Tuesday Discussion Thread

VirginiaCavs

VirginiaCavs

CTG Super Moderator
Staff member
Sep 20 Tue 2022

05:40 PM
915Houston AstrosC. Javier -R+1½
-190		+122O 6½
-115
916Tampa Bay RaysS. McClanahan -L+1 Markets-1½
+165		-132U 6½
-105
05:40 PM
927Boston Red SoxB. Bello -R-1½
+145		-109O 8½
-110
928Cincinnati RedsN. Lodolo -L+1 Markets+1½
-165		-101U 8½
-110
05:45 PM
903Chicago CubsA. Sampson -R+1½
-175		+136O 7
-107
904Miami MarlinsP. Lopez -R+1 Markets-1½
+155		-147U 7
-113
05:45 PM
929Toronto Blue JaysR. Stripling -R-1½
+140		-115O 8½
-115
930Philadelphia PhilliesK. Gibson -R+1 Markets+1½
-160		+105U 8½
-105
06:05 PM
917Detroit TigersJ. Wentz -L+1½
-120		+184O 8
-120
918Baltimore OriolesA. Voth -R+1 Markets-1½
+100		-200U 8
+100
06:20 PM
905Washington NationalsP. Corbin -L+1½
+135		+270O 8½
-115
906Atlanta BravesC. Morton -R+1 Markets-1½
-155		-305U 8½
-105
07:05 PM
919Los Angeles AngelsM. Mayers -R-1½
+145		-110O 8½
-125
920Texas RangersC. Ragans -L+1 Markets+1½
-165		+100U 8½
+105
07:10 PM
921Minnesota TwinsD. Bundy -R-1½
+130		-124O 8½
-120
922Kansas City RoyalsZ. Greinke -R+1 Markets+1½
-150		+114U 8½
+100
08:40 PM
911St. Louis CardinalsA. Wainwright -R+1½
-205		+100O 7½
-110
912San Diego PadresM. Clevinger -R+1 Markets-1½
+175		-110U 7½
-110
08:40 PM
925Seattle MarinersL. Castillo -R-1½
-120		-202O 7
-105
926Oakland AthleticsJ. Sears -L+1 Markets+1½
+100		+185U 7
-115
 
Rays seem cheap after Astros clinched yesterday...how long does Javier go? Do they start giving guys days off and getting the pieces in place for October?
Are they hungover from drinking Cuban rum and banging on garbage can lids long into the Florida night?

No Indians/ChiSox line? Southsiders have to have this series for an outside shot at the playoffs...I'll be fading that inflation in the line and taking a price for Cleveland to put them outta their misery.
 
Braves TT Over 5.5 +105 ..the crowd in Truist have a hate on for those DC douches and Corbin's batting practice velo doesn't instill much fear.
 
Liked a lot of k props today.

Carrasco ov 4.5
Cortes ov 5.5

McClanahan ov 4.5
Bello ov 4.5
Grove ov 3.5

Top 2 are my favs, biggest concern w grove is he just pitched vs zona, my thing is he pitched well against them in their park so feel like he prob be solid today in la. Still I hate guys on the b2b facing same team thing, 3.5 was tough to pass tho, especially w a DH I’d assume dodgers prefer he gives them some innings.
 
chipnotized said:
Rays seem cheap after Astros clinched yesterday...how long does Javier go? Do they start giving guys days off and getting the pieces in place for October?
Are they hungover from drinking Cuban rum and banging on garbage can lids long into the Florida night?

No Indians/ChiSox line? Southsiders have to have this series for an outside shot at the playoffs...I'll be fading that inflation in the line and taking a price for Cleveland to put them outta their misery.
Click to expand...

I prefer McClanahan k prop, I can’t imagine Stros celebrated something that been a foregone conclusion and far from their ultimate goal all that much. I wouldn’t think they will start messing w their pitchers, I’d think business as usual? I doubt they get pushed on high pitch counts but don’t see them yanking them early. Im sure they give guys a day off here and there but with the new playoffs having a bye I wouldn’t think they want guys sitting a lot unless they banged up.
 
chipnotized said:
Rays seem cheap after Astros clinched yesterday...how long does Javier go? Do they start giving guys days off and getting the pieces in place for October?
Are they hungover from drinking Cuban rum and banging on garbage can lids long into the Florida night?

No Indians/ChiSox line? Southsiders have to have this series for an outside shot at the playoffs...I'll be fading that inflation in the line and taking a price for Cleveland to put them outta their misery.
Click to expand...

Chisox been inflated all year for most part, I agree w you but I’m actually scared to fade them today as they been hitting this month and winning series. Over kinda makes sense to me in gm1, tribe should be able to make cease pay for walks, Civale fresh off dl. 3-3 would get a push at minimum, doesn’t seem crazy to me they get at least that.
 
2daBank said:
I prefer McClanahan k prop, I can’t imagine Stros celebrated something that been a foregone conclusion and far from their ultimate goal all that much. I wouldn’t think they will start messing w their pitchers, I’d think business as usual? I doubt they get pushed on high pitch counts but don’t see them yanking them early. Im sure they give guys a day off here and there but with the new playoffs having a bye I wouldn’t think they want guys sitting a lot unless they banged up.
Click to expand...
I was shocked to see him at 4.5. Sketches me out a bit. Perhaps he’s on a pitch count in his 2nd start back?
 
Ryno14 said:
I was shocked to see him at 4.5. Sketches me out a bit. Perhaps he’s on a pitch count in his 2nd start back?
Click to expand...

I assume that why it there, he threw around 70 pitches 1st start back so I’d think he in line to get around 90ish. Stros lineup so good there certainly some risk they get him out by 4th but I don’t think they have ever faced him and while I doubt they party hard after clinching their spot i could def see them being a little flat in this one. I dunno, his stuff too damn good not to play him at this number against anyone imo. Think he has only had 3 starts all year he didn’t fan At least 5!
 
