Tuesday Discussion/Thoughts

BetCrimes1984 · Sep 18, 2007

Monday's version of this thread wasn't made because of comp difficulties at my end.

<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=wht-title bgColor=#16177c><TD colSpan=3>Game</TD><TD noWrap>Run Line</TD><TD noWrap>Money Line</TD><TD noWrap>Total Runs</TD><TD>More </TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>901</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>New York Mets
J. Maine
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +106</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-154 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9 +110 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>04:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>902</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Washington Nationals
J. Hanrahan
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -116 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+146 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9 -120 </TD><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>903</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Florida Marlins
C Seddon
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -153 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+132 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 10.5 -121 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>04:35 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>904</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Atlanta Braves
JJ. Reyes
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +143 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-140 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 10.5 +111 </TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>905</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Cincinnati Reds
A. Harang
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap></TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+132 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap><TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>05:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>906</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Chicago Cubs
C. Zambrano
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap></TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-140 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap></TD><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>907</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Milwaukee Brewers
B. Sheets
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 -102 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-160 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9.5 +106 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>05:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>908</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Houston Astros
F. Paulino
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -108 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+152 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9.5 -116 </TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>911</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>G2 Los Angeles Dodgers
D. Wells
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -181 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+101 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 11 -112 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>05:35 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>912</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>G2 Colorado Rockies
M. Redman
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +171 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-109 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 11 +102 </TD><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>913</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>San Francisco Giants
J Sanchez
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -150 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+141 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9 -107 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>06:40 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>914</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Arizona D-Backs
M. Owings
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +140 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-149 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9 -103 </TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>915</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Pittsburgh Pirates
T. Gorzelanny
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -170 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+137 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 7.5 +107 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>07:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>916</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>San Diego Padres
G. Maddux
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +160 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-145 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 7.5 -117 </TD><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>917</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Boston Red Sox
J. Lester
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -179 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+107 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9.5 +105 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>04:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>918</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Toronto Blue Jays
A.J. Burnett
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +169 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-115 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9.5 -115 </TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>919</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Baltimore Orioles
J. Leicester
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 +107 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+224 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 10.5 -126 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>04:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>920</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>New York Yankees
M. Mussina
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 -117 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-242 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 10.5 +116 </TD><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>921</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Detroit Tigers
J. Verlander
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +138 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-115 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9 +107 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>04:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>922</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Cleveland Indians
J. Westbrook
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -148 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+107 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9 -117 </TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>923</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Chicago White Sox
G. Floyd
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -156 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+132 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9 -110 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>05:10 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>924</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Kansas City Royals
G. Meche
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +146 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-140 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9 +100 </TD><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>925</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Texas Rangers
K. Millwood
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -174 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+116 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9 -103 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>05:10 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>926</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Minnesota Twins
C. Silva
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +164 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-124 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9 -107 </TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>927</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Seattle Mariners
JEF. Weaver
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -160 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+127 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9.5 -116 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>07:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>928</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Oakland Athletics
C. Gaudin
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +150 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-135 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9.5 +106 </TD><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>929</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tampa Bay Devil Rays
J. Hammel
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 +109 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+232 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9 -116 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>07:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>930</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>LAA Angels
J. Lackey
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 -119 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-252 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9 +106 </TD><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Tue 9/18</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>931</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>G1 Los Angeles Dodgers
C. Billingsley
</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+1.5 -182 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>+107 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>OVER 9.5 +115 <TD vAlign=center align=middle rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>12:05 PM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>932</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>G1 Colorado Rockies
J. Francis
<TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-1.5 +172 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>-115 </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>UNDER 9.5 -125 </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

<TABLE borderColor=#cccccc cellSpacing=1 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb colSpan=3>American League </TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Time</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Game</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Starters</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>7:05 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Detroit at Cleveland
Home Plate Umpire: Emmel, Paul
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>J Verlander
J Westbrook
Bullpen Availability
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>7:05 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Baltimore at NY Yankees
Home Plate Umpire: Cooper, Eric
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>

