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VirginiaCavs

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3-Pack Mixed August 15: 1 Side, 1 Prop, and 1 Parlay


Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 8:05 p.m. ET at Globe Life Field in Arlington

  • Lucas Giolito tends to struggle on the road especially against good lineups
  • Jordan Montgomery enjoys strong form
  • The Angels are struggling both hitting-wise and as a team

Who Starts for Los Angeles?

The Angels start Lucas Giolito tonight.

Giolito's performances as a member of the Angels are consistent with his season-long tendency, apparent also when he played for the White Sox, to struggle on the road.

Whereas his ERA is 2.62 in home games, it is 6.15 in hostile territory.

As evident in his recent start in Atlanta and, when he played for Chicago, in his start in Tampa Bay, he is especially likely to struggle against good lineups on the road.

His outlook is negative today because Texas certainly has a good lineup: the Rangers rank second in runs per game.

Giolito's Arsenal

Giolito's outlook is negative tonight also because he matches up poorly with Texas.

Primarily, he throws a fastball, slider, and changeup.

These pitches make up 98.5 percent of his arsenal.

The Rangers rank fourth with a .465 slugging rate against his pitches from righties.

Who Starts for Texas?

Jordan Montgomery starts for the Rangers tonight.

Montgomery is enjoying strong form in his new uniform.

As a Ranger, he held Miami to two runs in six innings before confining Oakland to the same outcome.

His strong performance against the Marlins is particularly impressive because they slug his pitches well from lefties.

Angels Lineup

Hitting-wise and in general, the Angels continue to slump: they enter tonight's game having lost three of their last four.

They've scored a combined total of eight runs in their past four games.

During this four-game run, they're 0-for-5 against Montgomery's pitches from lefties.

Best Bet: Rangers RL at +123 with BetOnline









New York Yankees vs. Atlanta Braves
Tuesday, August 15, 2023 at 7:20 p.m. ET at Truist Park in Atlanta

  • Luis Severino is pitching terribly right now
  • Severino is allowing a lot of home runs
  • Matt Olson is a great home run hitter who enjoys excellent form

Who Starts for the Yankees?

Luis Severino starts for the Yankees tonight.

Severino is an auto-fade right now: hitters can easily expect to be productive against him, given his current form.

He enters tonight's game having yielded an ERA of over 11 in each of his last three starts.

His current form is particularly worrisome because even weaker lineups have dominated him.

For example, he allowed five hits and four earned runs in two innings against the White Sox, even though they rank 25th in runs per game.

One of Severino's main problems is his tendency to allow home runs.

He has allowed at least one home run in seven straight games.

During this seven-game stretch, he's allowed a combined total of ten home runs.

This statistic suggests that, among the many good hitters Atlanta possesses, we should select a particularly home run-heavy hitter to invest in.

But, especially in view of Severino's current form, a good lineup like Atlanta's is going to have a lot of batters achieve their total bases "over" prop.

This is also likely in view of the Braves' current team form: they're averaging over ten runs per game in their last five games.

High-scoring Atlanta's lineup will get many at-bats, which means more chances at getting a hit.

Matt Olson

I especially like Matt Olson to thrive for Atlanta tonight.

Leading the MLB with 43 home runs, he is well-built to extent Severino's home run woes.

His form is also excellent: he enters today's game on a six-game hitting streak.

Best Bet: Matt Olson to record 2+ total bases at -110 with Bovada









Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays at 7:07 p.m. ET at Rogers Centre in Toronto & Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds at 6:40 p.m. ET at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati

  • Both Toronto's and Philadelphia's starting pitchers enjoy strong form
  • Toronto's lineup tends to flop after a strong output
  • Graham Ashcraft's form is superior to Logan Allen's

Who Starts for Toronto?

Yusei Kikuchi starts for the Blue Jays today.

His current form helps explain why the "under" is sure to hit for this game.

He enters today's contest having allowed one earned run or fewer in each of his last five starts.

His current form is particularly impressive because he's sustained it even against difficult competition.

For example, on July 26, he held the Dodgers to one run in six innings in their ballpark.

Who Starts for Philadelphia?

Zack Wheeler starts for the Phillies today.

Wheeler is similarly reliable: he comes into today having allowed a combined total of seven earned runs in his last four games.

Toronto's Lineup

Toronto's hitting must be expected to flop today after its double-digit run output in its last game.

The Blue Jays have scored three runs or fewer in their last four games following a game in which they scored ten or more runs.

Who Starts for Cleveland?

Logan Allen starts for the Guardians today.

He is coming off a fortunate start in which his ERA was low because he yielded a .214 BABIP despite inducing less soft contact than usual.

Allen has now yielded an FIP (like ERA but factors out fielding) of over 5.50 in three of his last four starts.

Who Starts for Cincinnati?

Cincinnati starts Graham Ashcraft today.

Ashcraft has allowed two earned runs or fewer in seven of his last eight starts. He allowed three in eight innings in the exception.

He has thrived even against tough matchups.

Plus, Cleveland is 0-5 in its last five games following a win.

Best Bet: Parlay Phillies-Blue Jays under 8 at +100 & Reds ML at -111 at +280 odds with BetOnline
 
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