TOUR Championship

LeRinkRat

LeRinkRat

Pretty much a regular
@ East Lake Golf Club, Atlanta, Georgia

After BMW Championship ranking / last week / points / points behind leader
Bryson DeChambeau #1 / #1 / 5789
Justin Rose #2 / #3 / 4391 / 1398
Tony Finau #3 / #4 / 3479 / 2310
Dustin Johnson #4 / #2 / 3425 / 2364
Justin Thomas #5 / #5 / 3327 / 2462
Keegan Bradley #6 / #26 / 2979 / 2810
Brooks Koepka #7 / #6 / 2723 / 3066
Bubba Watson #8 / #7 / 2481 / 3308
Billy Horschel #9 / #15 / 2260 / 3529
Cameron Smith #10 / #8 / 2247 / 3542
Webb Simpson #11 / #11 / 2228 / 3561
Jason Day #12 / #10 / 2071 / 3718
Francesco Molinari #13 / #14 / 1992 / 3799
Phil Mickelson #14 / #9 / 1990 / 3799
Patrick Reed #15 / #13 / 1933 / 3856
Patrick Cantlay #16 / #12 / 1861 / 3928
Rory McIlroy #17 / #24 / 1813 / 3976
Xander Schauffele #18 / #41 / 1759 / 4030 << biggest move up after BMW
Tommy Fleetwood #19 / #20 / 1734 / 4055
Tiger Woods #20 / #25 / 1722 / 4067
Aaron Wise #21 / #18 / 1702 / 4087
Kevin Na #22 / #23 / 1629 / 4160
Rickie Fowler #23 / #26 / 1612 / 4177
Jon Rahm #24 / #19 / 1610 / 4179
Kyle Stanley #25 / #16 / 1564 / 4225
Paul Casey #26 / #17 / 1499 / 4290
Hideki Matsuyama #27 / #28 / 1491 / 4298
Gary Woodland #28 / #30 /1448 / 4341
Marc Leishman #29 / #22 / 1444 / 4345
Patton Kizzire #30 / #21 / 1432 / 4357
<<< "aced out" >>>
Jordan Spieth #31 / #27 1323 points. his [-3] T-55th = 23 points. needed T-19th for 172 to make it in
Emiliano Grillo #32 / #29 1270 points. his [-1] T-61st = 18 points. needed T-19th for 172 to make it in
CT Pan #35 / #33 1238 points. his [-7] T-38th = 68 points. needed T-8th for 310 to make it in

will post "to win" odds and match plays when available :shake:
 
"to win" odds are out @ Westgate and William-Hill. I forgot the PGA takes a week off after the BMW Championship best odds

Justin Rose 8-1 / 7-1
Dustin Johnson 8-1 / 8-1
Rory McIlroy 9-1 / 17-2
Justin Thomas 10-1 / 10-1
Brooks Koepka 12-1 / 12-1
Tiger Woods 14-1 / 14-1
Rickie Fowler 14-1 / 15-1
Tony Finau 16-1 / 18-1
Bryson DeChambeau 18-1 / 18-1
Hideki Matsuyama 20-1 / 20-1
Jason Day 20-1 / 20-1
Jon Rahm 20-1 / 22-1
Francesco Molinari 20-1 / 22-1
Tommy Fleetwood 20-1 / 15-1
Webb Simpson 25-1 / 25-1
Billy Horschel 25-1 / 28-1
Xander Schauffele 30-1 / 30-1
Patrick Cantlay 30-1 / 35-1
Patrick Reed 40-1 / 40-1
Paul Casey 40-1 / 40-1
Mark Leishman 40-1 / 50-1
Bubba Watson 40-1 / 40-1
Phil MIckelson 50-1 / 50-1
Gary Woodland 50-1 / 50-1
Keegan Bradley 50-1 / 50-1
Kyle Stanley 50-1 / 50-1
Cameron Smith 50-1 / 50-1
Aaron Wise 50-1 / 60-1
Kevin Na 60-1 / 75-1
Patton Kizzire 250-1 / 250-1
 
tourney match plays are up @ Westgate and William-Hill :)

Westgate:
Justin Rose -120 vs Rory McIlroy even
Justin Thomas +110 vs Dustin Johnson -130
Tony Finau +120 vs Brooks Koepka -140
Tiger Woods -110 vs Rickie Fowler -110
Jon Rahm -110 vs Jason Day -110
Tommy Fleetwood -110 vs Francesco Molinari -110
Xander Schauffele -120 vs Patrick Cantlay even
Marc Leishman even vs Patrick Reed -120
Bubba Watson -130 vs Phil Mickelson +110
Kyle Stanley +105 vs Gary Woodland -125

