UFC 302 - MAKHACHEV VS POIRIER

[mrpickem]

Reduced Juice odds from Bettorsden


My record is good this year, so far...

 

[mrpickem]

UFC 302 - MAKHACHEV VS POIRIER​

Early Prelims:​

• 4/1.38 ANDRE LIMA -289
• 3/2.10 LIMA vs RAPOSO o2½ -143
• 1.62/3 Joselyne Edwards +185
• 3/1.16 PEREZ vs EDWARDS o2½ -259
• 3/2.88 GALL vs HAFEZ u2½ -104

​

• In the opener Rapaso steps up on short notice vs the undefeated(8-0) Andre Lima gets his 2nd chance on the big stage after a dominant win in the DWCS and getting a win in March on DQ in the infamous biting incident. He's a skilled striker with big kicks and solid TDD. May go to the cards, but "Mascote" should be able to control in not dominate the action.
• I give Edwards a decent chance if she can stay on her feet and land strikes at range. The over is the stronger play for me though.

 

[mrpickem]

UFC 302 - MAKHACHEV VS POIRIER​

Early Prelims:​

4/1.38 ANDRE LIMA -289
3/2.10 LIMA vs RAPOSO o2½ -143
1.62/3 Joselyne Edwards +185
3/1.16 PEREZ vs EDWARDS o2½ -259
[3-1 +3.02u]

3/2.88 GALL vs HAFEZ u2½ -104​

ESPN Prelims:​

• 2/3.20 Phil Rowe +160
• 2/1.29 ROWE vs MATTHEWS o2½ -155
• 2/4.00 Solecki points handicap +3½ +200
• 3/2.14 Jailton Almeida wins inside distance -140
• 3/3.30 Roman Kopylov +110

• Two solid welterweight jouneymen both look to get back on after losses. Matthews (19-7) has more cage-time, but recently had problems with the length Morales and "The Fresh Prince" will bring similar lsize (6'3" w/80" reach), Rowe will be able to pot-shot Jake from distance and pile up points for an easy decision so long as he don't get taken down and controlled.
• Dawson(20-2-1) was on a 12 fight unbeaten streak before getting caught and finished last Oct by King Green, who has really been coming on lately. Joe Solecki (13-4) has a similar style, and by coincidence he was also finished in round 1 last time out by a brutal slam from Drakkar Klose. Problem is Dawson is probably better in every area, but at -400 it's hard to get excited about it.
• The main in the prelims will feature 2 MW strikers in Kopylov (12-3) with 11 KOs and Almeida (5-0) with 4 KO's. Almeida has scary power and will be dangerous, but he's very early in his MMA career, so the Russians experience and technical savvy should be enough. Don't blink though, a Cesar will throw big bombs early.

 

[mrpickem]

UFC 302 - MAKHACHEV VS POIRIER​

Early Prelims:​

4/1.38 ANDRE LIMA -289
3/2.10 LIMA vs RAPOSO o2½ -143
1.62/3 Joselyne Edwards +185
3/1.16 PEREZ vs EDWARDS o2½ -259
3/2.88 GALL vs HAFEZ u2½ -104

ESPN Prelims:​

2/3.20 Phil Rowe +160
2/1.29 ROWE vs MATTHEWS o2½ -155
2/4.00 Solecki points handicap +3½ +200
3/2.14 Jailton Almeida wins inside distance -140
[5-4 -0.55u]

3/3.30 Roman Kopylov +110

Main Card:​

• 4/2.31 RANDY BROWN -173
• 3/4.20 Morono wins inside distance +140
• 2/2.00 Holland wins inside distance +100
• 2/5.00 Holland wins by submission +250
• 2/2.34 HOLLAND vs OLEKSIEJCZUK u1½ +117

• Randy Brown (18-5) vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos (24-7-1) ... Should be an exciting fight to open the main card. dos Santos will be dangerous in the 1st, but I expect "Rude Boy" will be patient controlling distance with front kicks and continually frustrate dos Santos by not allowing him to close distance.
• Niko Price-Alex Morono ... Two warriors running back a fight from Feb 2017 where price got the KO, but it was later ruled no contest because Niko tested positive...for weed lol. Both fighters are better now, although Price is on a 1-4-1 skid over the last 4 years. Moreno has been the better fighter lately and will be looking for a big revenge win.
• I'm betting Holland is focused and shows up dialed in, gets an early takedown and submits this guy early

 

[B.A.R.]

Great stuff, have a great main card!

 

[mrpickem]

I'm done for the night. I do like Sean and Dustin but since they are two of my favs, I'm probably looking through rose collored glasses lol

[10-5 +11.4u]

 

[tigercub]

nailed holland great night! i like borrachinha here