Tuesday UMPs

redbearde

redbearde

Pretty much a regular
Atlanta @ Philadelphia - Bob Davidson
Washington @ New York Mets - Ted Barrett
Florida @ Cincinnati - Mike DiMuro
Los Angeles @ Milwaukee - stalk
San Diego @ Chicago Cubs - Tom Hallion
Pittsburgh @ St Louis - Angel Hernandez
Colorado @ Arizona - stalk
Houston @ San Francisco - Gerry Davis

Boston @ Baltimore - Laz Diaz
Oakland @ Cleveland - Gary Darling
New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay - Ron Kulpa
Seattle @ Texas - Gary Cederstrom
Toronto @ Minnesota - stalk
Detroit @ Kansas City - stalk
Chicago Sox @ Anaheim - Chris Guccione
 
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Hallion is 3-6 o/u with 62.19% strikes. 12.9 SOs/6.1 walks = 2.11
in 2007, 19-15 o/u with 63.02% strikes. 15.1 SOs/6.1 walks = 2.47
in 2006, 14-18 o/u with 62.67% strikes. 12.6 SOs/6.9 walks = 1.84
in 2005, 11-18 o/u with 62.66% strikes. 11.4 SOs/6.6 walks = 1.72
in 1999, 12-14 o/u with 62.27% strikes. 13.4 SOs/7.2 walks = 1.86

no stats for 2000 to 2004.

He appears to me to lean a bit more toward Under. ...gotta beware of that shit with the Cubbies in Wrigley this year.......and with Marquis on the bump.

but if the weather is blowing straight in from CF again, I might have to try that.
 
Houston @ San Francisco
current line 8

<table class="data" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="datahl2b" width="29%">Overall</td> <td class="datahl2b">W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">Tm W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">IP</td> <td class="datahl2b">H</td> <td class="datahl2b">WHIP</td> <td class="datahl2b">ERA</td> <td class="datahl2b">AF</td> <td class="datahl2b">AA</td> <td class="datahl2b">OU</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2"> Brandon Backe (R)
Matt Cain (R)</td> <td class="datacell"> 2-4
1-3</td> <td class="datacell"> 3-5
3-5</td> <td class="datacell"> 42.2
46.0</td> <td class="datacell"> 46
42</td> <td class="datacell"> 1.73
1.46</td> <td class="datacell"> 4.64
4.50</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.9
3.5</td> <td class="datacell"> 4.6
4.9</td> <td class="datacell"> 3-5
4-4</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2b">Last 3</td> <td class="datahl2b">W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">Tm W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">IP</td> <td class="datahl2b">H</td> <td class="datahl2b">WHIP</td> <td class="datahl2b">ERA</td> <td class="datahl2b">AF</td> <td class="datahl2b">AA</td> <td class="datahl2b">OU</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2"> Brandon Backe (R)
Matt Cain (R)</td> <td class="datacell"> 1-2
1-1</td> <td class="datacell"> 1-2
2-1</td> <td class="datacell"> 16.2
18.2</td> <td class="datacell"> 16
16</td> <td class="datacell"> 1.74
1.23</td> <td class="datacell"> 5.40
3.38</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.3
3.7</td> <td class="datacell"> 5.0
2.3</td> <td class="datacell"> 1-2
1-2</td></tr></tbody></table>

HP ump Gerry Davis

Davis is 4-4 o/u with 61.46% strikes. 11.9 SOs/7.4 walks = 1.61
in 2007, 22-12 o/u with 61.71% strikes. 12.3 SOs/7.7 walks = 1.60
in 2006, 16-17 o/u with 61.90% strikes. 11.5 SOs/6.7 walks = 1.71
in 2005, 18-13 o/u with 62.37% strikes. 13.1 SOs/6.4 walks = 2.05
in 2004, 14-16 o/u with 61.07% strikes. 13.5 SOs/7.2 walks = 1.87
in 2003, 14-16 o/u with 61.89% strikes. 11.5 SOs/6.8 walks = 1.68
in 2002, 12-17 o/u with 61.00% strikes. 11.8 SOs/7.2 walks = 1.64
in 2001, 18-14 o/u with 61.74% strikes. 11.4 SOs/7.6 walks = 1.50
in 2000, 19-12 o/u with 59.50% strikes. 11.6 SOs/8.6 walks = 1.35

his numbers this year look a bit like his numbers last year. I'll be surprised if an over trend doesn't materialize this year. ...and I'm not sure 8 is high enough for these two pitchers.