William-Hill:
Gary Woodland +110 vs Bubba Watson -130
Patrick Reed -125 vs Phil Mickelson +105
Xander Schauffele -130 vs Patrick Cantlay +110
Billy Horschel even vs Webb Simpson -120
Franceesco Molinari -120 vs Jon Rahm even
Jason Day +110 vs Hideki Matsuyama -130
Tony Finau -115 vs Bryson DeChambeau -105
Tommy Fleetwood +110 vs Rickie Fowler -130
Brooks Koepka -120 vs Tiger Woods even
Rory McIlroy -125 vs Justin Thomas +105
Justin Rose -120 vs Dustin Johnson even
Kevin Na even vs Aaron Wise -120
Keegan Bradley -130 vs Kyle Stanley +110
Marc Leishman -120 vs Cameron Smith even

South Point usually posts on Tuesday. my "leans" so far are first listed :shake:
 
Looking through some random stats this morning and came across this gem: Tiger is 540-for-540 from 3 feet on Tour this season. For context, he's 110-for-122 from 4 feet.
 
adjusted "to win" odds as of Wednesday September 19th
Westgate / William-Hill / South Point / Cantor Gaming best odds

Justin Rose 8-1 / 15-2 / 8-1 / 8-1
Dustin Johnson 9-1 / 8-1 / 9-1 / 7-1
Rory McIlroy 9-1 / 17-2 / 6-1 / 8-1
Justin Thomas 10-1 / 11-1 / 10-1 / 9-1
Brooks Koepka 12-1 / 12-1 / 12-1 / 8-1
Tiger Woods 12-1 / 12-1 / 8-1 / 6-1 (getting pounded down from 14-1 opening)
Rickie Fowler 14-1 / 17-1 / 14-1 / 18-1
Tony Finau 16-1 / 17-1 / 16-1 / 15-1
Bryson DeChambeau 20-1 / 17-1 / 20-1 / 7-1
Hideki Matsuyama 20-1 / 18-1 / 20-1 / 20-1
Jason Day 20-1 / 22-1 / 20-1 / 20-1
Jon Rahm 20-1 / 25-1 / 20-1 / 22-1
Francesco Molinari 20-1 / 25-1 / 20-1 / 22-1
Tommy Fleetwood 20-1 / 17-1 / 20-1 / 22-1
Webb Simpson 25-1 / 25-1 / 25-1 / 18-1
Billy Horschel 25-1 / 25-1 / 25-1 / 28-1
Xander Schauffele 30-1 / 25-1 / 30-1 / 40-1
Patrick Cantlay 30-1 / 35-1 / 30-1 / 45-1
Patrick Reed 40-1 / 40-1 / 40-1 / 35-1
Paul Casey 40-1 / 40-1 / 40-1 / 30-1
Mark Leishman 40-1 / 50-1 / 40-1 / 50-1
Bubba Watson 40-1 / 35-1 / 40-1 / 35-1
Phil MIckelson 50-1 / 45-1 / 50-1 / 40-1
Gary Woodland 50-1 / 50-1 / 50-1 / 45-1
Keegan Bradley 50-1 / 40-1 / 50-1 / 40-1
Kyle Stanley 50-1 / 50-1 / 50-1 / 60-1
Cameron Smith 50-1 / 50-1 / 50-1 / 50-1
Aaron Wise 50-1 / 60-1 / 50-1 / 75-1
Kevin Na 60-1 / 60-1 / 60-1 / 50-1 (opened 75-1 @ William-Hill)
Patton Kizzire 200-1 / 100-1 / 200-1 / 175-1

just five "to win" plays for me this week (bet/return)
Jon Rahm 25-1 (20/520)
Francesco Molinari 25-1 (20/520)
Xander Schauffele 40-1 (13/533) "squeeked in" then WON last year
Aaron Wise 75-1 (7/532)
Patton Kizzire 200-1 (5/1005) Hey!!! Ya Never Know!!!
screwed up NOT chancing Kevin Na early. think NO "value" @ 60-1

