Totals after rest=0

[pressitup]

Teams that are on the road, after a win, on the back to back:

Overs hitting @ 83%. Three tonight.

SU:	9-11 (-0.50, 45.0%)	avg line: 131.7 / -156.9	on / against: +$97 / -$258	ROI: +4.5% / -8.2%
OU:	15-3-2 (1.05, 83.3%)	avg total: 6.2

Nov 05, 2019

Tuesday

2019

Bruins

Canadiens

away

-105

6.0

Nov 05, 2019

Tuesday

2019

Senators

Islanders

away

215

6.0

Nov 05, 2019

Tuesday

2019

Coyotes

Flames

away

142

5.5

 

[Teapot9]

Thank you

 

[Vapster]

Thanks press!

 

[pressitup]

2-1
At least posting didn't totally curse it.

 

[pressitup]

17-4-2 81%(results record, not mine)

Blues /Oilers O5.5

 

[pressitup]

OU:	18-4-2 (1.08, 81.8%)

Tonight :
Rangers/Hurricanes O6.5

Large number

 

[MoneyStacks]

OU:	18-4-2 (1.08, 81.8%)

Tonight :

Rangers/Hurricanes O6.5

Large number

How does this game qualify? Rangers were at home and Carolina didn’t play Wednesday (and are at home)?

 

[pressitup]

Rangers on the road after a win, back to back.

 

[MoneyStacks]

Ohhhh gotcha. Let’s get it!

 

[Zeke]

Good stuff Press. Does this trend have to be home & away or can it also be B2B road games?

 

[pressitup]

Previous venue does not matter.
It's a team /on the road/won the previous game/it's back to back.

The original research was the "dead legs" theory of teams on the B2B to be faded. That showed nothing worth talking about(47% or such), but I noticed the O/U percentages change positive as I tried different parameters.

If you add the fact that the previous game was an away win, the percentage is:

OU:	10-3-2 (1.10, 76.9%)

The large total on tonights game gives me pause, but totals of >=6.5 are 5-2-1, this season.
We aren't going to win them all, but I'm giving it a shot until we see a regression.

 

[Zeke]

Totals of 6.5 are a nightly occurrence these days. With the exception of playoffs I think we've all but seen the end of a 5 total.

 

[Teapot9]

Totals of 6.5 are a nightly occurrence these days. With the exception of playoffs I think we've all but seen the end of a 5 total.

Sucks doesn’t it?

 

[Teapot9]

Please keep posting these. I’d like to follow it as well.

 

[Vapster]

How did the 6.5 lines play out last night, (Thursday)
:shake:

 

[pressitup]

18-5-2

Flyers/Bruins today . Total is 6

Flyers have been in this situation already this year, losing 3-5. I'll take 8 goals again.

 

[Vapster]

See Ya At The Cashier Window press! GL

 

[Zeke]

On it, thanks Press.

 

[Pyppurs]

What's the record for straight B2B overs on 2nd game?

 

[pressitup]

18-6-2

Coyotes/Blues O5.5

Coyotes have met the criteria once this year on 11/5, with a 3-4 result.

Since it was an away win

OU:	10-4-2 (0.94, 71.4%)

THe under is juiced on the site I use. Early steam against us.

 

[pressitup]

What's the record for straight B2B overs on 2nd game?

OU:	47-37-5 (0.30, 56.0%)

 

[MoneyStacks]

I’d stay away from the over tonight. Binnington is 7-1-0 with 1.98 GAA & .933 SV% last 8 games.

 

[pressitup]

yep, just a tool to zero in on a game

Not making a wager is always even money

 

[pressitup]

18-7-2

Tonight is the Stars /Canucks

I will not play this game over, Stars are 9 of their last 10 to the under.
We may have missed the run. Three losses in a row.

 

[Teapot9]

18-7-2

Tonight is the Stars /Canucks

I will not play this game over, Stars are 9 of their last 10 to the under.
We may have missed the run. Three losses in a row.

Why wouldn’t you play the over exactly?
I think I’m missing something.

 

[pressitup]

I bet the local team more than any.
I have the stars ML tonight and bet the under in most of their games.
Not interested in the total tonight, but I put the info out there.