J Leicester
M Mussina
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>7:07 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Boston at Toronto
Home Plate Umpire: Rapuano, Ed
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
J Lester
AJ Burnett
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>8:10 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Texas at Minnesota
Home Plate Umpire: Nelson, Jeff
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
K Millwood
C Silva
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>8:10 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Chi. White Sox at Kansas City
Home Plate Umpire: Guccione, Chris
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
G Floyd
G Meche
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>10:05 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Seattle at Oakland
Home Plate Umpire: Wendelstedt, Hunter
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
J Weaver
C Gaudin
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>10:05 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Tampa Bay at LA Angels
Home Plate Umpire: Wegner, Mark
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
J Hammel
J Lackey
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb colSpan=3>National League </TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Time</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Game</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans bgColor=#ffdccb>Starters</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>3:05 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>LA Dodgers at Colorado Game 1
Home Plate Umpire: N/A
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>C Billingsley
J Francis
Bullpen Availability
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>7:05 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>NY Mets at Washington
Home Plate Umpire: Vanover, Larry
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>

J Maine
J Hanrahan
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>7:35 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Florida at Atlanta
Home Plate Umpire: Dowdy, Adam
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
C Seddon
J Reyes
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>8:05 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Cincinnati at Chi. Cubs
Home Plate Umpire: Timmons, Tim
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
A Harang
C Zambrano
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>8:05 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Milwaukee at Houston
Home Plate Umpire: Tschida, Tim
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
B Sheets
F Paulino
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>8:10 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Philadelphia at St. Louis
Home Plate Umpire: Hudson, Marvin
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
C Hamels
Undecided
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>8:35 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>LA Dodgers at Colorado Game 2
Home Plate Umpire: N/A
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
D Wells
M Redman
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>9:40 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>San Francisco at Arizona
Home Plate Umpire: Cousins, Derryl
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
J Sanchez
M Owings
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=small-copy-sans>10:05 PM ET </TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>Pittsburgh at San Diego
Home Plate Umpire: Eddings, Doug
</TD><TD class=small-copy-sans>
T Gorzelanny
G Maddux
Bullpen Availability

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Marcus000 · Sep 18, 2007

first thoughts just looking at the odds and no capping done whatsoever right now.

mets look ilke crap right now hard to back them. decent matchup with harang and baby bull, tho cubs with a lot of momentum and i can see baby bull putting forth a huge effort, but i do believe the reds is one of the teams zambrano has struggled with many times. as much as i'd hate to say it, i gotta favor sheets. thats pretty much it lol rest of the contending teams games I'd have to cap to even get an opinion on. But sucks that first look the only one that truely stands out to me is the stupid ass Brewers.

phoso1 · Sep 18, 2007

the,almost scare the shit out of me last nite, Indians stand out ..had them on a 3 team parlay...i think they will roll again...dont play them 1st half like i did...detroit 1st half ...indians 2nd half...copy last nite...like the under 9

lad/rockies.game1..this line threw me off...y the fack rockies if favor?? i'm not a pro capper but this line is weird..not saying lad is the better play...under 1st 5..if the line is 4.5...then u know watz up...if they are smart they will set it at 5-15 to throw ppl off...

Holly Sheets, check out this trend...
Brewers
* Under is 7-3 in MIL last 10 Tue. games.
* MIL are 11-5 in their last 16 games on Grass.
* MIL are 11-5 in their last 16 overall.
Houston:
* Under is 10-2 in HOU last 12 home games.
* Under is 7-2 in HOU last 9 overall.
* Under is 7-2 in HOU last 9 on Grass.
Head to Head:
* MIL are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings.
* Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings in Houston. last nite was under 6-0....

give me 3G on the over brewers/astro plz, thank you !!!

a's/seattle...over 9.5...Gaudin, this foo remind me of my goat !!!

This is really special and fun ,if you dare to play it...Balt 1st half ml....u see it here first remember.