Game Forecast
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<!-- insert left side --> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="443"><tbody><tr><td bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="240"> <table bgcolor="#d2d7e4" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 11px 5px 20px 11px;">Tue., May. 13, 2008
First Pitch: 7:15 PM PDT
AT and T Park
San Francisco, CA</td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><!-- insert correct bgcolor --> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4">Event Day Forecast</td> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"><!-- event day fcst --> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" width="30%">
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Mostly Sunny</td> <td rowspan="2" bgcolor="#bbc3d6">
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</td> <td style="padding: 5px;" class="blkVerdanaText10" valign="top" width="70%"> Forecast : 72°F
Feels like: 72°F

Sunset: 8:11 PM

Probability of Precip:0 %
Spectator Index: 9
UV Index: Low</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="3">
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</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr><!-- wind direction --> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Direction</td> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 0px 5px 21px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Speed</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%"><!--insert wind direction swf --> <object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://fpdownload.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=5,0,0,0" id="wind_direction_enedemo" align="middle" height="88" width="88">


<embed src="http://image.weather.com/web/flash/wind_direction_ssw.swf" quality="high" name="wind_direction_enedemo" allowscriptaccess="sameDomain" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer" align="middle" height="88" width="88"> </object></td> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center">Wind: From the WNW at 16 mph</td></tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <!-- insert right side --> <!-- LINK REL="stylesheet" TYPE="text/css" HREF="http://image.weather.com/web/common/header/stylesheet/verticals/events.css" --> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(27, 57, 117);" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="213"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
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Houston Astros
Schedule
Best Astros Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
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San Francisco Giants
Schedule
Best Giants Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" bgcolor="#1b3975">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" style="padding: 10px 5px 5px;"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td style="padding: 5px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Buy tickets</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Get MLB gear</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Other Local Sporting Events</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Interstate Forecast:</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 33px;"> I-80</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
Click to expand...

wind blowing out to CF too...or so goes the prediction.

there sure are a lot of recent under trends for these teams tho.......
 
I really like the possibilities of the NYY-TB Under 8.5, and the BOS-BAL OVER 8.

...Houston's been hitting well, and Matt Cain has a tendency to pitch well until he tires and then he gives up runs in bunches. I would lean over there, too.

On another note, I'm now 4-0 since I began this ump stalking, so thanks again red for all that you post each day.
 
Sup fellas...

Of the guys RED has listed so far, DAVIS is an honorary OVER member. At 22-12 last year, his smallish strike zone finally paid off for some higher-scoring games. The percentages aren't all that high, but they have been skewed by some games he called where the guys just flat out always threw strikes (Paul Byrd, Maddux, etc) - so the percentage isn't to be taken as the gospel. I lean OVER with the aforementioned stats, and yes, the way Houston has been hitting. Don't want to lay juice on OVER 8 (-120) so will wait to grab OVER 8.5 (-105 or so) or back when it goes to 8-flat...

BARRETT is a clubber (see strike percentages in 2003, 2005, 2006) to the UNDER. Senators put up a 10-spot last night in the frigid NY winds, much to the ire of "E" and his faithful backers. Didn't see anything after the first inning (scoreless), as I was knee-deep in basketball, hockey, the Twins/Sox, Janks/Tampon and Fish/Reds...

KULPA is an honorary member to the UNDER (85-108 last six years) but I see he is calling just 60.8 percent strikes thus far and is 5-1 through six games. When I get a minute to examine those pitching matchups, I will be able to note whether that is a fradulent rate that will eventually even itself out and he will regress back to his UNDER-happy ways, or not... My notes are a little behind on this guy as I've missed his last two games behind the dish.

That's it for now. Back in a bit and rooting for a Shorty appearance with the extremely-helpful color-coded "UMP GUIDE"... If you're stuck stalking, it's always nice to know which creatures you're examining in their natural habitat!
 
Rex..agree w/ your call on Barrett and he should be a nice fit in this match-up . Maine has beeen much better of late as he apears to have ironed out his control issues and i always give him a boost at home. Wash should come back to earth here and continue there weak hitting on the road.Lannan is an extreme GB/Control pitcher who i like to back in certain spots. of note here is that in his first start at Shea he K'd 11 mets in 6ip w/ 0 Walks. wind blowing in from left should help Maine as well , looks like a strong under to me.
 
Good stuff, LOTL...

