SF_capper
CTG addict
First on the Warriors game
hmmm a 2 game chase on GS would probably be best. Considering NY has been cold and Thomas is fighting for his job. Although I don't believe NY's mentally strong enough, I think the thug in them will respond to challenges (not bumps, but ego/money challenges). I'd recommend playin GS for say 1 unit, and if it loses go 2 units on them gainst Boston. I can't say for sure where our heads are at (after all, I am just a fan), but there's a possibility they look ahead to Boston. Jackson is a huge talent for our team as he brings out the emotion and drive in the team sometimes. However, he's a bit cocky, and might be convinced, and convince others, that to really make a statement to the league, they better beat Boston. The matchups are not horrible, Al Harrington/Stephen Jackson on KG (sounds crazy, but they get the job done. look at how they shut out Bosh late (despite his struggles against everyone). I would go into the individual matchups position by position more, but I have a feeling Nellie mixes it up to try to make Boston adjust. Maybe something like Monta, Baron, Azubuike, SJax, and Al Harrington. It would probably be to take Kendrick Perkins out and bring I'm guessing Posey? so Monta-Rondo, Buike-Ray, Baron-Pierce, Jax-Posey, Al-KG. sounds crazy, and this is completely my guessing, but I can see it happening.
Also, Boston all yr has been susceptible to slow starts, the opposite for GS. GS has always been a team to come out blazing, bring in a comfusing defense to try to get steals and get running early. The wins bring a little confidence back to the warriors and make em actually try harder (including Nelson- who can outcoach Doc with his eyes closed and should be trying to come up with something to make Doc make early adjustments)
However, we don't know how Boston will repspond to a loss. KG fired up-- eek. also, warriors D tends to leave many shooters just wide open, and we hope the running just fores some short shots, but with ray, pierce, posey, house, scal. Those shots just might fall.
again I'll probably be on some kind of chase for the warriors the next 2 days. The reason I don't love GS too much in NY is
1) we suck as road chalk
2) I think we're kinda public w jax back and off 2 wins
3) NY fighting for their jobs
4) when a team is fighting for something, they typically come out hard. If the Knicks get the first punch "sort of speak" and can get outrebounding us, ZBO and Curry outsizing us, then we might be in trouble
5) look-ahead factor
overall don't know how knicks will react after all the drama. For the total, can't really say the over looks bad. GS running, got the offense flowing, NY bigs can posterize our insides. However, to hit 220, both teams need to be motivated to win and again don't know if warriors come out flat in lookahead or how NY will react
shit hella typing, but need a break from midterm studies...
for the other games, Denver line came out suprisingly lower than I thought. Can't really put my finger on why, seems kinda too easy. try not to overthink, Denver should win by 10
in the other thread I mentioned I leaned Atlanta as they've beaten Dallas and Phoenix at home. Don't know how, but here's a nice opportunity to take out the 3rd. ATL off a loss, San Antonio maybe look ahead to Orlando.
wednesday, gonna go pretty big on Houston.. with or without Tmac
hmmm a 2 game chase on GS would probably be best. Considering NY has been cold and Thomas is fighting for his job. Although I don't believe NY's mentally strong enough, I think the thug in them will respond to challenges (not bumps, but ego/money challenges). I'd recommend playin GS for say 1 unit, and if it loses go 2 units on them gainst Boston. I can't say for sure where our heads are at (after all, I am just a fan), but there's a possibility they look ahead to Boston. Jackson is a huge talent for our team as he brings out the emotion and drive in the team sometimes. However, he's a bit cocky, and might be convinced, and convince others, that to really make a statement to the league, they better beat Boston. The matchups are not horrible, Al Harrington/Stephen Jackson on KG (sounds crazy, but they get the job done. look at how they shut out Bosh late (despite his struggles against everyone). I would go into the individual matchups position by position more, but I have a feeling Nellie mixes it up to try to make Boston adjust. Maybe something like Monta, Baron, Azubuike, SJax, and Al Harrington. It would probably be to take Kendrick Perkins out and bring I'm guessing Posey? so Monta-Rondo, Buike-Ray, Baron-Pierce, Jax-Posey, Al-KG. sounds crazy, and this is completely my guessing, but I can see it happening.
Also, Boston all yr has been susceptible to slow starts, the opposite for GS. GS has always been a team to come out blazing, bring in a comfusing defense to try to get steals and get running early. The wins bring a little confidence back to the warriors and make em actually try harder (including Nelson- who can outcoach Doc with his eyes closed and should be trying to come up with something to make Doc make early adjustments)
However, we don't know how Boston will repspond to a loss. KG fired up-- eek. also, warriors D tends to leave many shooters just wide open, and we hope the running just fores some short shots, but with ray, pierce, posey, house, scal. Those shots just might fall.
again I'll probably be on some kind of chase for the warriors the next 2 days. The reason I don't love GS too much in NY is
1) we suck as road chalk
2) I think we're kinda public w jax back and off 2 wins
3) NY fighting for their jobs
4) when a team is fighting for something, they typically come out hard. If the Knicks get the first punch "sort of speak" and can get outrebounding us, ZBO and Curry outsizing us, then we might be in trouble
5) look-ahead factor
overall don't know how knicks will react after all the drama. For the total, can't really say the over looks bad. GS running, got the offense flowing, NY bigs can posterize our insides. However, to hit 220, both teams need to be motivated to win and again don't know if warriors come out flat in lookahead or how NY will react
shit hella typing, but need a break from midterm studies...
for the other games, Denver line came out suprisingly lower than I thought. Can't really put my finger on why, seems kinda too easy. try not to overthink, Denver should win by 10
in the other thread I mentioned I leaned Atlanta as they've beaten Dallas and Phoenix at home. Don't know how, but here's a nice opportunity to take out the 3rd. ATL off a loss, San Antonio maybe look ahead to Orlando.
wednesday, gonna go pretty big on Houston.. with or without Tmac