Thats all folk...i dont know much about baseball. These game just stand out for me....

Kmacc · Sep 18, 2007

Well seems like a few obvious choices for me tomorrow and not really gonna overthink em too much today just bet with my gut.

Detroit -115 Verlander has been fabulous since changing something in his mechanics after getting lit up last time against the Tribe. They need this one badly w/ CC goin on Wed.

Toronto -115 Burnett's been lights out and banged up Sox w/ Jays against a lefty.

Minnesota -124 Tough loss last night and I like Silva w/ the sinker and never a bad idea to fade Milwood at this price.

Reds +130 Harrang as a dog is an auto play in my book

Will also be on the Phillies when a line comes out on that game

phoso1 · Sep 18, 2007

Kmacc said:
Well seems like a few obvious choices for me tomorrow and not really gonna overthink em too much today just bet with my gut.

Detroit -115 Verlander has been fabulous since changing something in his mechanics after getting lit up last time against the Tribe. They need this one badly w/ CC goin on Wed.

Toronto -115 Burnett's been lights out and banged up Sox w/ Jays against a lefty.

Minnesota -124 Tough loss last night and I like Silva w/ the sinker and never a bad idea to fade Milwood at this price.

Reds +130 Harrang as a dog is an auto play in my book

Will also be on the Phillies when a line comes out on that game

Minnesota won last nite....I had a tough loss,Texas...so trust me!!! I like Min as well ...gl

BetCrimes1984 · Sep 18, 2007

----------------------------------------------------------------------
AMERICAN LEAGUE - all stats based on opening lines
----------------------------------------------------------------------

8 of Oakland's last 11 home wins have been by 1-2 run margins.

Oakland is O/U 8-1-1 at an average of 12.00 runs their last 10 games.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Seattle is O/U 14-6 at an average of 10.90 runs their last 20 games.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Toronto is U/O 12-7 at an average of 7.58 runs their last 19 home games.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Boston is U/O 6-2 at an average of 8.12 runs their last 8 instances of playing a road game off a loss.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

17 of the Yankees last 20 home wins have been by 3+ run margins.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Baltimore is O/U 17-7-2 at an average of 13.19 runs their last 26 games.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

The Angels are 3-5 SU off their last 8 wins.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Kansas is 3-8 SU off their last 11 losses.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

The CWS are 3-9 SU off their last 12 instances of consecutive wins.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland is 12-5 SU off their last 17 wins.

Cleveland is 9-1 SU their last 10 Game 2s.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit is O/U 4-2 at an average of 10.16 runs in their 6 wins over Cleveland this season.

Detroit is 7-2 SU off their last 9 losses.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Minnesota is 7-3 SU off their last 10 wins.

Minnesota is 4-10 SU their last 14 home games.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Texas is 5-13 SU their last 18 road games vs teams not from Baltimore.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

----------------------------------------------------------------------
NATIONAL LEAGUE - all stats based on opening lines
----------------------------------------------------------------------

The Cubs are 5-9 SU off their last 14 wins.

The Cubs are 4-1 SU their last 5 Game 2s.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Cincinnati is 3-8 SU off their last 11 losses.

After starting the season U/O 7-1-1 vs the Cubs, Cincinnati is O/U 4-0 at an average of 15.00 runs in their last 4 games against them.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Saint Louis has seen the Favourite go 15-4 SU in their last 19 games.

Saint Louis is 1-11 SU their last 12 games.

Saint Louis is O/U 7-3-3 at an average of 11.69 runs their last 13 home games vs teams not from Chicago.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia is 3-7 SU in their last 10 Game 2s off a Game 1 win.

Philadelphia is 23-13 SU off a win since the AS break.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston is 16-14 SU in Under results vs 9-19 SU in Over results, since the AS break.

Houston is 7-10 SU their last 17 home games.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee is O/U 14-3-1 at an average of 11.55 runs following their last 18 Under results.

