RetroVK
This claim is disputed
Took a day off yesterday as i was feeling a bit burned out and didnt cap a game.
ok here is what i am looking at for tomorrow.
braves --- Smoltz comes in with an ERA and WHIP both under 1.00. He has pitched against the mets bats for years and they have proven that they really just cant hit him. They hit .233 off of him in over 400 plate appearances. Smoltz is a great day pitcher as well,,.... last year he had a 3.41 day era and this year he has pitched 11 innings in the day allowing just 1 run. The mets as a team are batting just .229 vs right handed pitching and are now facing a pitcher that is allowing his opponents an average of under .200 to start the year. Nelson figueroa takes the hill for the mets. ERA is 4.05 with a whip of 1.20 coming in this year. The braves have not seen him much but did hit him well when they did. 7/18 with 2 doubles and a hr against him. Fig has looked decent in two home starts priot to this against the brewers and the nationals but those were much better matchups for him. brewers bat just .231 vs righties ( their woes in that regard are well documented throughout the forum ) and the nats bat just .233 vs righties. The braves are a different monster as they bat a whopping .286. Fig doesnt seem ot like the day either ..... 6 innings pitched , 9 hits 5 er this year .It has been awhile since this guy has been pitching in the majors but if you go back to 2004 ( last year prior to this for his mlb action ) he was A LOT worse in the daytime as opposed to night,...8.53 era and a batting avg of .385 against vs a nightitme era of 3.45 and a .222 batting average against. Better pitcher , with a better matchup , with better daytime splits here and i only have to lay 20 cents. i'll bite.
phillies/pirates under 9 --- This is a pretty straightforward bet. I guess I am likely one of the few fans of brett myers but it is hard not to like him when he sees the pirates lineup. They have batted just .234 against him in 94 AB and he has kept them in check with a .294 obp. Bay has hit Myers pretty well in the past but he is about the only one .... laroche .172, , sanchez .125 , paulino 0-3 ( meaningless really ), mientkiewicz .222 , mcclouth 0-2 ..............so if he can pitch carefully to Bay he should have great success here. in 2006 myers was good in the day .... 3.00 ERA and an opponent batting average of .241 , In 2007 a 2.70 era and an opponenet batting average of .186 and so far this year in two starts a 4.24 era and an opponent average of .269. The pirates average .239 so far this year vs righties at the plate and again ..... if Bay and Nady dont hit , they dont seem to have a chance. So to repeat myself , if myers can find a way to limit Bay's production, I don't think the pirates can have success. Maholm takes the mound for the pirates and he has been a stud at home so far this year. He has pitched 11.1 innings at home this year , yielding just one run. Like Myers , Maholm has shown the ability to throw strikes as well ... so limited free bases for the opponent. There is some concern that in limited looks at maholm the phillies have hit him pretty well. He has held his opponents to 2 er or less in 6 of his last 7 home starts ...though the exception in that streak was to these phillies. For what its worth the phillies are batting just .248 vs lefties this year as well and at some point the loss of key bats is going to show up in run production. This is the end of a very long road stretch for the phillies and i think they are ready to call it a trip and hit home. Situationally i like maholm to shut down the phillies a bit and myers just seems to match up well with the pirate bats. So hard to decide on a side ... but not the total. take a shot at under 9.
Rockies --- Francis vs loaiza is all i really need to say here. They appear to be begging for rockies money with this line but i am not going to let that deter me here. Lets start with Loaiza for the dodgers ..... First thing we know is that they arent letting him go long innings. I mean that even if he is pitching well he just doesnt have the stamina built up in the arm right now to expect him to go long. I doubt it matters here because the rockies rate to rock him ( pun intended ). The rockies are a team built to destroy righthanded pitching and they also have a history of getting to esteban. They bat .386 against him and have 7 extra base hits in 44 AB. Helton just kills him. Francis takes the hill for the rockies and was considered in the preseason to be their ace. Would be very disappointing for the rockies if francis didnt record a win in the opening month. So far this year when Francis is NOT facing the dbacks he has pitched pretty well. 14 innings, 14 hits , and just 4 er. That also entails his last 14 innings of work so he is in good form. The concern here is that the dodgers have had considerable success against Francis in the past.but that was the distant past ............here are his last four starts vs dodgers...bolded the away games
sep 18 won 3-1 at home 6.2 innings , 6 hits , 1 er , a solo shot
aug 19 lost 4-3 at dodgers 6 innings , 6 hits , 2 er
july 28 won 6-2 at home 7.2 innings , 7 hits , 2 er
april 9 won 6-3 at dodgers 6.2 innings , 5 hits , 2 er
don't see much of a reason to expect the dodgers to perform much better than their last four other than how much better they have been hitting at home compared to on the road to start this year. Even if they do get to Francis some , i think the rockies can outscore them. Worth the -105 i laid
i played all three of these already ..... official plays post incoming.
