RetroVK
This claim is disputed
season record to date:
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 17-14 +0.62 units
dogs 21-17 +9.07units
overs 2-3-1 -1.00 units
unders 9-3-1 +5.58 units<!-- / message --><!-- sig --> __________________
big card today but i dont really like much ... but here is what i am looking at
marlins/pirates under 10 -110 ----- ummmm this is a really ponderous line to me .... why is this so high ??? Maholm takes the hill for the pirates at home. The current marlin roster bats just .224 off of him though they have hit a few dingers. In his one home start this year, Maholm went 5.1 innings , gave up 6 hits and 0 runs. Including this years start at home , Maholm has given up 3 er or less in 6 of his last 9 home starts. Most of those are 2 run affairs. The guy had a 1.25 WHIP at home last year. Pretty impressive. Maholm is also good at eating innings. As hot as the marlins offense has been lately, it has mostly been a result of facing righties ... they get a lefty here and they are batting just .206 to start the year vs southpaws. Nolasco will be Maholm's counterpart today and i kind of like this kid ...... but the pirates do not. The pirates bat just .182 off of him in 55 AB with just 1 extra base hit. yup just one. Nolasco doesnt mind pitching on the road either. last year in three road starts he pitched 14 innings , gave up 13 hits and just 4 earned runs. Not bad at all. He did struggle in his first away start this year at houston where he got hit early and often. But given the pirates history against him i atleast hope he can fool them to start the game. He rarely goes long innings which i dont like and the marlins bullpen isnt the greatest east of the mississippi so there is a bit of a concern there. Helping us out a little is that the pirates hit righties 30 points less than lefties to start this year at .235 avg. ......They hit lefties better last year as well by 23 points so i am thinking this is more of the same this year from this group. I have a slight lean to the pirates here but i am not betting this team until the losing streak ends ... but the pirates are the favorites ( rightly so in my mind) so more times than not the game should go 8.5 innings here. Wally Bell is the umpire and he is a pretty neutral guy in my book. Just dont understand the posted 10 total for this game. Which team is getting to 6-7 runs ?? no way. And thats why i have already bet this game under 10 runs. so you will see it in my official plays post
I have three strong leans for tomorrow that i have decided not to play, so barring some strange weather bet , the above under is all i will be on.
yankees and the wanger --- i like wang a lot more than a lot of people i suppose. Problem i have is i have always liked contreras in the underdog role because when he is on his game he is unhittable. Some back history with contreras and the yanks as well and i am unsure how that plays out here. a bit steep of a price for me on the road.
angels -- the price seems generous to me with a pitcher the quality of weaver on the hill. But the Bosox are finally in a rhythm after the wierd ass start to their year where they played two in japan and so on. They have 30 hits in their last 17 innings of play and i dont really want to step in front of that train right now.
cleveland --- haha i thought this was a great spot to play sabathia given the splits with he and meche but then i see him listed as a 25 cent road favorite. lol no way i can play that given what tubby has shown so far. too bad ... i liked the spot.
gl gang.
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 17-14 +0.62 units
dogs 21-17 +9.07units
overs 2-3-1 -1.00 units
unders 9-3-1 +5.58 units<!-- / message --><!-- sig --> __________________
big card today but i dont really like much ... but here is what i am looking at
marlins/pirates under 10 -110 ----- ummmm this is a really ponderous line to me .... why is this so high ??? Maholm takes the hill for the pirates at home. The current marlin roster bats just .224 off of him though they have hit a few dingers. In his one home start this year, Maholm went 5.1 innings , gave up 6 hits and 0 runs. Including this years start at home , Maholm has given up 3 er or less in 6 of his last 9 home starts. Most of those are 2 run affairs. The guy had a 1.25 WHIP at home last year. Pretty impressive. Maholm is also good at eating innings. As hot as the marlins offense has been lately, it has mostly been a result of facing righties ... they get a lefty here and they are batting just .206 to start the year vs southpaws. Nolasco will be Maholm's counterpart today and i kind of like this kid ...... but the pirates do not. The pirates bat just .182 off of him in 55 AB with just 1 extra base hit. yup just one. Nolasco doesnt mind pitching on the road either. last year in three road starts he pitched 14 innings , gave up 13 hits and just 4 earned runs. Not bad at all. He did struggle in his first away start this year at houston where he got hit early and often. But given the pirates history against him i atleast hope he can fool them to start the game. He rarely goes long innings which i dont like and the marlins bullpen isnt the greatest east of the mississippi so there is a bit of a concern there. Helping us out a little is that the pirates hit righties 30 points less than lefties to start this year at .235 avg. ......They hit lefties better last year as well by 23 points so i am thinking this is more of the same this year from this group. I have a slight lean to the pirates here but i am not betting this team until the losing streak ends ... but the pirates are the favorites ( rightly so in my mind) so more times than not the game should go 8.5 innings here. Wally Bell is the umpire and he is a pretty neutral guy in my book. Just dont understand the posted 10 total for this game. Which team is getting to 6-7 runs ?? no way. And thats why i have already bet this game under 10 runs. so you will see it in my official plays post
I have three strong leans for tomorrow that i have decided not to play, so barring some strange weather bet , the above under is all i will be on.
yankees and the wanger --- i like wang a lot more than a lot of people i suppose. Problem i have is i have always liked contreras in the underdog role because when he is on his game he is unhittable. Some back history with contreras and the yanks as well and i am unsure how that plays out here. a bit steep of a price for me on the road.
angels -- the price seems generous to me with a pitcher the quality of weaver on the hill. But the Bosox are finally in a rhythm after the wierd ass start to their year where they played two in japan and so on. They have 30 hits in their last 17 innings of play and i dont really want to step in front of that train right now.
cleveland --- haha i thought this was a great spot to play sabathia given the splits with he and meche but then i see him listed as a 25 cent road favorite. lol no way i can play that given what tubby has shown so far. too bad ... i liked the spot.
gl gang.
