Tuesday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Jun 13 Tue 2023

06:40 PM
913Atlanta BravesS. Strider -R-250O 8½
-105
914Detroit TigersR. Olson -R+1 Markets+224U 8½
-115
07:10 PM
915New York YankeesL. Severino -R+128O 8
-108
916New York MetsM. Scherzer -R+1 Markets-138U 8
-112
07:10 PM
917Colorado RockiesC. Anderson -R+1½
+100		+204O 10
-106
918Boston Red SoxK. Crawford -R+1 Markets-1½
-120		-225U 10
-114
07:40 PM
919Milwaukee BrewersC. Burnes -R+1½
-195		+103O 7½
-115
920Minnesota TwinsP. Lopez -R+1 Markets-1½
+170		-113U 7½
-105
07:45 PM
901San Francisco GiantsA. Cobb -R+1½
-205		-107O 8½
-107
902St. Louis CardinalsJ. Flaherty -R+1 Markets-1½
+175		-103U 8½
-113
08:05 PM
903Pittsburgh PiratesL. Ortiz -R+126
904Chicago CubsJ. Taillon -R+1 Markets-136
08:05 PM
909Los Angeles AngelsJ. Barria -R+1½
-150		+125O 9
-118
910Texas RangersJ. Gray -R+1 Markets-1½
+130		-135U 9
-102
08:10 PM
921Cincinnati RedsB. Williamson -L+1½
-175		+108O 9½
-115
922Kansas City RoyalsJ. Lyles -R+1 Markets-1½
+155		-118U 9½
-105
08:10 PM
923Washington NationalsP. Corbin -L+1½
+105		+216O 8½
+100
924Houston AstrosH. Brown -R+1 Markets-1½
-125		-240U 8½
-120
09:40 PM
905Philadelphia PhilliesZ. Wheeler -R-1½
+110		-141O 9
+100
906Arizona DiamondbacksZ. Davies -R+1 Markets+1½
-130		+130U 9
-120
09:40 PM
927Cleveland GuardiansT. Bibee -R+1½
-140		+150O 7½
-115
928San Diego PadresJ. Musgrove -R+1 Markets-1½
+120		-163U 7½
-105
10:10 PM
929Chicago White SoxL. Lynn -R+175O 9
-103
930Los Angeles DodgersT. Gonsolin -R+1 Markets-191U 9
-117
 
Wonder if they keep strider k’s at 8.5? They usually give pitchers a bump up when facing tigers lately but don’t think I’ve seen a 9.5 k prop all year. That would be the game. He probably will punch out 10+. I know I just said the other day I wasn’t gonna play over 8.5s but I probably would here if the juice was reasonable.
 
Burnes looked a lot more like a cy young pitcher last outing, twins strike out a lot, if they put him at 5.5 it be a banger but I’m guessing has to be at least 6.5. Lot of strike outs in that game on both sides, Lopez should mow milw down also!
 
So they did hang a 9.5 k’s on strider, think this the highest k prop I’ve seen since I started doing the k’s last season! Certainly not unreasonable, I actually kinda expected it considering they been giving most pitchers a bump against tigers lately, you bump strider it gonna be 9.5 cause he regularly has a 8.5 number and goes over quite a bit! Even last game when Mets blew him up he still managed to fan 8 in only 4 innings. I don’t think it unreasonable at all to say if Strider goes 6 innings there a real possibility he fans double digits against a tigers team who been striking out a lot lately. Does that mean I want to play over? Not really. No secret I don’t like pitcher prop unders and there no freaking chance I’d play a under with this dude short of them hanging a 12.5! Lol. Think it just a pass although you could probably make a decent case +110 worth a shot for him to fan double digits, just isn’t for me.

Striders number not alone, they seem to be going high on a lot the pitcher props this week, mentioned I thought we see a ton of k’s in the brewers/twins game but I wasn’t expecting them to line both pitchers at 7.5 k’s! The season Burnes is having doesn’t justify this number, I was expecting a 6.5 and i would have def considered the over, it wouldn’t have been a no brainer by any stretch tho, so the 7.5 once again feels to rich for me. He could absolutely get there, his last 3 games have started to much more resemble his previous seasons, his swinging strike which been down this year has been 14.5% or higher the last 3 starts, much more Corbin like. We know twins strike out a lot. The problem is we shouldn’t have to pay full price on a guy who season totals are down, he still isn’t fanning even 9 per 9 after being well into double digits the last 4 seasons. It looks to me like he getting that form back but they are lining him like nothing has changed which sucks.
 
Isn't there a tendency for pitchers to suffer in the start following one in which they take a no-hit bid late into an outing? Nola did, for example
 
I like musgrove but it appears guardians have found another solid starter in Bibee. Both teams playing good ball in June, both offenses have picked it up. Obviously pads lineup has more upside than cle but at the moment they both playing about the same level imo. Matter of fact these 2 teams have the 2 highest team ops over the past week+ With guardians slightly higher than pads! Just not sure why they hanging a -155 on pads here? Guardians have the highest batting average in baseball the past 15 days. Musgrive obviously has the track record but I’d say right now Bibee is right with him. Getting +140 on Cleveland seems like a really solid play to me as I think this game pretty close to a coin flip, before the props the key to my baseball success was making plays like this where we get +140 on a coin flip type of game!
 