Here's some more goodies about SCHREIBER and his awesome OVER reputation.


"With one out, Braun clobbered a 2-1 pitch from Wainwright into the Brewers’ bullpen in left field. After Prince Fielder struck out, Corey Hart came to the plate and took a borderline pitch low and outside for a ball.


Molina complained about the call and was ejected by home plate umpire Paul Schrieber as La Russa was walking out of the dugout.


“Everything was OK,” Molina said. “It was that pitch. I asked him where it was. He didn’t like it, and he threw me out.”


Molina protested his ejection by taking off his gear and leaving it in a pile at Schrieber’s feet.


“That was awesome,” Wainwright said. “If you’re going to get tossed, you might as well make it a good one. That was one of the better ones I’ve seen.”


La Russa continued to argue and eventually was thrown out himself.
 
Washington @ New York Mets
current line 8.5

<table class="data" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="datahl2b" width="29%">Overall</td> <td class="datahl2b">W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">Tm W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">IP</td> <td class="datahl2b">H</td> <td class="datahl2b">WHIP</td> <td class="datahl2b">ERA</td> <td class="datahl2b">AF</td> <td class="datahl2b">AA</td> <td class="datahl2b">OU</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2"> John Lannan (L)
John Maine (R)</td> <td class="datacell"> 3-3
4-2</td> <td class="datacell"> 3-4
5-2</td> <td class="datacell"> 39.2
42.0</td> <td class="datacell"> 41
36</td> <td class="datacell"> 1.46
1.36</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.40
3.00</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.4
5.4</td> <td class="datacell"> 4.3
4.1</td> <td class="datacell"> 3-4
2-4</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2b">Last 3</td> <td class="datahl2b">W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">Tm W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">IP</td> <td class="datahl2b">H</td> <td class="datahl2b">WHIP</td> <td class="datahl2b">ERA</td> <td class="datahl2b">AF</td> <td class="datahl2b">AA</td> <td class="datahl2b">OU</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2"> John Lannan (L)
John Maine (R)</td> <td class="datacell"> 2-1
3-0</td> <td class="datacell"> 2-1
3-0</td> <td class="datacell"> 16.0
19.1</td> <td class="datacell"> 17
13</td> <td class="datacell"> 1.50
1.03</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.38
2.33</td> <td class="datacell"> 4.7
7.7</td> <td class="datacell"> 4.7
2.0</td> <td class="datacell"> 2-1
1-1</td></tr></tbody></table>
home plate Ump Ted Barrett

Barrett is 4-4 o/u with 62.42% strikes. 13.6 SOs/6.9 walks = 1.98
in 2007, 15-16 o/u with 62.89% strikes. 13.5 SOs/6.9 walks = 1.95
in 2006, 16-20 o/u with 63.64% strikes. 13.1 SOs/5.9 walks = 2.23
in 2005, 18-15 o/u with 69.06% strikes. 12.1 SOs/5.9 walks = 2.06
in 2004, 14-18 o/u with 62.97% strikes. 11.9 SOs/6.2 walks = 1.92
in 2003, 16-13 o/u with 63.90% strikes. 13.4 SOs/5.3 walks = 2.52
in 2002, 14-20 o/u with 61.52% strikes. 13.0 SOs/7.0 walks = 1.85
in 2001, 14-19 o/u with 61.62% strikes. 14.9 SOs/6.5 walks = 2.28
in 2000, 16-15 o/u with 61.20% strikes. 13.0 SOs/7.3 walks = 1.77

I like the Barrett underclubber recommendation.
Game Forecast
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<!-- insert left side --> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="443"><tbody><tr><td bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="240"> <table bgcolor="#d2d7e4" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 11px 5px 20px 11px;">Tue., May. 13, 2008
First Pitch: 7:10 PM EDT
Shea Stadium
Corona, NY</td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><!-- insert correct bgcolor --> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4">Event Day Forecast</td> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"><!-- event day fcst --> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" width="30%">
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Sunny</td> <td rowspan="2" bgcolor="#bbc3d6">
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</td> <td style="padding: 5px;" class="blkVerdanaText10" valign="top" width="70%"> Forecast : 65°F
Feels like: 65°F

Sunset: 8:04 PM

Probability of Precip:20 %
Spectator Index: 9
UV Index: Low</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="3">
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</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr><!-- wind direction --> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Direction</td> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 0px 5px 21px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Speed</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%"><!--insert wind direction swf --> <object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://fpdownload.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=5,0,0,0" id="wind_direction_enedemo" align="middle" height="88" width="88">


