UFC Apex Tybura v Spivak 2

jumper12

jumper12

Banned
I reviewed card and lines didnt bet anything early. I considered going. 2nd row $1500 better than arena which I would never consider. Wanted to go Burns v Brady apex card Septemeber and was ready to pay, but its sold out at moment. I just saw they upped price from last month for this card to 2500, no way I pay that


Either way, Danny Barlow facing tuff dude at wide odds but I love Barlow, havent seen him on his back. Not sure why Tybura v Spivak will be much different than mauling Tybura gave him in first fight. That being said I like Spivak vs non elite types. I love Zalal but this line is silly, Jarno is tuff, first chick fight rematch from interesting DWCS fight. I love Leech, Chepe as favorite no thank you.

Havent listened to my main pods yet

1st set of bets

Luciano KO +500 (Luciano 30-27 Dec)
Zalal Sub +245. (Zalal sub rd 1)
Leech Sub +575 (Chepe UD)

2nd set of bets

Spikak KO +190 (Spivak sub)
Leech Dec +470 (ChepeUD)
Santos ML -130. (Santos UD)
Quang Le Dec +700 KO +1000 (29-28 Gutierez)
lefthandtogod 1st rd +275 2nd rd +410 (lh2g UD)

-2.55
 
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Im betting Luciano in first chick fight. If she keeps it standing, she prolly gets ko, and that will pay
 
Some props up early for me at kiosk. This morning I played.

Luciano KO +500
Zalal Sub +245
Leech Sub +575
 
Plannng on betting Santos. She is OG off losses to tuff ones, she deserves win, peeps on Chandler, her Dec prop barely gives more value, going to wait for ml to drop more
 
Basharat withdrew. Leech/Chepe now comain. 10 fights . Guttierez now fighting Queng Le. Le has been super awesome in LFA but he is kid Minnesota via vietnam, big dog, need to tape he is going to have to get guttierez uncomfortable, very interesting.

Want to bet Kazama sub, Charalampos is terrible, but so is Kazama. Id love to see Diniz KO Williams but its prolly Williams DEC
 
Waiting for weigh ins

Contemplating adding

Leech Dec +460
Diniz Dec +780
Kazama sub +410
Pannie Dec +190
Santos Dec -120
Barlow (lefthandtogod) rd1 +245
 
OK. Chepe missed bigly 3.5 lbs for the Comain.Early in weigh ins, he clearly didnt try, it prolly will help him, fuk him, already against him, going to add that Leech Dec

Barlow barely missed . 25 and fatty Chandler missed big, maybe Barlow try to cut more, that is draining hope he makes it, drama

Diniz 15lbs heavier than Karl for HW

Spivak a svelte 238. He has moved to a decent fave. Tybura 14lbs heavier. Spivak on his back is the concern. I kinda want to bet him idk.
 
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Added

Spivak KO +190
Santos ML -130 (Was going to save pennies and play Dec but Im thinking Chandler might quit during fight)
Quang Le Dec +700 KO +1000
Leech Dec +470
lefthandtogod 1st +275 2nd +410 (Last bet, dont really love it, but he broke bone in arm during Quinlan fight or I think would have gotten finish earlier.)

I really like Lucciano the best but all same units
 
jumper12 said:
Waiting for weigh ins

Contemplating adding

Leech Dec +460
Diniz Dec +780
Kazama sub +410
Pannie Dec +190
Santos Dec -120
Barlow (lefthandtogod) rd1 +245
Click to expand...
Passed on Kazama sub, also disappointing since he got sub.

It's ok. I'm seeing it well
 
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