RetroVK
This claim is disputed
season record to date:
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 1-0 +1.00
dogs 2-2 +0.42
overs 0-0
unders 1-0 +1.00
ok when i saw the lines that came out for tuesday there was one game that really caught my eye immediately. the dreaded sf giants. after creating my own line i found there was significant value with matt cain in this spot. in addition there are some considerable trends pointing to cain here as well.
cain simply pitches like a demon in california ... or when he doesnt have to travel far if you prefer.
here is matt cain's outtings in the state of california dating back to the start of june last year....
sep 25 home to san diego -------- 7 innings , 5 hits , 2 er
sep 20 home to the reds -----------6 innings , 7 hits , 2 er
sep 15 at san diego ------------------6 innings, 1 hit , 1 er
sep 9 home to dodgers ------------ 7 innings , 6 hits, 2 er
aug 28 home to colorado ----------- 7 innings , 4 hits , 1 er
aug 23 home to cubbies -------------7 innings , 8 hits , 1 er
aug 8 home to washington ----------6 innings , 3 hits , 0 er
aug 3 at san diego ---------------------7.1 innings , 5 hits , 2 er
july 28 home to florida ----------------7 innings 6 hits 3 er
july 23 home to bravos --------------- 4.1 innings 6 hits 4 er
july 13 home to dodgers ------------5 innings 7 hits 2 er
june 27 home to san diego ----------7.2 innings , 7 hits , 2 er
june 22 home to yankess ------------ 5 innings , 7 hits 5 er
june 10 home to oakland --------------8 innings , 5 hits , 1 er
i have bolded the away games and the dodger games for extra relevance. N ow granted a lot these games are at home but the consistency is astonishing. But there is some more good news ... the dodger hitting stats against cain are somewhat deceiving. sure the dodgers are hitting 29 of 89 off of cain but 21 of those hits were singles and only 8 were for extra bases .... they aren hitting him hard. he pitched 12 innings against the dodgers last year and only yielded 13 hits and 4 er.
in addition , he rates to be improving while lowe rates not to , season over season.
lowe also has some decent numbers when he faces the giants though the giants batters bat over 300 against lowe.
One of the main reasons that you have to like cain here is that he likes to throw strikes and lowe often struggles with control. in matt cains last 13 outtings he never walked more than two batters. he really mastered his conrol at the end of last year ..... traditionally lowe struggles with control early in the year.
zito and lincecum get all the publicity but i think cain is the true ace of the staff.
i will be making a play on the giants tomorrow.
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 1-0 +1.00
dogs 2-2 +0.42
overs 0-0
unders 1-0 +1.00
ok when i saw the lines that came out for tuesday there was one game that really caught my eye immediately. the dreaded sf giants. after creating my own line i found there was significant value with matt cain in this spot. in addition there are some considerable trends pointing to cain here as well.
cain simply pitches like a demon in california ... or when he doesnt have to travel far if you prefer.
here is matt cain's outtings in the state of california dating back to the start of june last year....
sep 25 home to san diego -------- 7 innings , 5 hits , 2 er
sep 20 home to the reds -----------6 innings , 7 hits , 2 er
sep 15 at san diego ------------------6 innings, 1 hit , 1 er
sep 9 home to dodgers ------------ 7 innings , 6 hits, 2 er
aug 28 home to colorado ----------- 7 innings , 4 hits , 1 er
aug 23 home to cubbies -------------7 innings , 8 hits , 1 er
aug 8 home to washington ----------6 innings , 3 hits , 0 er
aug 3 at san diego ---------------------7.1 innings , 5 hits , 2 er
july 28 home to florida ----------------7 innings 6 hits 3 er
july 23 home to bravos --------------- 4.1 innings 6 hits 4 er
july 13 home to dodgers ------------5 innings 7 hits 2 er
june 27 home to san diego ----------7.2 innings , 7 hits , 2 er
june 22 home to yankess ------------ 5 innings , 7 hits 5 er
june 10 home to oakland --------------8 innings , 5 hits , 1 er
i have bolded the away games and the dodger games for extra relevance. N ow granted a lot these games are at home but the consistency is astonishing. But there is some more good news ... the dodger hitting stats against cain are somewhat deceiving. sure the dodgers are hitting 29 of 89 off of cain but 21 of those hits were singles and only 8 were for extra bases .... they aren hitting him hard. he pitched 12 innings against the dodgers last year and only yielded 13 hits and 4 er.
in addition , he rates to be improving while lowe rates not to , season over season.
lowe also has some decent numbers when he faces the giants though the giants batters bat over 300 against lowe.
One of the main reasons that you have to like cain here is that he likes to throw strikes and lowe often struggles with control. in matt cains last 13 outtings he never walked more than two batters. he really mastered his conrol at the end of last year ..... traditionally lowe struggles with control early in the year.
zito and lincecum get all the publicity but i think cain is the true ace of the staff.
i will be making a play on the giants tomorrow.
