RetroVK
This claim is disputed
season record to date:
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 39-41- -10.78 units
dogs 44-49 +4.18 units
overs 10-6-2 +4.05 units
unders 35-12-1 +21.35 units
Ok , I admit that I got burned out of doing baseball writeups. Have not given much reasoning behind some of these picks lately. Thought I would share some tidbits about what I am betting tomorrow....
Orioles/Brewers under 9 +100
Cabrera/orioles under notes
-Cabrera is a better away pitcher than a home pitcher and has been for some time.
-Cabrera home ERA 5.25 , away ERA 3.98
- right handed batters are hitting just .231 off of him
-brewers are hitting just .251 vs right handed pitching
-Cabrera is not in good form right now , mostly as a result of lack of control. Prior to the three games before this start , Cabrera had never allowed 4 runs in three consecutive games since he joined the league in 2004. So he usually does not slump long on the mound.
-The brewers just haven't seen much of Cabrera kendall has 3 AB . kapler 3 AB and Branyan has 2 AB. They combined for 2 of 8, both singles.
-cabrera has a better than 6-to-4 groundball-to-flyball ratio which plays well in miller park.
-cabrera has a decent 1.36 whip
mcclung/brewers under notes
-Orioles bat just .251 vs right handed pitching
-Orioles bat just .238 vs mcclung lifetime , with just two doubles and zero homers in 42 AB. Huff has never seen him.
-McClung is making his sixth start since coming out of the bullpen. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of the previous 5 starts. In his lone bad performance vs the braves he just didnt have his stuff. 6 walks in 4.2 innings there ..... one walk combined in the other 4 starts ... so that seems a bit flukish and as i will get to later , the umpire should help us immensely when it comes to walks.
-Mcclung has a decent whip of 1.25
-Mcclung is getting right handers to hit just .202 and lefties just .263
umpire ( stats from shortline )
-Cuzzi behind the plate
-cuzzi 8.6 runs per game
-cuzzi 2.35 k/bb ratio
-cuzzi 64.08 percent strikes
-important as these two pitchers only seem to get hit and scored on when they also are walking folks. Just an unlikely spot for that to happen
Chicago White Sox -105
-contreras comes in with a 3.24 era and a whip of 1.14
-Contreras has been a pretty solid pitcher away from his own park. 1.30 whip and 3.45 era.
-Contreras has been good against the cubs , the only two that hit him particularly well are soriano and ramirez. Soriano wont be playing. Take out sorianos numbers and the cubs hit just .222 off of contreras.
-If i could pick a cubs starter for the white sox to face it would be marquis.
-Soft throwing right handed pitcher. perfect.
-White sox pound him too.
-White sox have a .400 on base percentage against him
-White sox hit him to the tune of .367
-cabrera bats .400
-thome .385
-konerko 429
-pierzynski 333
-crede .500
-quentin 1 for 2
-They hit him hard too. 7 doubles and 7 hr in 79 AB ... thats a homer roughly every 11.3 AB
-Marquis has pitched decent in the day but his home era is 5.13.
Seems like the perfect spot for white sox to me.
Seattle Mariners +160
hehe already tired of the writeup aspect so gonna ramble instead about the mariners.
-Basically the braves are not hitting lhp particularly well right now.
-The mariners may be feeling half decent about themselves for the first time since spring training.
-outside of Texeira the braves that have seen him have not hit him all that well. There are a lot of braves that havent seen him
-despite that he is a flyball guy ( i prefer the strikeout and ground ball guys ) the braves power is mostly from the ledt side of the plate and that should be mitigated here.
-I have backed jurrjens with some success this year and he is rightfully the favorite. I just think this price is too high.
-wegner is one of the few umpires that doesnt seem to be showing a heavy home team bias so far.
I already played all three of these. official plays post incoming.
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 39-41- -10.78 units
dogs 44-49 +4.18 units
overs 10-6-2 +4.05 units
unders 35-12-1 +21.35 units
Ok , I admit that I got burned out of doing baseball writeups. Have not given much reasoning behind some of these picks lately. Thought I would share some tidbits about what I am betting tomorrow....
Orioles/Brewers under 9 +100
Cabrera/orioles under notes
-Cabrera is a better away pitcher than a home pitcher and has been for some time.
-Cabrera home ERA 5.25 , away ERA 3.98
- right handed batters are hitting just .231 off of him
-brewers are hitting just .251 vs right handed pitching
-Cabrera is not in good form right now , mostly as a result of lack of control. Prior to the three games before this start , Cabrera had never allowed 4 runs in three consecutive games since he joined the league in 2004. So he usually does not slump long on the mound.
-The brewers just haven't seen much of Cabrera kendall has 3 AB . kapler 3 AB and Branyan has 2 AB. They combined for 2 of 8, both singles.
-cabrera has a better than 6-to-4 groundball-to-flyball ratio which plays well in miller park.
-cabrera has a decent 1.36 whip
mcclung/brewers under notes
-Orioles bat just .251 vs right handed pitching
-Orioles bat just .238 vs mcclung lifetime , with just two doubles and zero homers in 42 AB. Huff has never seen him.
-McClung is making his sixth start since coming out of the bullpen. He has allowed 2 runs or less in 4 of the previous 5 starts. In his lone bad performance vs the braves he just didnt have his stuff. 6 walks in 4.2 innings there ..... one walk combined in the other 4 starts ... so that seems a bit flukish and as i will get to later , the umpire should help us immensely when it comes to walks.
-Mcclung has a decent whip of 1.25
-Mcclung is getting right handers to hit just .202 and lefties just .263
umpire ( stats from shortline )
-Cuzzi behind the plate
-cuzzi 8.6 runs per game
-cuzzi 2.35 k/bb ratio
-cuzzi 64.08 percent strikes
-important as these two pitchers only seem to get hit and scored on when they also are walking folks. Just an unlikely spot for that to happen
Chicago White Sox -105
-contreras comes in with a 3.24 era and a whip of 1.14
-Contreras has been a pretty solid pitcher away from his own park. 1.30 whip and 3.45 era.
-Contreras has been good against the cubs , the only two that hit him particularly well are soriano and ramirez. Soriano wont be playing. Take out sorianos numbers and the cubs hit just .222 off of contreras.
-If i could pick a cubs starter for the white sox to face it would be marquis.
-Soft throwing right handed pitcher. perfect.
-White sox pound him too.
-White sox have a .400 on base percentage against him
-White sox hit him to the tune of .367
-cabrera bats .400
-thome .385
-konerko 429
-pierzynski 333
-crede .500
-quentin 1 for 2
-They hit him hard too. 7 doubles and 7 hr in 79 AB ... thats a homer roughly every 11.3 AB
-Marquis has pitched decent in the day but his home era is 5.13.
Seems like the perfect spot for white sox to me.
Seattle Mariners +160
hehe already tired of the writeup aspect so gonna ramble instead about the mariners.
-Basically the braves are not hitting lhp particularly well right now.
-The mariners may be feeling half decent about themselves for the first time since spring training.
-outside of Texeira the braves that have seen him have not hit him all that well. There are a lot of braves that havent seen him
-despite that he is a flyball guy ( i prefer the strikeout and ground ball guys ) the braves power is mostly from the ledt side of the plate and that should be mitigated here.
-I have backed jurrjens with some success this year and he is rightfully the favorite. I just think this price is too high.
-wegner is one of the few umpires that doesnt seem to be showing a heavy home team bias so far.
I already played all three of these. official plays post incoming.
