UFC 282
- Thread starter mrpickem
- Start date
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
UFC 282: Early Prelims
- 2/1.33 CAMERON SAAIMAN KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -150
- 3/2.94 ERIK SILVA -102
- 2/3.00 ERIK SILVA KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +150
- 3/1.81 BILLY QUARANTILLO -166
...Saaiman(21), is expected to walk through Koslow, even after struggling with Wang-Kim’s wrestling in his DWCS fight. If Koslow is unable to out-grapple opponents, he will struggle with Saaiman’s consistent pace and huge array of kicks.
...Silva wasted no time in his Contender Series, taking down his opponent and raining down hellacious ground and pound. Brown, a notoriously slow starter, may struggle against Silva considering Erik scored four early subs in the Mexican regional scene.
...Alexander the Great’s aggression and pressure were enough to crush Beneil Dariush in under a minute, although that was nearly 5 years ago and now most opponents understand that the onslaught fades after round one. Hernandez is a heavy-handed head hunter and pressure grappler for five minutes, but that shouldn’t be enough to break Billy Q. Quarantillo poses a serious late-round threat while pushing a pace that will exhaust Hernandez.
skanless13
Fly, Eagles, Fly!
Like those first 2. Leaning Alex in the other though close call
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[2-2 -1.88U]
...Buckley may be explosive enough to create opportunities versus any opponent. Buckley is finally matched with an opponent of similar size, after often struggling against taller opponents. Unfortunately for Buckley, Curtis is the more technical striker who will pick up on Buckley’s tendencies. Curtis’ devastating body strikes will be a huge factor in this nice prelim matchup.
...Both fighters are on 0-3 slides, giving this fight a real ‘loser leaves town’ sort of flavor. Having left coach Edmond Tarverdyan, there is a hope that Edmen Shahbazyan’s slick striking, and underrated grappling chops can be lauded once again. There’s certainly a higher ceiling for Shahbazyan than Lungiambula who has been regularly unable to showcase his judo background. Now a high-volume striker, Lungiambula’s aggression places him in dangerous areas that Shahbazyan can punish with his significant power.
- 2/2.94 CHRIS CURTIS +147
- 3/2.50 EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -120
- 1/2.25 EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN IN ROUND 1 +225
- 2/2.46 DALCHA LUNGIAMBULA vs EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN u1½ +123
...Buckley may be explosive enough to create opportunities versus any opponent. Buckley is finally matched with an opponent of similar size, after often struggling against taller opponents. Unfortunately for Buckley, Curtis is the more technical striker who will pick up on Buckley’s tendencies. Curtis’ devastating body strikes will be a huge factor in this nice prelim matchup.
...Both fighters are on 0-3 slides, giving this fight a real ‘loser leaves town’ sort of flavor. Having left coach Edmond Tarverdyan, there is a hope that Edmen Shahbazyan’s slick striking, and underrated grappling chops can be lauded once again. There’s certainly a higher ceiling for Shahbazyan than Lungiambula who has been regularly unable to showcase his judo background. Now a high-volume striker, Lungiambula’s aggression places him in dangerous areas that Shahbazyan can punish with his significant power.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[4-4 -0.48u]
...There is a lot of room left for Rosas Jr to grow physically – it will be a challenge for the UFC to appropriately bring their prospect along. His hands remain a work in progress, but there's a lot to like about his sweltering wrestling and ground game. Perrin’s aggression often leads him into takedowns, an area that UFC brass no doubt expect Rosas Jr to exploit.