2daBank said:
I like musgrove but it appears guardians have found another solid starter in Bibee. Both teams playing good ball in June, both offenses have picked it up. Obviously pads lineup has more upside than cle but at the moment they both playing about the same level imo. Matter of fact these 2 teams have the 2 highest team ops over the past week+ With guardians slightly higher than pads! Just not sure why they hanging a -155 on pads here? Guardians have the highest batting average in baseball the past 15 days. Musgrive obviously has the track record but I’d say right now Bibee is right with him. Getting +140 on Cleveland seems like a really solid play to me as I think this game pretty close to a coin flip, before the props the key to my baseball success was making plays like this where we get +140 on a coin flip type of game!
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Waking up, need your input

I really think the salami under crushes today
 
KJ said:
Waking up, need your input

I really think the salami under crushes today
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I lucked out Sunday cause the early Ass start, I assume it went over yesterday but I don’t play lot the smaller cards, plus it didn’t come up on DK till like 5, wasn’t driving back across river, I assume it went over. I never really cap it, another thing I noticed other than high scores and not coming out till late, it wasn’t juiced up as many runs as it had been, gotta watch that. There at least 5-6 games that look like unders to me, I don’t know the number yet tho?
 
Just got done switching my internet, charter/spectrum pisses me off so bad I cancelled them and went with t-mobile but unfortunately their customer service is great but their internet sucks so back to charter/spectrum I had to go. That why they such assholes cause they have the only internet you can trust to deliver the speeds they claim! At least I got the price back down for 2 years as they tried jacking my shit from 50 to 85 or some bull shit which why I left!
 
2daBank said:
Just got done switching my internet, charter/spectrum pisses me off so bad I cancelled them and went with t-mobile but unfortunately their customer service is great but their internet sucks so back to charter/spectrum I had to go. That why they such assholes cause they have the only internet you can trust to deliver the speeds they claim! At least I got the price back down for 2 years as they tried jacking my shit from 50 to 85 or some bull shit which why I left!
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Yeah I'm a TMobile loyalist, been with them since '99 when they were Voicestream!

No chance I trade in Cox for my cable and Internet though, best $200/month spent when you work at home
 
Edward Cabrera ov 6.5 k’s woulda been my 1st bet but gotta be concerned he left last game w the blister issue. I’m not real well versed in those but seems odd he going back out on normal rest and the issue just gone? Could be but I just don’t know, last thing I want him to have 4k’s after 2 innings then he leaves in 3rd, or he just doesn’t have the feel from the start, wouidnt think he be going out there if that the case tho.
 
I played Philly, small price for wheeler. I like snakes and Philly right now, just came down to i expect wheeler to out pitch davies.
 
Inspekdah said:
That motherfucker owes us. Ha not really I just tend to bet bases and tail out plays the days Kirby is on the bump.
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If he can’t go 6 innings vs fish after the Miller kid did it yesterday we will have to have a real talk bout him going forward. I think he will get back on track tho. He had 8 in a row going 6+ until pirates blew him up, was great again vs yanks, gets blown up in San Diego (pads are starting to hit better it appears). There no reason he shouldn’t pitch 6+ tonight, fish not that tough a Ineup to navigate.
 
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He has 33 k’s and 2 walks at home this year. 110 to 12 in 19 starts at seattle. He should be fine. He has bounced back strong off both his previous bad outings, good matchup, he will get it done.
 
I played Ff un3.5 and game under 7.5 in minny. Didn’t really wanna play the jacked up k totals on either pitcher but fully expect a pitching duel.
 
Played reds team total over with kc trotting out another suspect starter and apparently a pretty bad pen.

Guardians ml just felt like a must play, you can get the +1.5 for pretty cheap also, I played the ml straight and put the rl in a parlay.
 
I was really close to playing dodgers Ff tt over or Lynn over 2.5 earned runs but was too much juice for the Lynn over. Still like lad Ff total, I’d think they knock Lynn around but dodgers stadium at night could work for him so ended up passing.
 
Think I just woke up for the fourth time today and have no clue what I'm gambling on

Golden Knights?
 
2daBank said:
I like musgrove but it appears guardians have found another solid starter in Bibee. Both teams playing good ball in June, both offenses have picked it up. Obviously pads lineup has more upside than cle but at the moment they both playing about the same level imo. Matter of fact these 2 teams have the 2 highest team ops over the past week+ With guardians slightly higher than pads! Just not sure why they hanging a -155 on pads here? Guardians have the highest batting average in baseball the past 15 days. Musgrive obviously has the track record but I’d say right now Bibee is right with him. Getting +140 on Cleveland seems like a really solid play to me as I think this game pretty close to a coin flip, before the props the key to my baseball success was making plays like this where we get +140 on a coin flip type of game!
Click to expand...

don't blame you for that reasoning, but i prefer 1H under in case Bibee doesn't have as much length vs a tough lineup then the CLE pen has not been great like usual

Musgrove has been awesome lately, too
 
Ryno14 said:
I’m there for work for a few days starting this afternoon….dumb no sports betting states
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Where you staying at? Just gotta get across the river. Dunno what your schedule like but I could maybe take you to Illinios casino one day?
 
2daBank said:
Where you staying at? Just gotta get across the river. Dunno what your schedule like but I could maybe take you to Illinios casino one day?
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I’m staying at Marriott Grand. Isn’t the DK casino just a couple miles away?
 
2daBank said:
Probably not even a mile. Just go straight down Washington and over the Eads bridge and you there!
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Still would be happy to meet up one day. With my role change, at this event, I have zero responsibilities besides schmoozing at a dinner tonight and tomorrow. May even fly back out Friday if I end up getting tickets to Omaha.
 
Ryno14 said:
Still would be happy to meet up one day. With my role change, at this event, I have zero responsibilities besides schmoozing at a dinner tonight and tomorrow. May even fly back out Friday if I end up getting tickets to Omaha.
Click to expand...

I could do something during day 2marro. You can im me if you want
 
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