UAB @ Houston Talk

dmart420 · Oct 8, 2008

my initial reaction here is to take the cougs at the home front coming off a bye versus a UAB team that hasn't had a lot of time to prepare. the cougs d is giving up 400 yards per, which is scary, but 200 yards of that is rushing yards, which is scarier yet imo when trying to cover 17 or 17.5. houston should be able to name the score offensively but........

i'd like to hear what SHSU thinks.

Mort The Flying Cow · Oct 8, 2008

I really want to take Houston, but I think the line is dead on. Really feels like a 42-24 game, which doesn't leave much room for error.

hoopsstar22 · Oct 8, 2008

Houston TT over.

SportsNut · Oct 8, 2008

All I want to know about is the weather ...good weather then OVER ...

Houstons defense is terrible and Webb can move the offense so laying abnout 3 TDS with a bad defense vs a terrible defense despite Houston's firepower is a tough sell for me . Unless UAB self destructs totally I am confident they get at least 24 points here and unless the Houston offense completely self destructs which has happened many a time already I think they crack 42 worst case . So Over 66 (even I pay -120) is gonna be a strong play for me and also agree Houston TT over maybe even UAB depending on weather .....

Bad defense vs Houston's spread offense . Self explatanory in that you spread a weak defense out and make them even thinner and ask for them to cover more spaces and players .......

Houston defense has been pretty bad when you look at the breakdowns and Webb is a very solid QB who hopefully is healthy after the memphis game as he was banged up going in .

Over 66-120

BigRaktor · Oct 9, 2008

Thinking along the same lines as SportsNut here myself. 18 is a lot of points for Houston to cover...especially with that defense...especially if they are up by 21-24 w/ 9 min to go. The only chalk side I think w/ value will be the 1st H line...I say at 10 or less its worth looking at.

I'll try to put up some numbers soon...right now I see the 1H at Hou -10.5, so if I were to take it, I might have to buy a full point...

texsn95 · Oct 9, 2008

Kinda like the 1q Over 14, barring a turnover by Houston.

scraps@midnight · Oct 9, 2008

i see the numbers as misleading given the schedule. houston is giving up 200 yds a game on the ground but afa and okst are pretty potent rushing teams and capable of putting up those figures on just about anyone. i also think it important to consider some influence from the hurricane when evaluating the afa and colst games. i don't think there is any question about the ability of houston to score at will against the blazers. i'm not putting allot of wieght in the 400 yds/game that houston has given up to date and pretty much see this as a woodshed affair.

SportsNut · Oct 9, 2008

Good point . Especially since this is there 1st home game in quite sometime with AFA game being moved . I am more in line with Big raktor as I prefer to go 1st H if I am going to lay points . You just dont want to see a late 27- 31 pt game get moosed in the last 8 minutes ....:cheers:

scraps@midnight · Oct 9, 2008

agree sn. prolly playing this one with my local with no half lines. that is a concern i always have with larger spreads but i'll sweat it...

dmart420 · Oct 9, 2008

i believe that this is houston's first home game since early september. still undecided on a side but i am leaning towards the over. the weather is gonna be great tonight.

barmeezee · Oct 9, 2008

hoopsstar22 said:
Houston TT over.

:smiley_acbe: i think they score over 42 myself

pcb525 · Oct 9, 2008

texsn95 said:
Kinda like the 1q Over 14, barring a turnover by Houston.

This play stood out above others as i looked at my lines today...

RetroVK · Oct 9, 2008

SportsNut said:
All I want to know about is the weather ...good weather then OVER ...

Houstons defense is terrible and Webb can move the offense so laying abnout 3 TDS with a bad defense vs a terrible defense despite Houston's firepower is a tough sell for me . Unless UAB self destructs totally I am confident they get at least 24 points here and unless the Houston offense completely self destructs which has happened many a time already I think they crack 42 worst case . So Over 66 (even I pay -120) is gonna be a strong play for me and also agree Houston TT over maybe even UAB depending on weather .....

Bad defense vs Houston's spread offense . Self explatanory in that you spread a weak defense out and make them even thinner and ask for them to cover more spaces and players .......

Houston defense has been pretty bad when you look at the breakdowns and Webb is a very solid QB who hopefully is healthy after the memphis game as he was banged up going in .

Over 66-120

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</TD><TD class=breadCrumb>Sports & Recreation: Sporting Events > Local Forecast for Houston, TX (77204) </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
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Local Forecast | Averages & Records | Event Details

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</TD><TD class=CCTextsm vAlign=top align=left colSpan=3>Houston, TX (77204)
Updated Oct 9 01:05 p.m. CT
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</TD><TD class=obsTempText vAlign=center align=middle>78°F</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>

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</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>Fair</TD><TD>

</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=middle>Feels Like: 79°F</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>

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</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>UV Index:</TD><TD>

</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>7 High</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>

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</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>Wind:</TD><TD>

</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>From the East at 4 mph</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>

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</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>Dew Point:</TD><TD>

</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>55°F</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>

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</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>Humidity:</TD><TD>

</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>44%</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>

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</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>Visibility:</TD><TD>

</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>10.0 miles</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>

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</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>Pressure:</TD><TD>

</TD><TD class=obsText vAlign=top align=left>30.01 inches and falling</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=3>

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UAB
@ Houston (Schedule)

Thursday, October 9, 2008

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Event Day Forecast for Oct. 9