time to post my week 14 card so far - violins playing, women and children being placed in lifeboats

RetroVK

This claim is disputed
week 1 0-0
week 2 0-0
week 3 9-4
week 4 6-5-1
week 5 12-8
week 6 16-11
week 7 5-11
week 8 10-16
week 9 14-15
Week 10 13-19
week 11 19-27
week 12 22-9
week 13 11-18
Total 137-143-1

Obviously not doing well. My goal is to go out with a bang. Much like last year when I had a bet on every game a few weeks or more than just a few, I am going to at least try that this week. The unit is a little smaller than normal fwiw for obvious reasons (I am not bill gates). Also I made corresponding Bama/Auburn bets that I am not posting but will try and have a play for that game too.

Will definitely have a play in the Army/Navy game, and most of the Championship games and then the bowls. If it goes badly, I probably just play a few college football tournaments next year and don't bet anything. My ego doesn't want to have a losing year almost as much as my retirement doesn't.


Locked in

North Carolina -8 1-0
TCU -12 1-1
Nebraska +6 2-1

Army +3 2-2
Mississippi State -2.5 3-2
Missouri -12 3-3
Georgia Southern -7 -115 4-3
Michigan State -22 4-4
Kent State 5.5 5-4
Arkansas State -13 (I hope they lose) 5-5
UCF -24 6-5
Georgia -28 7-5
Texas State 7.5 8-5
NWestern 10 -118 9-5
Tulsa -5.5 10-5

Wake Forest -4 10-6
Rice -6.5 11-6
Maimi florida -9 11-7
Utah State -11 12-7
Notre Dame -16 (Top Ten team by power rating - how did that happen?) 13-7
Vanderbilt 22 14-7
iowa St -5 -115 14-8
Navy -8 15-8
Oklahoma -12.5 (I am an idiot) 16-8
BYU -3 16-9
UCLA -2.5 16-10
Ohio -28 Winner 17-10
Ohio/Akron over 53 Winner 18-10

Toledo/Cmich over 65 18-11
Miami Ohio/Ball St Under 56 18-12
VT/UVA Over 48 19-12
Missouri/Arkansas over 53.5 19-13
Boise St -13.5 (I Know this is wrong) 19-14
Kent State/Emu over 65 19-15
Ville/Uk over 53 20-15
Texas State/Coastal Carolina over 53 20-16
NW/Illinois under 44 21-16
FIU/Marshall under 49.5 21-17
TOSU/Michigan over 51.5 (sure hope this game is broadcast on one of the networks. Under the radar good game) 22-17
Clemson/Scarolina under 51.5 23-17
Cuse/Wake over 66.5 24-17
Wyoming/AFA under 43 25-17
Indiana/Purdue over 55.5 26-17
Tulsa/ECU over 61 27-17
Uconn/Temple over 49.5 28-17
Boston College 9.5 29-17
BC/Pitt over 51.5 29-18
UTSA/Latech under 55 29-19
USM/FAU over 54 29-20
Baylor -14 (haha kansas games) 30-20
Wisconsin/Minny under 48 30-21
Tulane Smu over 71.5 30-22
UAB -1 31-22
Oregon -19 31-23
Oregon/Oregon St over 68 31-24
Ndame/Stanford over 51.5 32-24
Ga Southern/Ga St over 58 32-25
TAMU/LSU over 61 (somehow) 32-26
ISU/Kst over 47 32-27
FSU/Florida under 53.5 32-28
Utah -28 (super tiny bet) 33-28
Zona/Zona St over 59.5 (super tiny bet) 33-29
Fresno/SJSU over 65 33-30
Cal/UCLA over 51.5 33-31
2h WMich/NIU Under 23.5 Winner 34-31

2h zona asu under 28 tiny bet 35-31
2h navy houston over 29.5 36-31
2h unc ncst under 27.5 36-32
2h vols -8.5 36-33
2h oregon st 7.5 37-33
2h mizz/ark under 23.5 38-33
2h cin/mem under 30 (sigh) 39-33
2h neb 0.5 40-33
2h iowa/neb over 20.5 40-34
2h Buffalo/BG under 24 41-34
2h TT/Texas under 35 42-34
2h Moh/Ball St under 28 43-34

week 1 0-0
week 2 0-0
week 3 9-4
week 4 6-5-1
week 5 12-8
week 6 16-11
week 7 5-11
week 8 10-16
week 9 14-15
Week 10 13-19
week 11 19-27
week 12 22-9
week 13 11-18
week 14 43-34
Total 180-177-1 minus roughly 15 units
 
