UFC on ESPN 20

[mrpickem]

Early start caught me off guard with all the hoops and football going on :embarassed:

1801 Gillian Robertson -115 vs Taila Santos
2.3/2

 

[mrpickem]

	[0-1 -2.3u]​
	1701 Deron Winn +160 vs Antonio Arroyo 1/1.6

Santos showed lots of exp on the ground although her first UFC fight

 

[mrpickem]

random sheit/leans

• Morono +170
• Jose Aldo -140 ...Ima fan of Marlon Vera, but his only path to victory as out-striking Aldo. Aldo possesses an immense TDD game, and even though Vera’s damaging clinch strikes could occupy his attention, Vera will still fail to take down (let alone keep down) Aldo. Sure Vera has the range advantage, but Aldo is freakishly powerful and will keep Vera humble from entering up-close as frequently as he did against O’Malley, Song, and Ewell.
• Michel Pereira -103 & ITD ...Pereira is such a mixed bag, you genuinely do not know what version of the mad Brazilian will rock up. If the man who destroyed Imadaev turns up, then his range/reach will mean that he beats Williams to the punch when they trade. Moreover, Williams himself may be more gunshy when facing such an orthodox striker. We haven’t seen Williams on the mat, nor tied up in a clinch, and thus Pereira’s experience just tips this
• Marlon Moraes -140 & Sub ...Moraes is an absolute killer despite a torrid couple of years. Arguably losing three on the trot, Moraes has taken a necessary step down in quality. Font is a fine striker, and will be able to take advantage of an exhausted Moraes if he manages to safely make his way past the first round, but I just can’t see it happening. Faster, harder-hitting, and most importantly, stronger on the ground. 1st or 2nd sub coming.
• Marcin Tybura +100 ...Hardy could technically finish this early, but he does not have the skills to land the power punch necessary to sleep Tybura. This will be a long, exhausting display of Tybura’s top control. Maybe he will attempt a submission. Most likely wins on the cards though.

 

[mrpickem]

[1-1 -0.7u]​
	1602 Sijara Eubanks -140 vs Pannie Kianzad 1.12/.8

 

[mrpickem]

Close call but cant complain on that decision

​	[1-2 -1.82u]
	1501 Alex Morono +175 vs Anthony Pettis 1.6/2.8

 

[mrpickem]

[1-3 -3.42u]​
	1402 Marcin Tybura +100 vs Greg Hardy 2.5/2.5

 

[mrpickem]

Hardy's not a real fighter...only can handle cans

[2-3 -0.92u]
	1309 Moraes wins inside distance +210 vs Not Moraes inside distance 1.5/3.15 1331 Moraes wins by submission +650 vs Any other result .6/3.9 1302 Marlon Moraes -152 vs Rob Font 1.52/1

 

[pb278817]

Hardy's not a real fighter...only can handle cans

Couldn’t believe how quick he folded and just covered up

 

[skanless13]

He's fing horrible. Been saying it for years. 1 dimensional.

 

[mrpickem]

Needs lots of seasoning, he can be up can but not real fighters

Watch ufc | Streamable

Watch "ufc" on Streamable.

streamable.com

 

[mrpickem]

[2-6 -4.54u]

1202 Michel Pereira +105 vs Khaos Williams
4/4.2

 

[mrpickem]

[3-6 -0.34u]

1102 Jose Aldo -142 vs Marlon Vera
3.55 /2.5

 

[mrpickem]

[4-6 +2.16u]
	1007 Neal wins by 5 round decision* +470 vs Not Neal by 5 round decision 1.2/5.64 1009 Thompson wins inside distance* +245 vs Not Thompson inside distance 1.4/3.43 1002 Stephen Thompson* -107 vs Geoff Neal 1.07/1

Went positive at the end...that's cool

 

[mrpickem]

Made tiny profit last night, first time in over a month. Had a terrible run, but at least I finished the year with a winning night, no matter how minor.
LAST NIGHT [5-8 +0.5u]

LAST WEEK UFC 256 - [5-13 -9.5u]


RECENT CARDS...

• 12/19 - ESPN 20 [5-8 +0.5u]
• 12/12 - UFC 256 [5-13 -9.5u]
• 12/05 - ESPN 19 [6-8 -1.77u]
• 11/28 - ESPN 18 [6-13 -13.89u]
• 11/21 - UFC 255 [8-26 -38.73u]
• 11/14 - ESPN+ 41 [10-7-1 +8.3u]
• 11/07 - ESPN+ 40 [15-9 +4.29u]
• 10/31 - ESPN+ 39 [16-8-1 +13.95u]
• 10/24 - UFC 254 [21-6 +20.36u]
• 10/17- ESPN+ 38 [11-11 +3.3u]
• 10/10- ESPN+ 37 [14-12 +8.19u]
• 10/3 - ESPN 17 [9-8-2 -0.17u]
• 9/26 - UFC 253 [8-14 -10.05u]
• 9/19 - ESPN+ 36 [11-9-1 +8.35u
• 9/12 - ESPN+ 35 [11-9 +25.8u]
• 9/05 - ESPN+ 34 [9-4 +9.72u]
• 8/28 - ESPN+33 [10-4 +7.83u]
• 8/22 - ESPN 15 [11-4 +9.15u]
• 8/15 - UFC 252 [12-9 +6.07u]
• 8/08 - ESPN+ 32 [10-12 -7.6u]
• 8/01 - ESPN+ 31 [8-9-1 -1.41u]
• 7/18 - ESPN+ 30 [10-6 +12.85u]
• 7/15 - ESPN 14 [8-12 +1.06u]
• 7/11 - UFC 251 [5-10 -10.93u]

Total for last 24 cards: [239-231 +45.67u]