mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Early start today at 4:00 EST
randoms and leans...
randoms and leans...
- RDA -200 / By decision +130 ...There's a ton of questions coming into this matchup, with Felder on such short notice and RDA losing most of his recent fights, plus RDA has struggled to make 155 in the past. I believe RDA has more ways to win this fight, and it may be a classic RDA-style match where he holds Felder against the cage a lot, takes him down a couple times and just wears him down. I can see the value on Felder as an underdog and a very competent striker, I just think too many obstacles, unless RDA is in fact washed now, which remains to be seen.
- Abdul Alhassan - By KO -160 / Finish in round 1 +150 ...He has an insane power differential and he's 10-2 with all 10 wins by TKO/KO in the first round(6 KO's inside a minute). He is a black belt in judo, has excellent striking, and is a KO machine. When he touches people's chin, they drop. His last fight vs Lazzez is what has got people off the hype train. He unleashed on Lazzez against the fence for a solid 30-45 seconds and gassed himself out trying to finish. Lazzez did enough shoulder rolling and head movement to stay in the fight and won the next 2 rounds. While ADA just missed weight in a tough weight cut, I still expect him to find the KO considering Khaos Williams sloppy striking defense. Yes, he just KO'd Alex Morono, but he left himself open for shots that ADA will absolutely see and capitalize on. Yes, Khaos can catch ADA with his aggressive style, but I still like the value at -155 for ADA.
- Kay Hansen -185 ...Hansen is superior in every aspect of this fight: athleticism, striking, wrestling, submissions. Enough said
- Miranda Granger -155... likely by descision. Should prove a scrappy affair with Yoder making the contest ugly. Granger is happy to trade on the feet, which will benefit Yoder striking prowess. Yoder is good for making amateur mistakes, which will showcase Granger’s wrestling supremacy
- Alex Morono -175 ...Morono has fought better quality opposition and succeeded. McKee probably has an edge in terms of striking volume and ability, but Morono can make the fight ugly and will probably be able to secure his first takedown and eek out an ugle descision
- Louis Smolka -125 ...Both are equally as poor as each other, but it should be quite entertaining. Quiñonez will start the action with his aggressive boxing, while Smolka will actively search for a clinch and opportunities to land kicks on the outside...no more than a slight lean here
- Kanako Murata -3.5 +180 ...Markos is tough to predict because of her clear ability often being thrown to the wayside by her terrible fight IQ. Murata is riding a high from Invicta, and has the superior grappling skills, although it is yet to be seen whether she can work the larger Markos to the ground. Not the most exciting fight...
- Tony Gravely -137 ...these guys have pretty similar styles in that both fighters are grapple heavy but are still pretty proficient standing. Geraldo will be the rangier fighter in this matchup with a significant height/reach advantage. He’s accurate, has a nice jab and footwork, but tends to start winging punches under pressure. He does seem quick for someone his size, but I think Gravely will have the speed advantage. Geraldo also likes to mix in takedowns but isn’t very good at holding position. Gravely does pretty much the same thing but a little better. His boxing is a little tighter and crisper and he’s better at moving in and out of the pocket, also seems to be the harder hitter. Gravely’s take downs are more explosive and he does a better job of holding opponents down and landing strikes. He’s also fought tougher competition. I’m not really seeing why everyone is so high on Geraldo here, unless maybe Gravely’s last performance is putting people off, which is understandable. He did start to gas in the third against Johns, but that was just a grindy matchup against a really tough opponent. I don’t think Geraldo is even close to that level of wrestling. I think Gravely should be able to get the decision here, possibly even the ground and pound TKO.
- Don’Tale Mayes -245 ... Martinez’ wrestling could prevent Mayes from comfortably establishing his boxing, Mayes’ TDD is solid enough to keep fight standing eventually start landing significant shots. Chalk is pretty stoudt though and this will be a small trickle of a play