TOUR tourney match plays @ South Point
Bryson DeChambeau -130 vs Hideki Matsuyama +110
Tony Finau -135 vs Hideki Matsuyama +115
Jason Day -125 vs Hideki Matsuyama +105
Rickie Fowler -155 vs Hideki Matsuyama +135
Bryson DeChambeau +120 vs Rickie Fowler -140
Francescco Molinari +105 vs Rickie Fowler -125
Tony Finau +115 vs Rickie Fowler -135
Jason Day +115 vs Rickie Fowler -135
Justin Rose -145 vs Tiger Woods +125
Rory McIlroy -130 vs Tiger Woods +110
Tiger Woods +140 vs Dustin Johnson -160
Brooks Koepka -130 vs Tiger Woods +110
Justin Thomas -120 vs Tiger Woods even
Justin Rose -115 vs Rory McIlroy -105
Rory McIlroy -120 vs Brooks Koepka even
Rory McIlroy -115 vs Justin Thomas -105
Rory McIlroy +105 vs Dustin Johnson -125
Bryson DeChambeau even vs Francesco Molinari -120
Bryson DeChambeau even vs Jason Day -120
Bryson DeChambeau -105 vs Tony Finau -115
Justin Rose -140 vs Brooks Koepka +120
Brooks Koepka -105 vs Justin Thomas -115
Brooks Koepka +130 vs Dustin Johnson -150
Justin Rose -140 vs Justin Thomas +120
Justin Rose -110 vs Dustin Johnson -110
 
OK, in Andy's pod cast he mentioned DJ caught cheating on Paulina Gretzky the mother of his child and THAT can NOT be good for his concentration. Dustin tied 11th Northern, tied 7th Dell and tied 24th BMW. going to chance these tourney match plays. all three playing better than DJ right now anyhow (bet return)

Tiger Woods +140 over Dustin Johnson (36/86.40)
Rory McIlroy +105 over Dustin Johnson (50/102.50)
Brooks Koepka +130 over Dustin Johnson (40/92)
Justin Rose -110 over Dustin Johnson (55/105)

more plays that I usually make with one golfer BUT "special situation" :shake:
 
FUCK!!! Dustin Johnson birdies #15 & #17 and eagles #18 to climb back to an opening [-1] after going bogie - double on #7 & #8 :mad:

Tiger Woods +140 [-5] (co-leader with "Rickie Tickie")
Rory McIlroy +105 [-3]
Brooks Koepka +130 [-1]
Justin Rose -110 [-4]

LONG way to GO esp in a "NO CUT" tourney
 
adjusted "to win" odds after the 1st round Westgate / William Hill best odds
[1st round score]

Tiger Woods 4-1 / 5-1 [-5] T-1st
Rickie Fowler 6-1 / 6-1 [-5] T-1st
Justin Rose 9-2 / 5-1 [-4] T-3rd
Gary Woodland 20-1 / 20-1 [-4] T-3rd
Rory McIlroy 6-1 / 8-1 [-3] T-5th
Justin Thomas 8-1 / 8-1 [-3] T-5th
Tony Finau 14-1 / 15-1 [-3] T-5th
Paul Casey 40-1 / 40-1 [-2] T-8th
Jason Day 25-1 / 22-1 [-2] T-8th
Jon Rahm 25-1 / 22-1 [-2] T-8th
Xander Schauffele 25-1 / 25-1 [-2] T-8th
Tommy Fleetwood 30-1 / 25-1 [-1] T-12th
Dustin Johnson [-1] T-12th 14-1 / 12-1
Brooks Koepka 20-1 / 16-1 [-1] T-12th
Webb Simpson 40-1 / 25-1 [-1] T-12th
Kyle Stanley 80-1 / 75-1 [-1] T-12th
Francesco Molinari 50-1 / 50-1 [even] T-17th
Bubba Watson 60-1 / 60-1 [even] T-17th
Cameron Smith 150-1 / 125-1 [even] T-17th
Aaron Wise 150-1 / 125-1 [even] T-17th
Hideki Matsuyama 125-1 / 75-1 {+2] T-25th
Bryson DeChambeau 60-1 / 50-1 [+1] T-21st
Patrick Cantlay 125-1 / 125-1 [+1] T-21st
Billy Horschel 80-1 / 75-1 [+1] T-21st
Patton Kizzire 500-1 / 250-1 [+1] T-21st
Patrick Reed 150-1 / 125-1 [+2] T-25th
Kevin Na 250-1 / 250-1 [+2] T-25th
Marc Leishman 300-1 / 250-1 [+3] T-28th
Phil Mickelson 300-1 / 250-1 [+3] T-28th
Keegan Bradley 250-1 / 175-1 [+3] T-28th

in both his Northern Trust and Dell Tech FedEx WINS "Dr Strange Clubs" Bryson DeChambeau shot a very "pedestrian" 1st round of [-3] and [-1] THEN shot a 3rd round [-8]. worth a $10 for $610 "sprinkle" also that big bastard Dustin Johnson was headed for a 1st round WRECK BUT went birdie-birdie-par-eagle his last four to get [-1] SO threw $15 for $225 as a "half assed hedge" on his "bet against" tourney match plays. also think Billy Horschel 80-1 [+1] and even last weeks winner Keegan Bradley 250-1 [+3] worth a small shot too