<embed src="http://image.weather.com/web/flash/wind_direction_nw.swf" quality="high" name="wind_direction_enedemo" allowscriptaccess="sameDomain" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer" align="middle" height="88" width="88"> </object></td> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center">Wind: From the NNE at 11 mph</td></tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <!-- insert right side --> <!-- LINK REL="stylesheet" TYPE="text/css" HREF="http://image.weather.com/web/common/header/stylesheet/verticals/events.css" --> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(27, 57, 117);" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="213"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
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Washington Nationals
Schedule
Best Nationals Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
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New York Mets
Schedule
Best Mets Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" bgcolor="#1b3975">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" style="padding: 10px 5px 5px;"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td style="padding: 5px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Buy tickets</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Get MLB gear</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Other Local Sporting Events</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Interstate Forecast:</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 33px;"> I-78 | I-87</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
Click to expand...


Under is 5-2 in Lannans last 7 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 5-2 in Lannans last 7 starts as a road underdog.
Under is 5-2 in Lannans last 7 road starts.

Under is 5-1 in Maines last 6 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 5-1 in Maines last 6 home starts.
Under is 4-1-1 in Maines last 6 starts overall.
Under is 4-1-1 in Maines last 6 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Maines last 5 starts vs. Nationals.
 
good points gents on the NYM-WAS under. I'm just glad i messed up and didn't get it in yesterday so i could take the CHC-SD OVER.

...as for my early leans, the juice is bad on the BOS-BAL OVER, which sucks, but the TB-NYY is still at -110. i'm wondering if the under in that one is NOT such a good idea though because of all the Yanks lefties facing Jackson, a RHP.

let's keep it going, and it's amazing how much i miss the color-coded spreadsheet
 
Chicago (Sox) @ Anaheim
current line 8.5

<table class="data" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="datahl2b" width="29%">Overall</td> <td class="datahl2b">W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">Tm W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">IP</td> <td class="datahl2b">H</td> <td class="datahl2b">WHIP</td> <td class="datahl2b">ERA</td> <td class="datahl2b">AF</td> <td class="datahl2b">AA</td> <td class="datahl2b">OU</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2"> John Danks (L)
Jered Weaver (R)</td> <td class="datacell"> 3-3
2-5</td> <td class="datacell"> 4-3
2-6</td> <td class="datacell"> 39.2
46.2</td> <td class="datacell"> 34
55</td> <td class="datacell"> 1.11
1.48</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.18
5.59</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.7
3.8</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.7
4.6</td> <td class="datacell"> 1-6
3-5</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2b">Last 3</td> <td class="datahl2b">W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">Tm W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">IP</td> <td class="datahl2b">H</td> <td class="datahl2b">WHIP</td> <td class="datahl2b">ERA</td> <td class="datahl2b">AF</td> <td class="datahl2b">AA</td> <td class="datahl2b">OU</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2"> John Danks (L)
Jered Weaver (R)</td> <td class="datacell"> 1-2
1-2</td> <td class="datacell"> 1-2
1-2</td> <td class="datacell"> 16.0
16.2</td> <td class="datacell"> 17
20</td> <td class="datacell"> 1.25
1.62</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.38
7.56</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.0
4.3</td> <td class="datacell"> 4.0
5.0</td> <td class="datacell"> 0-3
1-2</td></tr></tbody></table>
home plate UMP Chris Guccione

Guccione is 2-5 o/u with 62.17% strikes. 12.6 SOs/6.9 walks = 1.84
in 2007, 19-20 o/u with 62.08% strikes. 13.2 SOs/7.0 walks = 1.88
in 2006, 21-10 o/u with 62.51% strikes. 13.5 SOs/6.9 walks = 1.95
in 2005, 12-17 o/u with 63.60% strikes. 12.4 SOs/5.6 walks = 2.24
in 2004, 16-14 o/u with 62.92% strikes. 11.9 SOs/5.7 walks = 2.10
in 2003, 19-17 o/u with 63.01% strikes. 13.1 SOs/6.1 walks = 2.14
in 2002, 17-20 o/u with 62.44% strikes. 13.3 SOs/6.8 walks = 1.95
in 2001, 12-16 o/u with 63.03% strikes. 12.5 SOs/6.2 walks = 2.00
in 2000, 15-11 o/u with 60.04% strikes. 13.2 SOs/8.3 walks = 1.58

