UFC on ESPN 13

mrpickem

SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Well I've had 2 straight awful showing after 3 or 4 good cards. Last week ended down 30u after getting fucked on Max. Oh well moving on to this average card tonight. Nice to see mid-week Fight Island action. I have done much better on the lesser ESPN cards fwiw.

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Ige+235 & Ige by SUB +645

  • I'm having a difficult time understanding this line. Kattar is a great boxerwith solid footwork, and he will pick most guys apart on the feet. He's also improved his ability to defend leg kicks, and he's been throwing solid kicks and elbows of his own. He also has decent takedown defense.
  • Ige is a much more well-rounded fighter. He's a black belt in jiu-jitsu, and he's a solid striker as well. He has very fast hands that pack power. His standup isn't as crisp as Kattar, but he seems to push the pace more. If this was just boxing, I'd be all over Kattar. But, I just don't see Ige letting this fight take place on the feet for long. He wil l look to close the distance on Kattar, and I expect he'll land some takedowns. All it will take is one takedown and he may end the fight with a submission.
  • Ige simply cannot let Kattar stay at range and control the fight with his jab. If you can pressure him and take him to the mat or against the cage, he's beatable. I'd be concerned if Ige didn't have such a solid striking game. He will be able to fight back and get Kattar's respect with his power and speed, so that will help him find the takedown. Ige was able to weather some big shots from Barboza, so I have to believe he'll be able to survive some shots from Kattar.
  • The biggest question for me is Ige's cardio. He didn't look to be tiring as much in his last fight, so I'm hoping it's improved. I'm guessing the line would be tighter if this were a 3 rounder.
  • I'll be surprised if Ige lets Kattar control the pace and style of this fight. He's a tough fighter, and he's going to close the distance, land some shots of his own, and score takedowns to steal the rounds. I think once he and Kattar start to grapple, the fight could be over at any moment.

Rivera -120 and by decision +140

  • Interesting fight...Stamann is on the rise, and Rivera has been on a bit of a slide (albeit against top competition). Rivera’s last fight was an impressive performance against Yan, so I wouldn’t be too worried about the recent losses on his record. Stamann will look for takedowns, but it won't be easy against Rivera. There aren't many fighters better at stuffing takedowns than Rivera. While the fight is standing, Rivera has a significant advantage. He's faster, more technical, and throws heavier. He's also able to work in leg kicks, but he does abandon them at times. Even if taken down, he's a solid grappler. Stamann is looking sharp and changes levels quickly, but he also has a tendency to fade in the 3rd round. He’s coming off a quick turnaround, and it’ll be interesting to see how his cardio holds up after failing a couple of takedown attempts. I don't see either of these guys getting a finish, and I think Rivera will be able to take the 3rd round and one of the early rounds. He should land more significant strikes and avoid being taken down on his way to a decision victory.




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Fight #1 ~ Let's GO!​
  • 2009 Shore wins inside distance* -155 vs Not Shore inside distance
    3.1/2
  • 2038 Fight won’t start round 3* -130 vs Phillips / Shore starts round 3
    1.3/1

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[2-0 +3u]​
1901 Liana Jojua/Diana Belbita Over 2½ -225
1.35
/.6

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Fishgold loves to shoot takedowns and “flash” Godron’s takedown defense rate is only about 50%, Fishgold most likely gets this to the ground at some point during the fight. If this happens I think he can control him and attempt some submissions. Toss a half unit at it...

1831 Fishgold wins by submission* +400 vs Any other result
.5/2
 
Sucks when dude is just there for a payday and thats all it appeared Fish wanted
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[2-3 -0.25]

1702 Modestas Bukauskas -132 vs Andreas Michailidis
3.3/2.5

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1594861092779.png[3-3 +2.25u]

1609 Ramos wins inside distance +310 vs Not Ramos inside distance
.5/1.55
1602 Ricardo Ramos -170 vs Lerone Murphy
2.04/1.2
 
[3-5 -0.29u]

1509 Chimaev wins inside distance* -240 vs Not Chimaev inside distance
1.92/.8

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Last edited:
[4-5 +0.51u]​
  • 1409 Alhassan wins inside distance* -215 vs Not Alhassan inside distance
    4.3/2
  • 1402 Abdul Razak Alhassan* -320 vs Mounir Lazzez
    1.92/.6

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I’m a fan of McCann. She’s such a badass, and it’s hard not to admire her energy and grit. She’s about as fan friendly of a fighter as you can find. She has good footwork and is much faster than Santos. She’s constantly throwing from different angles, but she’s also not afraid to hold her ground and go to war (for better or worse). She mixes up her strikes with level changes, and she should land some takedowns. She’s the better fighter all around, and -190 seems like a great price. Santos struggles when she’s backed up against the cage, and I think that’s where she’ll end up in this fight. McCann has great cardio and will be constantly moving forward and pushing the pace. Santos is predictable with her punches, so she shouldn’t be too difficult to figure out. I wouldn’t be surprised to see McCann earn a stoppage here, but I think it will most likely be a decision victory

adding....

1311 McCann wins by 3 round decision* +100 vs Not McCann by 3 round decision
1/1
 
[ 4-9 -10.9u]

1207 Rivera wins by 3 round decision* +140 vs Not Rivera by 3 round decision
1.4/1.96
1201 Jimmie Rivera* -112 vs Cody Stamann
3.92/3.5

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rest of my card​
  • 1035 Ige wins by submission* +645 vs Any other result
    1/6.45
  • 1207 Rivera wins by 3 round decision* +140 vs Not Rivera by 3 round decision
    .5/7
  • 1001 Dan Ige* +210 vs Calvin Kattar
    2.5/5.25
  • 1101 Ryan Benoit* +145 vs Tim Elliott
    1/1.45
  • 1201 Jimmie Rivera* -112 vs Cody Stamann
    4.48/4
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[8-12 +1.06u]

Haha, got extremely lucky in that I bet my Rivera plays twice...not sure how or why...probably the whiskey talking. But in the end I managed to make a unit. There was some concern on Ige's eye before the fight so I backed it down to fairly small.
 
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