Tonight's Nickel Play..

I've been leaning OVER the entire week. Ball should be able to pass at will against the secondary and their defense doesn't have the front 7 to silent the Navy run.

I think this could turn into a shootout.
 
Playing this as well after leaning over at 60 initially .

What changed my mind ?

Okay we all know about the 1100 yds last year but it only produced 65 pts and that also took OT and Navy lost its solid QB and is using a backup . As well as having a new coach(1tst time coach ) in his 1st big game and 1st road game . Could be very conservative to start . He is quoted as saying he thought Bryant played well minus the 1 mistake a fumble. Also both teams despite having soft defenses are facing better defenses then they faced last week and with a chunk of returning players they are at least familiar with the opponent .

Navy backup QB at the helm<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
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For the second week in a row, Navy will be without starting QB Kaipo-Noa Kaheaku-Enhada. While backup Jarod Bryant is not as dynamic, he is considered a better passer and has gained significant experience subbing for the oft-injured starter in the past. <o:p></o:p>
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Bryant played the entire second half last season against <?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:smarttags" /><st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Ball</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">State</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> after Kaheaku-Enhada sprained both ankles in the first half. <o:p></o:p>
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The team runs a true triple-option with the explosive Kaheaku-Enhada, but Bryant is more of an inside runner who lacks the speed to get outside so that could be a concern. <o:p></o:p>
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Cards could be more special <o:p></o:p>
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With both teams explosive on offense and less distinguished on defense, special teams could make the difference. <o:p></o:p>
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While the Midshipmen return no specialists and look to be in transition in this area, <st1:place w:st="on"><st1:PlaceName w:st="on">Ball</st1:PlaceName> <st1:PlaceType w:st="on">State</st1:PlaceType></st1:place> should have the edge with All-MAC punter Chris Miller returning along with dangerous return man B.J. Hill.

I think having a good punter making Navy work with crappy starting field position could aslo be huge.

Looking at last year there were 3 big play TDS in that game as well...are they duplicated ?? ove 50yd TD pass , Navy QB 80 Yd run and kettani 71 yd run ...
The Ball State offense also elected to run the ball alot as well and could do so today......

Navy also was playing w/o 2 defensive starters .......

1st H und and game und ....:cheers:
 
I am aware Bryant played the 2nd H last year in this game but also think he didnt attempt a pass either...just kept it on the ground
 
Playing 2nd H under 31.5 as well...almost had that 1st half UND despite the early fireworks . Two busted plays late killed it.....
 
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