- 3/1.82 JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK -165
- 2/1.54 JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -130
- 1/1.75 JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK IN ROUND 1 +175
- 5/1.94 RAUL ROSAS JR. -258
...There is a lot of room left for Rosas Jr to grow physically – it will be a challenge for the UFC to appropriately bring their prospect along. His hands remain a work in progress, but there's a lot to like about his sweltering wrestling and ground game. Perrin’s aggression often leads him into takedowns, an area that UFC brass no doubt expect Rosas Jr to exploit.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Main card opener
[7-4 +4.63u]
Go ahead and get this one in as it takes me a moment to transition to PPV
...Thug Nasty surprised us when he stood and traded with Barboza for extended stretches of their fight. Mitchell still managed almost 12 minutes of control time..but proved deadly accurate with his striking as well. Considering just how hittable Topuria is, Mitchell’s volume should regularly find the target tonight. Ilia answered questions about his durability with a brutal second-round KO of Jai Herbert following a huge scare in round one. I would expect Mitchell to start effectively, with Topuria’s pressure possibly making the difference down the stretch. Should be an excellent battle and could easily go either way. I capped it for Ilia but I'm flipping to the wild-eyed-southern-boy!
Chris got his nap earlier than ex[pected.. link :doggie:
[7-4 +4.63u]
- 2.84/4 BRYCE MITCHELL +140
Go ahead and get this one in as it takes me a moment to transition to PPV
...Thug Nasty surprised us when he stood and traded with Barboza for extended stretches of their fight. Mitchell still managed almost 12 minutes of control time..but proved deadly accurate with his striking as well. Considering just how hittable Topuria is, Mitchell’s volume should regularly find the target tonight. Ilia answered questions about his durability with a brutal second-round KO of Jai Herbert following a huge scare in round one. I would expect Mitchell to start effectively, with Topuria’s pressure possibly making the difference down the stretch. Should be an excellent battle and could easily go either way. I capped it for Ilia but I'm flipping to the wild-eyed-southern-boy!
Chris got his nap earlier than ex[pected.. link :doggie:
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
There are many options nowadays, so enjoy whatever works for you. I use Kodi mostly with MadTitans or Rising Tides...if you know you lnow
I also pay for quite a bit with YTTV, SHO, ESPN+, PEACOCK and a few others.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
...on to the main card, but the prelims went ok
2/1.33 CAMERON SAAIMAN KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -150
3/2.94 ERIK SILVA -102
2/3.00 ERIK SILVA KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +150
3/1.81 BILLY QUARANTILLO -166
2/2.94 CHRIS CURTIS +147
3/2.50 EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -120
1/2.25 EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN IN ROUND 1 +225
2/2.46 DALCHA LUNGIAMBULA vs EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN u1½ +123
3/1.82 JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK -165
2/1.54 JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -130
1/1.75 JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK IN ROUND 1 +175
5/1.94 RAUL ROSAS JR. -258
[8-4 +6.57u]
...Till’s ability to talk large in interviews maybe sways me a little, but there is a decent reason to believe that the Scouser is returning with the right mental state after a camp in Thailand. Du Plessis is a ferociously aggressive brawler, but this should be a stylistic dream for Till who has the technical wealth to counter Dricu with his blitzes. Of course, Till is also a comedically low-output fighter with few stoppages on his record. The flaws in Du Plessis’ striking are too big to overlook, even if deep down I truly believe that his heavy hands will be enough to break Till down over three rounds. I'll back the dog as I've always been a huge Till fan
2/1.33 CAMERON SAAIMAN KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -1503/2.94 ERIK SILVA -102 2/3.00 ERIK SILVA KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +1503/1.81 BILLY QUARANTILLO -166 2/2.94 CHRIS CURTIS +147 3/2.50 EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -1201/2.25 EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN IN ROUND 1 +2252/2.46 DALCHA LUNGIAMBULA vs EDMEN SHAHBAZYAN u1½ +1233/1.82 JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK -1652/1.54 JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -1301/1.75 JAIRZINHO ROZENSTRUIK IN ROUND 1 +1755/1.94 RAUL ROSAS JR. -258[8-4 +6.57u]
- 2.84/4 BRYCE MITCHELL +140
- 2/3.34 DARREN TILL +167
- 1.23/4 DARREN TILL KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +325
- 1/6.50 DARREN TILL IN ROUND 1 +650
- 4/2.68 DARREN TILL vs DRICUS DU PLESSIS u2½-149
...Till’s ability to talk large in interviews maybe sways me a little, but there is a decent reason to believe that the Scouser is returning with the right mental state after a camp in Thailand. Du Plessis is a ferociously aggressive brawler, but this should be a stylistic dream for Till who has the technical wealth to counter Dricu with his blitzes. Of course, Till is also a comedically low-output fighter with few stoppages on his record. The flaws in Du Plessis’ striking are too big to overlook, even if deep down I truly believe that his heavy hands will be enough to break Till down over three rounds. I'll back the dog as I've always been a huge Till fan
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[8-9 -4.5u]
So close to the under, would have made a huge difference. Till was really surprised by the ground attack.
