Twins/Yankees & White Sox/Athletics Parlay Preview Article

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MLB Parlay for Today at (+333) Features Twins-Yankees Series Finale


Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
Thursday, September 8, 2022 at 7:05 p.m. ET at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York

Who Starts for Minnesota?

Sonny Gray starts for the Twins today.

In his most recent starts, Gray has consistently succeeded in limiting his opponent's run total.

Specifically, he has allowed two runs or fewer in each of his last four starts.

Going further, he's conceded two runs or fewer in seven of his past eight starts.

Sonny Gray's Variety

Gray's pitching is characterized by a unique degree of variety in his arsenal.

He does not throw a single pitch more than 28 percent of the time.

This level of variety helps make him unpredictable for opposing batters.

The pitch that he does favor most strongly is his fastball.

He also features a sinker and curveball more than 20 percent of the time.

Then, rarely or sometimes, he'll mix in a few other pitches.

Movement

Heavy movement generally distinguishes Gray's pitches from other versions of these same pitches thrown by other pitchers.

In particular, his curveball and slider, which are his third- and most-frequent pitches, boast heavy degrees of vertical and horizontal movement.

Despite the heavy movement of his pitches, Gray maintains strong command, limiting opponents typically to a single walk.

Gray vs. Yankee Batters

New York's lineup suffers a negative outlook tonight against Gray given the pitches that he throws.

Since falling back to Earth after their incredible start to the season, the Yankees rank 20thin slugging against Gray's favorite pitches from righties.

Who Starts for the Yankees?

Nestor Cortes starts for New York tonight.

While Cortes is a profitable pitcher to back, this profitability is primarily a reflection of New York's early-season success.

He was getting a lot of run support of which he has lately been receiving rather little.

New York has yet to exceed three runs in any of his last four starts.

This lack of run support contributes to the fact that the Yankees have lost three of the last four games in which he started.

Cortes vs. Twin Batters

To be clear, these most recent starts took place back in August.

He is coming off the 15-day injured list.

His last start took place on July 21.

With so many days in between his last and upcoming starts, it's hard to expect Cortes to be at his best.

Cortes will need to shake off any rust.

But even if he were at his best, he merits pessimism tonight because he matches up poorly against Twin batters given the pitches that he throws and the fact that he's left-handed.

Primarily, Cortes favors a fastball, cutter, and slider.

These three pitches make up over 90 percent of his arsenal.

The Twins rank 10thin slugging against these three pitches from lefties.

Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics
Thursday, September 8, 2022 at 9:40 p.m. ET at Oakland Coliseum

Who Starts for Chicago?


The White Sox start Dylan Cease tonight.

Pertinently to my Best Bet for this game, Cease is by far his team's most profitable pitcher.

Overall, he's yielding +7.30 units.

In particular, Cease has been profitable to back away from home.

Chicago is yielding +5.1 units in games in which Cease starts on the road.

Cease vs. Athletic Batters

Cease enters tonight's game in dominant form that extends beyond his almost-no hitter in his last outing.

He has given up a combined total of three hits in his last two starts, which totaled 17 innings.

Primarily, Cease throws a slider and fastball.

Both pitches make up almost 85 percent of his arsenal.

His outlook tonight is strong because Oakland ranks 25thin slugging against his favorite pitches from righties.

Who Starts for Oakland?

Oakland starts lefty JP Sears, who has been benefitting from a fortunately low BABIP (batting average of balls in play) and an unsustainably high strand rate.

His FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) shows that he has been performing much worse than his ERA suggests.

He'll struggle tonight, especially, because he's a lefty, and Chicago owns the ninth-best lineup, in terms of slugging rate, against left-handed pitching.

Parlay Verdict

Best Bet: Parlay Twins ML at +127 & White Sox RL at -110 at +333 odds with BetOnline
 
I like cws Ff tt over so we pretty much line up there. I dunno if I missed the twins/yanks game or it wasn’t up yet but I def like the idea of fading Cortes, finally started getting the money back I lost in 1st half! Lol, when I watch him pitch I don’t see a great pitcher that his early numbers suggested!
 
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