2daBank said:
Liked a lot of k props today.

Carrasco ov 4.5
Cortes ov 5.5

McClanahan ov 4.5
Bello ov 4.5
Grove ov 3.5

Top 2 are my favs, biggest concern w grove is he just pitched vs zona, my thing is he pitched well against them in their park so feel like he prob be solid today in la. Still I hate guys on the b2b facing same team thing, 3.5 was tough to pass tho, especially w a DH I’d assume dodgers prefer he gives them some innings.
Click to expand...
Any chance you can share the juice you played these at?
 
1 down, 4 guys to go. When I did this card I really felt like this might be one those lovely sweep the board days I havnt had for week or 2! Def the most inviting group of k numbers in a minute. Grove was certainly easy, we see how the rest go,
 
2daBank said:
1 down, 4 guys to go. When I did this card I really felt like this might be one those lovely sweep the board days I havnt had for week or 2! Def the most inviting group of k numbers in a minute. Grove was certainly easy, we see how the rest go,
Click to expand...
Wish I had got him. He was -185 on DK when I looked before first pitch and didn’t love that he just pitched against them so I stayed away
 
Ryno14 said:
Wish I had got him. He was -185 on DK when I looked before first pitch and didn’t love that he just pitched against them so I stayed away
Click to expand...

Damn, he opened -115, I got him -130. Looks like a bunch went way up today tho.
 
I see Bello and McClanahan went up full numbers. Carrasco only 1 the juice ain’t moved much, kinda odd to me cause 4.5 for him vs brewers strikeout prone asses is def short.
 
Pitching Match-Up Favors Cubs, Though Current Record VS Miami And @ Miami Not So Good. Cubs +147

Like Pitching Match-Up Toronto. Blue Jays are 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Philadelphia. Tor -113

Tigers are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings. Very Respectable Last 3 Starts For Wentz +165
 
2daBank said:
I dunno. He awesome so might hit, im just picky about needing 7 or more, prefer to only play those against teams w more swing and miss than tampa has in their lineup right now.
Click to expand...
I Hear Ya. Was Just Noticing...

Tampa Bay Has 7th-Highest K Rate vs. Right Handers This Season.

All YOUR Fault. I'm Looking At Player/Pitcher Props All The Time Now!
 
Vap'sBack said:
I Hear Ya. Was Just Noticing...

Tampa Bay Has 7th-Highest K Rate vs. Right Handers This Season.

All YOUR Fault. I'm Looking At Player/Pitcher Props All The Time Now!
Click to expand...

I pay more attention to recent form, last week/month mostly. And individuals in lineup, rays playing lot of good contact guys lately. I think I only saw 2-3 guys w high wiff rates today. Certainly not saying he won’t cash, I just had bigger gap between my number and listed on the ones I played.
 
Be careful looking at full season team numbers this month, just cause lot of teams not fielding the same lineup they were in 1st half the season .
 
I really wanted to play Castillo ov 6.5 but some assholes hit him before I got to casino and pushed him to 7.5
 
Vap'sBack said:
Pitching Match-Up Favors Cubs, Though Current Record VS Miami And @ Miami Not So Good. Cubs +147

Like Pitching Match-Up Toronto. Blue Jays are 13-4 in the last 17 meetings in Philadelphia. Tor -113

Tigers are 8-0 in the last 8 meetings. Very Respectable Last 3 Starts For Wentz +165
Click to expand...

I liked the over in Philly (cle/cws also). I had enough pitcher props decided to just play those. Can’t argue w either those dogs.
 
Ryno14 said:
Man I loathe baseball overs. This Dodgers game had absolutely zero business staying under 9.
Click to expand...

Lol, same here. I’ve grown to like the Ff tt overs at times but full game mlb overs are not anywhere close to my strong suite. All I know for sure is anytime I love a obvious one it almost always stays under!
 
Ryno14 said:
Man I loathe baseball overs. This Dodgers game had absolutely zero business staying under 9.
Click to expand...
This Post Was Brought To You By...

"Don't Count Your Chickens Before They Hatch"

Or

"It's Not Over Till Don Meredith Sings 'Turn Out The Lights The Parties Over'."
 
Books really don’t think McC is gonna be sharp tonight. Hanging a 3.5 -130 after no Ks in the first
 
Jm8122 said:
Does Castillo lose in Oakland tonight? He lost the last meeting last month giving up runs early
Click to expand...
As a long time A's fan, this team is maddening. Sometimes they'll strike out 10 times and get a couple hits, no runs... the next time they score 11...
 
Jm8122 said:
Does Castillo lose in Oakland tonight? He lost the last meeting last month giving up runs early
Click to expand...
I am in no way trying to talk you out of taking the A's. I just checked cuz I had a feeling and yes, Seattle's recent record against Oakland is pretty damn good.
 
Vap'sBack said:
As a long time A's fan, this team is maddening. Sometimes they'll strike out 10 times and get a couple hits, no runs... the next time they score 11...
Click to expand...

I think they fan 10+ tonight but missed the good number on Castillo so I didht mess w it.
 
Ryno14 said:
Books really don’t think McC is gonna be sharp tonight. Hanging a 3.5 -130 after no Ks in the first
Click to expand...

I knew I was fucjed the minute he walked fucjing Maldonado, how you walk that scrub? Think he fanned side in 4th just to rub my nose in it, maybe I’ll get lucky and he will punch 2 in 5th?
 
Then gets taken out of the game. Not surprising, that last pitch before they came and took him out, you could tell he had nothing left
 
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