Last edited:
Titanic Record goes Here

Obviously not doing well. My goal is to go out with a bang. Much like last year when I had a bet on every game a few weeks or more than just a few, I am going to at least try that this week. The unit is a little smaller than normal fwiw for obvious reasons (I am not bill gates). Also I made corresponding Bama/Auburn bets that I am not posting but will try and have a play for that game too.

Will definitely have a play in the Army/Navy game, and most of the Championship games and then the bowls. If it goes badly, I probably just play a few college football tournaments next year and don't bet anything. My ego doesn't want to have a losing year almost as much as my retirement doesn't.


Locked in

North Carolina -8
TCU -12
Nebraska +6

Army +3
Mississippi State -2.5
Missouri -12
Georgia Southern -7 -115
Michigan State -22
Kent State 5.5
Arkansas State -13 (I hope they lose)
UCF -24
Georgia -28
Texas State 7.5
NWestern 10 -118
Tulsa -5.5

Wake Forest -4
Rice -6.5
Maimi florida -9
Utah State -11
Notre Dame -16 (Top Ten team by power rating - how did that happen?)
Vanderbilt 22
iowa St -5 -115
Navy -8
Oklahoma -12.5 (I am an idiot)
BYU -3
UCLA -2.5
Ohio -28
Ohio/Akron over 53
Toledo/Cmich over 65
Miami Ohio/Ball St Under 56
VT/UVA Over 48
Missouri/Arkansas over 53.5
Boise St -13.5 (I Know this is wrong)
Kent State/Emu over 65
Ville/Uk over 53
Texas State/Coastal Carolina over 53
NW/Illinois under 44
FIU/Marshall under 49.5
TOSU/Michigan over 51.5 (sure hope this game is broadcast on one of the networks. Under the radar good game)
Clemson/Scarolina under 51.5
Cuse/Wake over 66.5
Wyoming/AFA under 43
Indiana/Purdue over 55.5
Tulsa/ECU over 61
Uconn/Temple over 49.5
Boston College 9.5
BC/Pitt over 51.5
UTSA/Latech under 55
USM/FAU over 54
Baylor -14 (haha kansas games)
Wisconsin/Minny under 48
Tulane Smu over 71.5
UAB -1
Oregon -19
Oregon/Oregon St over 68
Ndame/Stanford over 51.5
Ga Southern/Ga St over 58
TAMU/LSU over 61 (somehow)
ISU/Kst over 47
FSU/Florida under 53.5
Utah -28 (super tiny bet)
Zona/Zona St over 59.5 (super tiny bet)
Fresno/SJSU over 65
Cal/UCLA over 51.5






Second Half Looks will come from
Western Michigan/NIU
Texas Tech/Texas
Bowling Green/Buffalo
Alabama/Auburn (hopefully one of the stations covers this game and it is on tv)
MTSU/Wky
Charlotte/ODU
Liberty/NMSU

Waiting
Troy St - think it moves higher probably but App St really nothing to play for.

Fondy, is that you?
 
Nebraska, Mississippi State, TCU and North Carolina. I am VERY confident UNC wins but covering is another story so at current lines they make a great teaser option in my opinion as well.
 