Game Forecast
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<!-- insert left side --> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="443"><tbody><tr><td bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="240"> <table bgcolor="#d2d7e4" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 11px 5px 20px 11px;">Tue., May. 13, 2008
First Pitch: 7:05 PM PDT
Angel Stadium of Anaheim
Anaheim, CA</td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><!-- insert correct bgcolor --> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4">Event Day Forecast</td> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"><!-- event day fcst --> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" width="30%">
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Sunny</td> <td rowspan="2" bgcolor="#bbc3d6">
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</td> <td style="padding: 5px;" class="blkVerdanaText10" valign="top" width="70%"> Forecast : 71°F
Feels like: 71°F

Sunset: 7:45 PM

Probability of Precip:0 %
Spectator Index: 10
UV Index: Low</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="3">
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</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr><!-- wind direction --> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Direction</td> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 0px 5px 21px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Speed</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%"><!--insert wind direction swf --> <object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://fpdownload.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=5,0,0,0" id="wind_direction_enedemo" align="middle" height="88" width="88">


<embed src="http://image.weather.com/web/flash/wind_direction_sw.swf" quality="high" name="wind_direction_enedemo" allowscriptaccess="sameDomain" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer" align="middle" height="88" width="88"> </object></td> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center">Wind: From the W at 9 mph</td></tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <!-- insert right side --> <!-- LINK REL="stylesheet" TYPE="text/css" HREF="http://image.weather.com/web/common/header/stylesheet/verticals/events.css" --> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(27, 57, 117);" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="213"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
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Chicago White Sox
Schedule
Best White Sox Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
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LA Angels of Anaheim
Schedule
Best Angels Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" bgcolor="#1b3975">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" style="padding: 10px 5px 5px;"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td style="padding: 5px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Buy tickets</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
mlb_gearicon.gif
</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Get MLB gear</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Other Local Sporting Events</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
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</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Interstate Forecast:</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 33px;"> I-10 | I-15 | I-5</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
Click to expand...

something's telling me this'll be an over.

yet...

Under is 5-0 in Danks' last 5 starts overall.
Under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
Under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 road starts.
Under is 4-0 in Danks' last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Danks' last 7 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150.
Under is 4-1 in Danks' last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Under is 4-1 in Danks' last 5 starts on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Danks' last 5 starts as an underdog.

Under is 6-0 in Weavers last 6 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 4-0 in Weavers last 4 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.
Under is 5-0-1 in Weavers last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 11-1-1 in Weavers last 13 starts during game 2 of a series.
Under is 6-1 in Weavers last 7 starts vs. American League Central.
Under is 8-2 in Weavers last 10 starts as a home favorite.
Under is 4-1 in Weavers last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Under is 8-2 in Weavers last 10 home starts.
Under is 4-1 in Weavers last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 18-5 in Weavers last 23 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Under is 6-2-1 in Weavers last 9 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 6-2 in Weavers last 8 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Under is 20-8-2 in Weavers last 30 starts as a favorite.
Under is 5-2 in Weavers last 7 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.

Under is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

and yesterday they scored 17 between them with a series of gascans on the mound.

shrug. GL with this one. could be 2-0 either way....or 20-19 either way.
 
i will be staying away from the toatal in the LAA/CWS, however i really like the Sox as a small dog. not a fan of weaver at all but i really like the way Danks is developing . his control has been elite of late while his SO's are still excellent, couple that w/ an improved GB rate and you have a top level SP in the making. he is only 23 and a LHP, get him now while he still has some value. a strong play here.
 
and it begins...

Atlanta @ Philly

Bob Davidson

Game Forecast
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<!-- insert left side --> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="443"><tbody><tr><td bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="240"> <table bgcolor="#d2d7e4" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 11px 5px 20px 11px;">Tue., May. 13, 2008
First Pitch: 7:05 PM EDT
Citizens Bank Park
Philadelphia, PA</td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><!-- insert correct bgcolor --> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4">Event Day Forecast</td> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"><!-- event day fcst --> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" width="30%">
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Sunny</td> <td rowspan="2" bgcolor="#bbc3d6">
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</td> <td style="padding: 5px;" class="blkVerdanaText10" valign="top" width="70%"> Forecast : 69°F
Feels like: 69°F