LONG WAY to GO YET :confused:
 
in both his Northern Trust and Dell Tech FedEx WINS "Dr Strange Clubs" Bryson DeChambeau shot a very "pedestrian" 1st round of [-3] and [-1] THEN shot a 3rd round [-8]. worth a $10 for $610 "sprinkle"

well talk about "Wile E Coyote, Super Genius", freeking "Dr Strange Clubs" DeChambeau with a 2nd round [+5] for tourney [+6] AND "WTF ???" Brooks Koepka [+8] for [+7] bottom of the leader board ??? AND Phil Mickelson [+2] for [+5] American Ryder Cup captain Jim Furyk just pooped himself

Tiger Woods [-2] and Justin Rose [-3] tied for the lead @ [-7] two up on Rory McIlroy solo 3rd [-2] for [-5] then four tied @ [-4] including my big Basque Jon Rahm. he was cruising early on and was [-5] at the turn BUT shot the back side [+3] for a round of [-2]. I wonder IF "Rahmbo" had all his clubs in his bag at the end ??? also BOTH Billy Horschel AND Patrick Cantlay with [-5] recoveries from their open round [+1] to join Rahm and Justin Thomas

three of my four tourney match plays looking good with Woods, Rose and McIlroy the tourney leaders and Dustin Johnson an [even] for [-1]. obviously the Koepka bet a loser

I STILL think SOMEONE gonna shoot a "bomber" one of the last two rounds
 
Last edited:
adjusted "to win" odds after 2nd round Westgate / William-Hill best odds
[2nd round/tourney scores]
Justin Rose +225 / 5-2 [-3/-7] T-1st
Tiger Woods +275 / 3-1 [-2/-7] T-1st
Rory McIlroy 5-1 / 5-1 [-2/-5] solo 3rd
Justin Thomas 10-1 / 10-1 [-1/-4] T-4th
Jon Rahm 16-1 / 12-1 [-2/-4] T-4th
Billy Horschel 18-1 / 20-1 [-5/-4] T-4th
Patrick Cantlay 20-1 / 22-1 [-5/-4] T-4th
Rickie Fowler 20-1 / 20-1 [+2/-3] T-8th
Kyle Stanley 50-1 / 60-1 [-2/-3] T-8th
Tony Finau 40-1 / 40-1 [+1/-2] T-10th
Hideki Matsuyama 40-1 / 40-1 [-4/-2] T-10th
Tommy Fleetwood 40-1 / 40-1 [-1/-2] T-10th
Xander Schauffele 50-1 / 50-1 [even/-2] T-10th
Gary Woodland 80-1 / 75-1 [+2/-2] T-10th
Paul Casey 100-1 / 100-1 [+1/-1] T-15th
Dustin Johnson 30-1 / 35-1 [even/-1] T-15th
Webb Simpson 80-1 / 100-1 [even/-1] T-15th
Aaron Wise 150-1 / 125-1 [-1/-1] T-15th
Kevi Na 250-1 / 150-1 [-2/even] solo 19th
Jason Day 150-1 / 125-1 [+3/+1] solo 20th
Marc Leishman 500-1 / 250-1 [-1/+2]T-21st
Bubba Watson 250-1 / 250-1 [+2/+2] T-21st
Patton Kizzire 1000-1 / 750-1 [+1/+2] T-21st
Cameron Smith 500-1 / 750-1 [+3/+3] solo 24th
Francesco Molinari 500-1 / 750-1 [+5/+5] T-25th
Phil Mickelson 500-1 / 750-1 [+2/+5] T-25th
Bryson DeChambeau 500-1 / 750-1 [+5/+6] T-27th
Keegan Bradley 1000-1 / 750-1 [+3/+6] T-27th
Patrick Reed 500-1 / 750-1 [+4/+6] T-27th
Brooks Koepka 500-1 / 750-1 [+8/+7] solo 30th
 
Hokey Smoke!!! Tiger Woods with a 3rd round [-5] for tourney [-12] and a three shot lead going onto Sunday over Rory McIlroy [-4] and Justin Rose [-2] for [-9]
 
well FUCK BOTH of YOU Rory AND Rose!!! BLOW UP the FINAL ROUND and LOSE to that big bastard DJ ??? a SURE WINNER on THREE out of FOUR bets turns to SHIT!!! :golffrustrated:
 
I am SO DAMN GLAD the PGA Golf season is OVER!!! I am going to SAVE so DAMN much money. was absolutely my WORST betting sport THIS YEAR!!! just one "BAD BEAT" after another in tourney match plays :mad:
 
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