ok here is what i am looking at for tomorrow.
braves --- Smoltz comes in with an ERA and WHIP both under 1.00. He has pitched against the mets bats for years and they have proven that they really just cant hit him. They hit .233 off of him in over 400 plate appearances. Smoltz is a great day pitcher as well,,.... last year he had a 3.41 day era and this year he has pitched 11 innings in the day allowing just 1 run. The mets as a team are batting just .229 vs right handed pitching and are now facing a pitcher that is allowing his opponents an average of under .200 to start the year. Nelson figueroa takes the hill for the mets. ERA is 4.05 with a whip of 1.20 coming in this year. The braves have not seen him much but did hit him well when they did. 7/18 with 2 doubles and a hr against him. Fig has looked decent in two home starts priot to this against the brewers and the nationals but those were much better matchups for him. brewers bat just .231 vs righties ( their woes in that regard are well documented throughout the forum ) and the nats bat just .233 vs righties. The braves are a different monster as they bat a whopping .286. Fig doesnt seem ot like the day either ..... 6 innings pitched , 9 hits 5 er this year .It has been awhile since this guy has been pitching in the majors but if you go back to 2004 ( last year prior to this for his mlb action ) he was A LOT worse in the daytime as opposed to night,...8.53 era and a batting avg of .385 against vs a nightitme era of 3.45 and a .222 batting average against. Better pitcher , with a better matchup , with better daytime splits here and i only have to lay 20 cents. i'll bite.
phillies/pirates under 9 --- This is a pretty straightforward bet. I guess I am likely one of the few fans of brett myers but it is hard not to like him when he sees the pirates lineup. They have batted just .234 against him in 94 AB and he has kept them in check with a .294 obp. Bay has hit Myers pretty well in the past but he is about the only one .... laroche .172, , sanchez .125 , paulino 0-3 ( meaningless really ), mientkiewicz .222 , mcclouth 0-2 ..............so if he can pitch carefully to Bay he should have great success here. in 2006 myers was good in the day .... 3.00 ERA and an opponent batting average of .241 , In 2007 a 2.70 era and an opponenet batting average of .186 and so far this year in two starts a 4.24 era and an opponent average of .269. The pirates average .239 so far this year vs righties at the plate and again ..... if Bay and Nady dont hit , they dont seem to have a chance. So to repeat myself , if myers can find a way to limit Bay's production, I don't think the pirates can have success. Maholm takes the mound for the pirates and he has been a stud at home so far this year. He has pitched 11.1 innings at home this year , yielding just one run. Like Myers , Maholm has shown the ability to throw strikes as well ... so limited free bases for the opponent. There is some concern that in limited looks at maholm the phillies have hit him pretty well. He has held his opponents to 2 er or less in 6 of his last 7 home starts ...though the exception in that streak was to these phillies. For what its worth the phillies are batting just .248 vs lefties this year as well and at some point the loss of key bats is going to show up in run production. This is the end of a very long road stretch for the phillies and i think they are ready to call it a trip and hit home. Situationally i like maholm to shut down the phillies a bit and myers just seems to match up well with the pirate bats. So hard to decide on a side ... but not the total. take a shot at under 9.
Rockies --- Francis vs loaiza is all i really need to say here. They appear to be begging for rockies money with this line but i am not going to let that deter me here. Lets start with Loaiza for the dodgers ..... First thing we know is that they arent letting him go long innings. I mean that even if he is pitching well he just doesnt have the stamina built up in the arm right now to expect him to go long. I doubt it matters here because the rockies rate to rock him ( pun intended ). The rockies are a team built to destroy righthanded pitching and they also have a history of getting to esteban. They bat .386 against him and have 7 extra base hits in 44 AB. Helton just kills him. Francis takes the hill for the rockies and was considered in the preseason to be their ace. Would be very disappointing for the rockies if francis didnt record a win in the opening month. So far this year when Francis is NOT facing the dbacks he has pitched pretty well. 14 innings, 14 hits , and just 4 er. That also entails his last 14 innings of work so he is in good form. The concern here is that the dodgers have had considerable success against Francis in the past.but that was the distant past ............here are his last four starts vs dodgers...bolded the away games
sep 18 won 3-1 at home 6.2 innings , 6 hits , 1 er , a solo shot
aug 19 lost 4-3 at dodgers 6 innings , 6 hits , 2 er
july 28 won 6-2 at home 7.2 innings , 7 hits , 2 er
april 9 won 6-3 at dodgers 6.2 innings , 5 hits , 2 er
don't see much of a reason to expect the dodgers to perform much better than their last four other than how much better they have been hitting at home compared to on the road to start this year. Even if they do get to Francis some , i think the rockies can outscore them. Worth the -105 i laid
i played all three of these already ..... official plays post incoming.