Sunset: 8:07 PM

Probability of Precip:20 %
Spectator Index: 10
UV Index: Low</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="3">
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</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr><!-- wind direction --> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Direction</td> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 0px 5px 21px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Speed</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%"><!--insert wind direction swf --> <object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://fpdownload.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=5,0,0,0" id="wind_direction_enedemo" align="middle" height="88" width="88">


<embed src="http://image.weather.com/web/flash/wind_direction_n.swf" quality="high" name="wind_direction_enedemo" allowscriptaccess="sameDomain" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer" align="middle" height="88" width="88"> </object></td> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center">Wind: From the NNE at 9 mph</td></tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> <!-- insert right side --> <!-- LINK REL="stylesheet" TYPE="text/css" HREF="http://image.weather.com/web/common/header/stylesheet/verticals/events.css" --> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(27, 57, 117);" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="213"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
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Atlanta Braves
Schedule
Best Braves Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
mlb_teamatimg.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
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Philadelphia Phillies
Schedule
Best Phillies Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" bgcolor="#1b3975">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" style="padding: 10px 5px 5px;"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td style="padding: 5px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
ticketicon.gif
</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Buy tickets</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
mlb_gearicon.gif
</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Get MLB gear</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
blank.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
othergamesicon.gif
</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Other Local Sporting Events</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
interstateicon.gif
</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Interstate Forecast:</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 33px;"> I-95 | I-76</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
Click to expand...
 
Davidson is 5-2 o/u with 61.16% strikes. 14.4 SOs/7.7 walks = 1.87
in 2007, 19-15 o/u with 62.99% strikes. 12.5 SOs/6.6 walks = 1.90
in 2006, 18-18 o/u with 63.49% strikes. 12.0 SOs/5.9 walks = 2.02
in 1999, 16-10 o/u with 61.85% strikes. 14.5 SOs/7.3 walks = 1.97
 
Boston @ Baltimore

Laz Diaz

under clubber

Diaz is 1-6 o/u with 63.48% strikes. 14.5 SOs/5.8 walks = 2.52
in 07, 14-24 o/u with 64.27% strikes. 14.5 SOs/6.1 walks = 2.39
in 06, 13-23 o/u with 63.12% strikes. 13.0 SOs/5.8 walks = 2.22
in 05, 18-15 o/u with 62.46% strikes. 13.7 SOs/6.5 walks = 2.11
in 04, 15-19 o/u with 63.07% strikes. 13.7 SOs/6.3 walks = 2.17
in 03, 16-16 o/u with 62.32% strikes. 12.8 SOs/6.7 walks = 1.90
in 02, 18-14 o/u with 62.30% strikes. 12.6 SOs/6.9 walks = 1.90


<table class="data" cellpadding="2" cellspacing="1"><tbody><tr><td class="datahl2b" width="29%">Overall</td> <td class="datahl2b">W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">Tm W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">IP</td> <td class="datahl2b">H</td> <td class="datahl2b">WHIP</td> <td class="datahl2b">ERA</td> <td class="datahl2b">AF</td> <td class="datahl2b">AA</td> <td class="datahl2b">OU</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2"> Josh Beckett (R)
Jeremy Guthrie (R)</td> <td class="datacell"> 4-2
1-3</td> <td class="datacell"> 4-2
3-5</td> <td class="datacell"> 41.1
50.0</td> <td class="datacell"> 31
47</td> <td class="datacell"> 0.94
1.26</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.70
4.32</td> <td class="datacell"> 5.3
3.5</td> <td class="datacell"> 3.8
5.2</td> <td class="datacell"> 3-3
3-5</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2b">Last 3</td> <td class="datahl2b">W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">Tm W-L</td> <td class="datahl2b">IP</td> <td class="datahl2b">H</td> <td class="datahl2b">WHIP</td> <td class="datahl2b">ERA</td> <td class="datahl2b">AF</td> <td class="datahl2b">AA</td> <td class="datahl2b">OU</td> </tr> <tr> <td class="datahl2"> Josh Beckett (R)
Jeremy Guthrie (R)</td> <td class="datacell"> 2-1
1-1</td> <td class="datacell"> 2-1
1-2</td> <td class="datacell"> 22.0
17.2</td> <td class="datacell"> 17
13</td> <td class="datacell"> 0.86
1.13</td> <td class="datacell"> 2.45
4.58</td> <td class="datacell"> 5.7
3.3</td> <td class="datacell"> 2.7
5.0</td> <td class="datacell"> 1-2
1-2</td></tr></tbody></table>
Game Forecast
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<!-- insert left side --> <!-- insert right side --> <!-- LINK REL="stylesheet" TYPE="text/css" HREF="http://image.weather.com/web/common/header/stylesheet/verticals/events.css" --> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="443"><tbody><tr><td bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="240"> <table bgcolor="#d2d7e4" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 11px 5px 20px 11px;">Tue., May. 13, 2008
First Pitch: 7:05 PM EDT
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Baltimore, MD</td> </tr> </tbody></table> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr><!-- insert correct bgcolor --> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4">Event Day Forecast</td> </tr> <tr> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"><!-- event day fcst --> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td align="center" width="30%">
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Sunny</td> <td rowspan="2" bgcolor="#bbc3d6">
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</td> <td style="padding: 5px;" class="blkVerdanaText10" valign="top" width="70%"> Forecast : 72°F
Feels like: 72°F