...Morono is at his best after a full training camp as one of the most consummate game planners in the organization. Taking the fight at short notice kinda squashes that, even with Ponzinibbio on a career downside. Santiago is noticeably slower on the feet, timider in his approach, and takes punishment with far less certainty. Morono does set a high pace, but will likely eat a ton of punishment in the process. His granite chin survives and he grounds out Ponzinibbio
- 3/4.23 ALEX MORONO +141
So close to the under, would have made a huge difference. Till was really surprised by the ground attack.
...Morono is at his best after a full training camp as one of the most consummate game planners in the organization. Taking the fight at short notice kinda squashes that, even with Ponzinibbio on a career downside. Santiago is noticeably slower on the feet, timider in his approach, and takes punishment with far less certainty. Morono does set a high pace, but will likely eat a ton of punishment in the process. His granite chin survives and he grounds out Ponzinibbio
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
[8-10 -7.5u]
Wow, Alex had him but got caught...still a nice showing for his late notice appearance.
Co-Main Event: Paddy Pimblett(19-3) vs Jared Gordon(19-5) (155)
- 5/2.08 PADDY PIMBLETT -240
- 4/3.33 PADDY PIMBLETT KO,TKO,DQ,SUB -120
Wow, Alex had him but got caught...still a nice showing for his late notice appearance.
Co-Main Event: Paddy Pimblett(19-3) vs Jared Gordon(19-5) (155)
- Pimblett ITD ...Pimblett still needs lots of maturing to compete at the top of the division. For now, Paddy’s rapid recovery and fearless aggression along with a slick submission arsenal will keep putting bums on seats. Gordon is a big step up in competition. Just four months ago, Gordon out-struck Leonardo Santos 3-1 on the feet. Unfortunately, Gordon tends to offer his back, an area that Pimblett tends to exploit – currently on a two-fight streak of rear-naked chokes. This one likely ends with a RNC probably 2nd round.
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
Paddy win was a joke as he should have definitely lost that fight, but I'll take it
[9-11 -9.42u]
UFC 282: Main Event
Jan Blachowicz vs Magomed Ankalaev(18-1) (205)
UFC Vacant Light Heavyweight Championship
[9-11 -9.42u]
- 3/8.52 JAN BLACHOWICZ +284
- 2/7.50 JAN BLACHOWICZ KO,TKO,DQ,SUB +375
- 3/1.91 JAN BLACHOWICZ vs MAGOMED ANKALAEV u4½ -157
UFC 282: Main Event
Jan Blachowicz vs Magomed Ankalaev(18-1) (205)
UFC Vacant Light Heavyweight Championship
- ...On the feet, both Jan and Magomed want to settle with their jab-controlling distance. This could well end with them locking into bit-piece range striking while waiting for the big counter – especially since neither fighter sets up regular traps effectively. Ankalaev’s chin so far seems strong enough to handle Jan's firepower and blitzes. Will Ankalaev maintain enough volume to win over the judges? He has a strong wrestling base to tap into, but he has seemed averse to taking fights to the ground of late. Even left unused, the extra tools have me leaning toward another Dagestani champion. Jan's power can change the fight quickly and I'll go with Jan mostly based on odds/value. With a Jan win, I believe it'll take a finish...if it goes the distance Magomed probably prevails.