8 of Milwaukee's last 10 road wins have been by 3+ run margins.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

The Mets are U/O 6-5 at an average of 10.45 runs off conceding 10+ runs this season - 4 of the 5 Unders under by 1 run (lowest total, 7 runs).

The Mets are 2-7 SU off their last 9 losses.

The Mets are 7-1 in their last 8 series vs teams not from Philadelphia.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

San Diego is 9-2 SU the last 11 home games they opened as the Favs in.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

The Dodgers are 2-15 SU in the last 17 instances they were held to 4 runs or less.

The Dodgers last 9 wins have been by 3+ runs.

The Dodgers have gone 34 games without a road team winning one of their games by a 1-2 run margin (Home teams 10-0 SU in 1-2 run games during this period).

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Colorado is O/U 5-0 at an average of 13.20 runs off shutting a team out this season.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Arizona is is 9-1 SU in home Game 2s since the AS break.

Arizona is 5-2 SU off their last 7 losses.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

San Francisco is 2-7 SU their last 9 road games, after going 7-2 SU their 9 road games previous to that.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Atlanta is 2-7 SU in their last 9 game 2s.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

Florida is 0-21 SU when held to 3 runs or less since the AS break.

Florida is O/U 10-4-1 at an average of 11.66 runs in their last 15 road games.

----------------------------------------------------------------------

tuck321 · Sep 18, 2007

A couple of off topic remarks. The decision to take Greinke out of the pen has cost KC at least 4 games so far. Last night Rondolph played Sosa as a reliever when he had pitched on the 15th and 16th throwing 40 pitches and giving up 4 runs. He lasted 2/3rds of an inning, threw 25 pitches and gave up a run. In a low key, uninportant way possibly the stupidest decision by a manager I have seen since---keeping Jackson in in the fifth inning in Tampa with the score tied 6-6. Bottom line is bets have to be very careful right now as managers as well as players just seem lost contact. Playing first 5 if possible these days just to avoid this stuff.

xpression syst_m · Sep 18, 2007

Bet a ton of bets last night, but this card does not look very appetizing to me so far. Leaning toward a lot of the chalk and like tuck said above, you got to be careful at this stage with lots of teams just playing out the season which leads to a lot of experimental crap esp. in the late innings. Favorite play thus far is the under in Diego

Trueblue · Sep 18, 2007

Thoughts on that early game in LA? BC's trends point to the over, but Billingsley has been lights out and Francis has been fairly solid at home. That however brings the question, why is the total at 9.5? I know this is Coors Field, but these two pitchers are pretty much the team's aces... Slightly leaning toward the over due to this suspicion. I also like the Rockies as I don't trust the Dodger bats and Billingsley got smacked around last time he face Colorado at home...

Trueblue · Sep 18, 2007

Francis Day ERA is 2.68 going 6-0 out of 7 starts - 4.28 Home ERA

Billngsley Day ERA is 2.84 going 6-1 out of 5 starts - 2.61 Away ERA (lower then home)

Early Birds
Helton - .378 Day AVG
Holliday - .385 Day AVG - 2HR out of 9 ABs against Billingsley
Kemp - .390 Day AVG

phoso1 · Sep 18, 2007

I concur with your play....Colorado and the Over....perfect combo.

scourge · Sep 18, 2007

why can't I ever get one of those games where they score 11 runs in 1 inning. seriously, that never happens to me.

Marcus000 · Sep 18, 2007

I'm guessing the wind is supposed to be blowing out at Wrigley tonight at a decent rate for the total of the Cubs game to be at 11?

Tuesday Discussion/Thoughts

BetCrimes1984

CTG Big Brother

Marcus000

Fondy's bitch

phoso1

Guest

Kmacc

Air Raid Returns!

phoso1

Guest

BetCrimes1984

CTG Big Brother

tuck321

Not all those who wander are lost

xpression syst_m

a true american rags to rags story...

Trueblue

Pretty much a regular

Trueblue

Pretty much a regular

phoso1

Guest

scourge

Guest

Marcus000

Fondy's bitch

Similar threads