Sunset: 8:12 PM

Probability of Precip:20 %
Spectator Index: 10
UV Index: Low</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="3">
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</td> </tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr> <tr><!-- wind direction --> <td bgcolor="#ffffff"> <table bgcolor="#ffffff" border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" width="100%"> <tbody><tr> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 5px 5px 11px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Direction</td> <td class="MLBblue11" style="border-style: solid; border-color: rgb(187, 195, 214); border-width: 1px 0px; padding: 5px 0px 5px 21px;" bgcolor="#f4f4f4" width="50%">Wind Speed</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%"><!--insert wind direction swf --> <object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" codebase="http://fpdownload.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=5,0,0,0" id="wind_direction_enedemo" align="middle" height="88" width="88">


<embed src="http://image.weather.com/web/flash/wind_direction_nnw.swf" quality="high" name="wind_direction_enedemo" allowscriptaccess="sameDomain" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" pluginspage="http://www.macromedia.com/go/getflashplayer" align="middle" height="88" width="88"> </object></td> <td style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center" width="50%">
wind_speed_light.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 15px 0px 0px;" align="center">Wind: From the N at 6 mph</td></tr> </tbody></table> </td> </tr></tbody></table> </td> <td style="border: 1px solid rgb(27, 57, 117);" bgcolor="#ffffff" valign="top" width="213"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
bos_small.gif

Boston Red Sox
Schedule
Best Red Sox Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
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</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
mlb_teamatimg.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
blank.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText11" style="padding: 10px 0px 0px;" align="center">
bal_small.gif

Baltimore Orioles
Schedule
Best O's Weather</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
blank.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" bgcolor="#1b3975">
blank.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" style="padding: 10px 5px 5px;"> <table border="0" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0"> <tbody><tr> <td style="padding: 5px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
ticketicon.gif
</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Buy tickets</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
blank.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
mlb_gearicon.gif
</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Get MLB gear</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
blank.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
othergamesicon.gif
</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Other Local Sporting Events</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2">
blank.gif
</td> </tr> <tr> <td style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 5px;" align="center" width="13">
interstateicon.gif
</td> <td class="blkVerdanaText10" width="100%"> Interstate Forecast:</td> </tr> <tr> <td colspan="2" class="blkVerdanaText10" style="padding: 0px 0px 0px 33px;"> I-97 | I-95 | I-83 | I-70</td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table></td></tr></tbody></table>
Click to expand...
 
Last edited:
under in balti then i guess... guthrie with good history vs the sox. Only worry is his current pitching pattern. He is prone to give up the long ball in the 3-5 inning, nullifying his good pitching beforehand. If he can keep the ball down, 8 is a fair number.
 
i have no interest in the OVER between BOS-BAL now with Diaz behind the plate. I guess that is good news because of the juice... and also i have no interest in the TB-NYY under cuz the Yanks are facing a RHP, and Kulpa seems to be an over clubber.

...on the other hand, Guccione seems to be good for the way i was leaning on the LAA-CHW game, so i think the UNDER there is the strongest play, imo. Maybe the UNDER between NYM & WAS is another good play though
 
Red: Kulpa was at first base last night. Your info in Tampa is most likely incorrect. He should be behind the dish, regardless of what these preliminary boxes say.

DARLING in Cleveland. He's an honorary club member, with strike percentages well over the 63.5 percent needed to be an "UNDER" ump in three of the last six years. He's been calling some overs this year (six of eight) but that should even out over time. I'll be there on the UNDER in that one.
 
