UFC London

[mrpickem]

Gould have been a great PPV card if Edwards would've manned up and fought Colby at home...but alas, we get a decent "Fight Night" card in the afternoon. (12PM start) There's some interesting fights for sure but at the top of the card there's really nothing other than Aspinol and he's coming off a serious knee injury that may play more effect than let on.




I bet one early on, just a few minutes ago actually.

• 10/6.25 DUNCAN vs ASHMOZ o1½ -160

• Duncan is the better fighter and loves to strike, but he is very hittable. Thing is Yanal likely looks to take fight to the ground where his grappling is at least on par with Duncan. There may eventually be a finish but I just can't see it early on so I love the spot even though it's juice pretty heavy.

 

[mrpickem]

London Early Prelims:

• 3/2.73 Jafel Filho -110
• 3/2.04 BRUNA BRASIL -147
• 3/1.24 BRASIL vs BANNON o2½ -242
• 2/2.50 YANAL ASHMOZ +125
• 3/4.05 Pannie Kianzad +135

• Filho will prefer taking this fight to the mat where he'll have the advantage. Barez would be better off standing, although he may not be much better, he is disadvantaged considerably in the grappling. Basically, it comes down to who can implement their game plan and get the fight where they need it.
• Brasil's technical striking game should control this fight throughout to likely easy decision for the newcomer.
• Duncan and Ashmouz can both crack with top of the division, that's why I believe we see more grappling and feeling out for the first round. I love the alt under I played earlier but I'm gonna back the dog with possibly the heavier hands getting done late.
• Two well rounded ladies go next with both having decisions in their last 3. Pannie may be able to sway the judges with her aggresiion as this one likely goes to the cards.

Yes, this is Brune "The Special One" Brasil

 

[mrpickem]

more prelims...

[4-1 +10.26U]​

• 4/2.67 Jamal Pogues -150
• 1.33/4 MAKHMUD MURADOV IN ROUND 1 +300
• 2.21/4 MARC DIAKIESE +181
• 4.32/3 DANNY ROBERTS -144

• I like Muradov in the opening round of this fight. He has the faster hands and may surprise Barberena with his power if he finds the right shot. Small play to no bet based on huge juice.
• These heavies may not look too skilled but you'll be surprised. Pogues is tough as they come and loves trading inside and/or clinch fighting. If Pogues manages to get top control he will rain down some devastating G-n-P. Parkin has a decent punchers chance early on, but Jamal probably siezes control by round 2.
• Solid matchup next but I dont see Diakiese as the dog here. He should eat up the legs and calves of the lanky Alvares from the beginning. Alvares does have a good sub game so as lonf as Diakiese doesn't get caught in something odd as he seems to love wrestling of late. He should be able to control the fight a get the W.
• Parsons has a chance if he sustains some mat control time, but Danny is a very good boxer with excellent TDD, not a good recipe for Parsons.

 

[mrpickem]

London...last prelim

[4-5 -0.28u]

• 3/3.51 DAVEY GRANT +117

Grant will be active and press forward, but versus a balanced fighter like Marcos it may not prove enough. Davey will have the hometown rallying behind him and that rush will add a extra adrenaline. Marcos has a deep gas tank and can wrestle-fuck you to death, but I will back Davey to pull the homeboy upset.

 

[mrpickem]

London Main Card

• 4/2.80 LERONE MURPHY -143
• 3/4.53 JAI HERBERT +151
• 4/1.81 ANDRE MUNIZ -221
• 4/1.91 NATHANIEL WOOD -209
• 4/2.11 FILI vs WOOD o2½ -190

• Murphy is well-rounded but would prefer to keep the fight on the ground where he should be in control and in little danger. I see this happening and leading to an over as well.
• Herbert is more dangerous and should be a live dog in this spot.
• Craig slims down to 185 for his first fight at MW. He looked OK on the scales yesterday, but I don't think he will deal well with Muniz's hand speed and striking skill.
• Fili is mostly always underestimated and I'm guilty as well. Still, I have to side with "The Prospect".

 

[albundy2127]

It amazes me how dumb some fighters can be

 

[mrpickem]

London "Top of the Card"

• 3/1.52 MOLLY MCCANN -197
• 2/2.00 MOLLY MCCANN KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +100
• 5/1.34 TOM ASPINALL INSIDE DISTANCE -372

• Stoliarenko seems tailor made for "Meatball" as she's a sub specialist with a low-level striking game. So long as Molly is careful with her limbs, she should be able to give the fans what they want...a KO win for the "Meatball".
• No one can be sure what condition Aspinall returns from his injury in but if he's near where he was his speed and ground game should help him find the finish.