Breese Under 2½ +132 .6/.79

 

[mrpickem]

Lerone Murphy ...While Andrade still possesses the quality to rag-doll opponents on the mat, it's difficult to see him overwhelming Murphy. The Brit throws dangerous knees, and has more than proven his ability to end a fight if he can gain the upper ground on the mat. Tough call but I could see a round 1 KO and if Andrade survives...it could easily go the distance.

 

[mrpickem]

​	[11-6 +20.89u]​
	1511 Murphy wins by 3 round decision +210 vs Not Murphy by 3 round decision .7/1.47 1521 Murphy wins in round 1 +250 1/2.5 1542 Murphy points handicap -3½ -180 vs Andrade points handicap any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter 2.7/1.5

That was fucking sweet, hit a +540 and +1350 in the same fight.

 

[pb278817]

Great calls the last 2. Keeping rolling

 

[mrpickem]

Tyson Nam -Round 1 ...Schnell is a solid fighter, with the grappling ability to punish Nam, but his questionable chin will be the biggest factor. Churning a hectic volume striking game could easily out-work Nam on the scorecards, but a strong chin would be necessary. Nam has been fighting at 135, but he cut to 125 pounds for this one. He is going to have above average power for the division and he does a good job setting up his shots with feints and leg kicks. In interviews Schnell has said he wants to stand and strike with Nam...if he stays true to this game-plan, his night is going to end early. :boxing3:

 

[mrpickem]

​	[13-7 +22.86u] :moneyeyes:​
	1409 Nam wins inside distance +120 1/1.2 1421 Nam wins in round 1 +255 .8/2.04 1402 Tyson Nam -105 vs Matt Schnell 1.31/1.25

 

[mrpickem]

Viviane Araujo ...Araujo is a blue chip athlete in a division with very little quality. It says a lot when Roxanne Modafferi is held up as a ranked fighter with top IQ/ability. The power and speed of Araujo will be the greatest equalizer of Modafferi's calculated gameplan. Modafferi will be at an advantage if she can take this one to the mat. She does a good job using her size and strength to control position, but her offensive grappling does leave a lot to be desired. Still, if she can frustrate Araujo she should be able to close the skill gap on the feet. When this fight is on the feet, Araujo should be able to box circles around Modafferi. Roxanne is tough and will keep coming forward, but she’s nowhere near the level of striker that Araujo is. Big issue for Roxy is Araujo has better than a 90%t takedown defense. The fight likely takes place primarily on the feet where Araujo is the far more technical and developed striker. I love Roxy but have to back the more gifted and athletic fighter. Roxy's durability will still most likely lead to a decision loss.

 

[mrpickem]

​	[13-10 +19.75u]
	1311 Araujo wins by 3 round decision -150 1.5/1 1342 Araujo points handicap -3½ -110 vs Modafferi points handicap any victory inside distance is a winner for selected fighter 2/1.82

 

[mrpickem]

​	[15-10 +22.57u]​
	1205 Moreira wins inside distance +175 1.6/2.8 1201 Vinicius Moreira -110 vs Ike Villanueva 1.65/1.5

Vinicius Moreira by SUB ...Horrendous match-up that should be nowhere near the UFC. Villanueva's striking in his best asset, yet his sloppy volume striking is effective only at regional level. While he may prove heavy to takedown initially, Moriera is far more skilled than his opponent and should be able to find the kill pretty early on. The sub is only 180 vs 175 ITD so I rode the latter.

 

[mrpickem]

​	token play on co-main, but I do really like Magny...had a great day and not looking to give back so, I'm out,,,last 2 plays​
	1127 Alves wins by submission +490 .5/2.45 1002 Neil Magny -140 vs Michael Chiesa 3.5/2.5