Darling is 6-2 o/u with 62.70% strikes. 12.9 SOs/6.6 walks = 1.94
in 2007, 13-21 o/u with 63.38% strikes. 12.8 SOs/5.6 walks = 2.30
in 2006, 15-20 o/u with 63.08% strikes. 12.5 SOs/6.2 walks = 2.02
in 2005, 16-16 o/u with 64.18% strikes. 12.8 SOs/5.6 walks = 2.30
in 2004, 18-18 o/u with 62.59% strikes. 13.2 SOs/6.3 walks = 2.11
in 2003, 23-14 o/u with 63.82% strikes. 13.3 SOs/6.4 walks = 2.08
in 2002, 16-16 o/u with 63.65% strikes. 13.5 SOs/5.7 walks = 2.37
in 1999, 16-10 o/u with 61.91% strikes. 12.5 SOs/7.1 walks = 1.76

I wouldn't expect this year's over trend to continue.

:shake:
 
KULPA 5-1 O/U this year (60.85 percentage) this year but an old dog doesn't change his stripes... he's been at the 63.5 percent UNDER threshold a couple of times (including last year) and was 85-108 O/U last six years before this season.

If you like UNDER in Tampa, he won't hurt you.
 
cashflowmatters said:
Is Kulpa an over/unde club member?
Click to expand...

you make the call...

Kulpa is 5-1 o/u with 60.85% strikes. 15.2 SOs/7.7 walks = 1.98
in 2007, 17-16 o/u with 63.50% strikes. 13.3 SOs/6.3 walks = 2.1
in 2006, 13-18 o/u with 62.63% strikes. 12.7 SOs/6.1 walks = 2.08
in 2005, 14-18 o/u with 62.70% strikes. 12.6 SOs/6.2 walks = 2.02
in 2004, 14-17 o/u with 62.11% strikes. 13.0 SOs/6.6 walks = 1.97
in 2003, 13-19 o/u with 63.41% strikes. 12.8 SOs/5.5 walks = 2.32
in 2002, 15-19 o/u with 63.43% strikes. 13.3 SOs/6.6 walks = 2.02
in 2001, 17-17 o/u with 62.11% strikes. 12.8 SOs/6.6 walks = 1.93
in 2000, 15-18 o/u with 61.92% strikes. 13.4 SOs/7.4 walks = 1.86
 
HERNANDEZ has been an UNDER guy at times, and his percentage back in 2002 and 2003 was over 64... he's still an UNDER guy but his strike zone is too inconsistent to get a good read on it. This year, he's 3-6 O/U but at less than 61 percent, with these two pitchers, I won't have anything to do with the total...
 
GIBSON just 4-4 this season and and has traditionally been NEUTRAL, but it's hard to ignore his 59.23 strike percentage, which is the lowest in baseball...

CLUBBER he is...
 
West is 6-0 o/u with 61.34% strikes. 12.0 SOs/7.2 walks = 1.66
in 07, 18-17 o/u with 62.09% strikes. 12.6 SOs/6.8 walks = 1.86
in 06, 17-17 o/u with 61.86% strikes. 12.7 SOs/6.9 walks = 1.85
in 05, 17-19 o/u with 63.75% strikes. 13.3 SOs/6.6 walks = 2.00
in 04, 21-15 o/u with 62.38% strikes. 12.1 SOs/6.2 walks = 1.94
in 03, 22-15 o/u with 62.50% strikes. 13.4 SOs/6.9 walks = 1.95
in 02, 11-18 o/u with 62.95% strikes. 13.8 SOs/6.4 walks = 2.14

this is somehow an over guy with several stats that suggest unders. but he's done the shit for years.....
 
WOLF in Kansas City. He was a CLUBBER last year, and has a large, vertical strike zone. He's just 61.32 strikes this year, and 5-2 O/U... but those things tend to even out.
 
CollegeKingRex said:
LOTL - Penny rarely if ever has two clunkers in a row. I'm about to bet more on the Dodgers, too....
Click to expand...
i also have a play on the Dodgers, but its more of a play against Villenueva and Milw, i really think this is a new Penny though but i hope your right and he delivers a bounce back.GL
 
CollegeKingRex said:
WOLF in Kansas City. He was a CLUBBER last year, and has a large, vertical strike zone. He's just 61.32 strikes this year, and 5-2 O/U... but those things tend to even out.
Click to expand...
i already had an 1h under here and i think this assignment helps, i think wolf has too much history and those walks need to normalize as you suggest.
 
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