 

[pressitup]

19-7-2

How 'bout those Stars?

I laid off having the ml, but gives me hope if the Stars can hit an over.
Might bet Dallas under the next 9, blindly.

 

[pressitup]

19-7-2

Today:

Sabres/Sens
Devils/Canadians

 

[pressitup]

19-7-2

Today:

Sabres/Sens
Devils/Canadians

I had 6 on both games.
So, 1-0-1 for me.
I saw where covers had it listed as 6.5, so will be interesting how the database scores it.

 

[Teapot9]

Great stuff Press!

 

[pressitup]

20-8-2(according to closing line)

Today
Sabres/Blackhawks My local has 6.5
maybe we can get 7 out of Chicago again. Both teams played yesterday and won. Appears there have been three instances of this in 2019, going 3-0 to the over.
Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Oct 13, 2019	Sunday	2019	Penguins	Jets	away	1-1	3-1	3-0	7-2	100	6.5	5	W	O	0
Oct 13, 2019	Sunday	2019	Knights	Kings	away	2-1	2-0	1-1	5-2	-163	6.5	3	W	O	0
Nov 16, 2019	Saturday	2019	Devils	Canadiens	away	1-1	1-2	1-0	4-3	134	6.5	1	W	O	1
Nov 17, 2019	Sunday	2019	Sabres	Blackhawks	away					125	6.5

 

[Teapot9]

Let’s do it Press

 

[pressitup]

20-9-2

Senators /Canadians O6.5

 

[pressitup]

20-10-2

Looks like we missed the best part of this trend, but I will continue to track it.

Tonight:
Hurricanes/Red Wings O6.5
Oilers/Coyotes O5.5

Oilers/Coyotes both won, that extra parameter is 3-1 to the over.

 

[booksbestfriend]

20-10-2

Looks like we missed the best part of this trend, but I will continue to track it.

Tonight:
Hurricanes/Red Wings O6.5
Oilers/Coyotes O5.5

Oilers/Coyotes both won, that extra parameter is 3-1 to the over.

Vegas Flu for Oilers?

 

[pressitup]

Vegas Flu for Oilers?

yep

 

[Teapot9]

Toronto was the exception..... but going to AZ after Vegas seems to be disaster for teams...

 

[pressitup]

21-11-2
Got a split yesterday

Sabres/Lightning on deck

 

[Vitopuck]

:claphands: :shake:

 

[pressitup]

22-11-2

Picked up a win yesterday

Stars/Blackhawks on deck

My Stars are coming alive.

 

[Teapot9]

@pressitup

 

[pressitup]

22-12-2

Bruins /Sens tonight

Disappointed in the Stars, the Blackhawks did their part

 

[pressitup]

22-13-2

Regression in action. 7-10 since the original post. Not a fall of the ledge regression, but losing just the same.
I can't believe there are this many to go through. Pick and choose wisely and Good Luck.

Nov 30, 2019

Saturday

2019

Flyers

Canadiens

away

125

6.5

Nov 30, 2019

Saturday

2019

Sabres

Maple Leafs

away

195

6.5

Nov 30, 2019

Saturday

2019

Capitals

Red Wings

away

-220

6.5

Nov 30, 2019

Saturday

2019

Predators

Panthers

away

105

6.5

Nov 30, 2019

Saturday

2019

Blue Jackets

Islanders

away

130

5.5

Nov 30, 2019

Saturday

2019

Sharks

Coyotes

away

-105

5.5

Nov 30, 2019

Saturday

2019

Jets

Kings

away

-120

6.0

 

[pressitup]

So, I went back and looked at this over several seasons. The overall was to a slight under winning percentage. But the first month of each season was the best over performer. I think January was a good month also.
Anyway, I started playing the under(fade the original play) and hit two out of 4 straight unders. Then an over hit and there has been 5 straight. I didn't get on until the 3rd one. Trying to be selective.

Tonight the Stars are a play.

 

[gsro]

Good luck press, I’m assuming this is a Dallas under? I’ll be on Florida moneyline tonight.
Typically I don’t like totals on a back tk back for teams especially if they just played an over. Teams tend to be a little more puck controlling and defensive on a back to back unless they are just dog shit on defence lol