North Carolina -8
TCU -12
Nebraska +6

Army +3
Mississippi State -2.5
Missouri -12
Georgia Southern -7 -115
Michigan State -22
Kent State 5.5
Arkansas State -13 (I hope they lose)
UCF -24
Georgia -28
Texas State 7.5
NWestern 10 -118
Tulsa -5.5

Wake Forest -4
Rice -6.5
Maimi florida -9
Utah State -11
Notre Dame -16 (Top Ten team by power rating - how did that happen?)
Vanderbilt 22
iowa St -5 -115
Navy -8
Oklahoma -12.5 (I am an idiot)
BYU -3
UCLA -2.5
Ohio -28
Ohio/Akron over 53
Toledo/Cmich over 65
Miami Ohio/Ball St Under 56
VT/UVA Over 48
Missouri/Arkansas over 53.5
Boise St -13.5 (I Know this is wrong)
Kent State/Emu over 65
Ville/Uk over 53
Texas State/Coastal Carolina over 53
NW/Illinois under 44
FIU/Marshall under 49.5
TOSU/Michigan over 51.5 (sure hope this game is broadcast on one of the networks. Under the radar good game)
Clemson/Scarolina under 51.5
Cuse/Wake over 66.5
Wyoming/AFA under 43
Indiana/Purdue over 55.5
Tulsa/ECU over 61
Uconn/Temple over 49.5
Boston College 9.5
BC/Pitt over 51.5
UTSA/Latech under 55
USM/FAU over 54
Baylor -14 (haha kansas games)
Wisconsin/Minny under 48
Tulane Smu over 71.5
UAB -1
Oregon -19
Oregon/Oregon St over 68
Ndame/Stanford over 51.5
Ga Southern/Ga St over 58
TAMU/LSU over 61 (somehow)
ISU/Kst over 47
FSU/Florida under 53.5
Utah -28 (super tiny bet)
Zona/Zona St over 59.5 (super tiny bet)
Fresno/SJSU over 65
Cal/UCLA over 51.5
 
Always appreciate your opinions. It's been one of those years.....don't sweat it. I see you have Tulsa in bold. I'd say they are probably a TD better than the Pirates but I just don't see any motivation this week and the Pirates are still trying. Thoughts?
 
Always appreciate your opinions. It's been one of those years.....don't sweat it. I see you have Tulsa in bold. I'd say they are probably a TD better than the Pirates but I just don't see any motivation this week and the Pirates are still trying. Thoughts?

Well, I felt ECU turned a corner a few weeks ago and started playing much better football. And I am done trying to predict when Tulsa will quit either. They outgained Houston by 150 or so in defeat last outing, and beat ucf the outing before and had nothing to play for on either occasion. I suppose there is the UCF brand name motivation and then senior day motivation vs houston. I don't see why they quit in their final game when they haven't quit all year. And this is major class relief for these guys ... Tulsa, per Sagarin played a top 15 tough schedule so far and when you look at it, it was just brutal. Just the much better defense imo. ECU appears to be trying too and it is senior day but why should I think they are any less apt to quit out of nowhere as Tulsa is? Tulsa will be better just about everywhere, particularly along the line of scrimmage imo. I sort of like Ahlers and co. as a fan but I think they get beat up here. Who knows though.
 
What do you see, know or hope for with Texas St?

Last time I backed Coastal I got crushed. Obviously just wrong time for me because surrounding the ULL game, CC has gone 4-1 ats. All as dogs yes but that includes beating Troy, 3 pt OT loss vs GaSo, 1 pt loss at ArkSt and 3 pt loss at ULM.

So, pretty competitive team and now Texas St is worse than all those by some margin.

There is this mental hurdle with laying a TD with them. And maybe that is where you are at, just playing the number

I took USA against Texas St, which TexSt barely won (missed USA FG at end). And the only other recent game they were close in was when a drained and tired ULM team came in on short week vs rested Bobcats.

It might appear in some ways these teams should be even and the upset or close game wouldn’t really surprise. But on the other hand I really don’t think they are equal and actually think offensively Chants are quite a bit better. That “close” AppSt game for Bobcats last week was a sham. Otherwise they don’t cover much.
 
Crap, I'm on OSU/Mich O51 and it's down to 48.5, shit weather coming in apparently. Try to hedge out or just hold my nose?
 
Nice start, and you got some nice numbers. Best of luck Kyle. I'm so horrendous at totals that I should take a position on a bunch just to let the board fade them.
 
2h neb 0.5
2h iowa/neb over 20.5
Gl . Hope iowa doesn’t get super conservative in 2h with 2 score lead . Happens often. FG kicker Duncan goin for National fg record so might see some of that late. Good story there
 
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