ETG, who knows man, could turn out 55-10 hahaha.
i've been riding w michigan a lot this year, and have lost a couple that i thought they "coulda would shoulda won", but i still think the talent is there. they have what i consider to be the vastly superior defense here and the better running game. a great home dog with winning 8 out of the last 11 home games including something like 7 or 8 straight at home against CMU. they've lost by more than 4 points once to cmu in the last 10 meetings only once, and it was last year...revenge is a bitch. you have a w michigan team that a play here and a play there could have had a better year, and the opposite for CMU, who has an attrocious defense i'd never feel confident about backing on the road. as far as breakdowns of the two teams and their strengths/weaknesses, i've written a lot about these two teams in previous weeks, and i believe now we have a classic example of overvalued vs undervalued teams here, as i believe this line would be -3 or -3.5 if the game were played week 1. not much time and i gotta run, but i hope that helps a little bit. my only other 5 unit play this year was bills +10 vs the cowboys. it will most likely be my last at least until post-season, and by the way i got (+105) on the juice. to sum things up, better defense, better run game at home in an emotional rivalry game in which i think the teams are just about equal ...and you're going to give me points and juice?? thank you.