RetroVK
This claim is disputed
season record to date:
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 20-20 -3.17units
dogs 27-18 +15.45units
overs 3-5-1 -2.00 units
unders 15-5-1 +9.33 units
ok i have spent a lot of time capping tonight. A LOT. So my writeups are
going to be brief. In addition , I have not capped two of the games yet at all. Some of these seem a bit obvious to me so that always worries me. Here is what i like so far .........
Cubs --- I am a huge fan of Adam Wainwright. I think he is a great pitcher and plays with heart. But I hate him when he sees the cubs. They just pound the crap out of Wainwright when they see him. I mean everyone in the lineup seems to see him well. They bat .329 as a team vs him. The cubs are annihilating right handed pitching so far this year. Sometimes i dont like a team after a heartbreaking loss like the cubs had yesterday ..... but here i do like them. Hill is taking the mound for the cubs and unlike wainwright he has historically shut down the opposing bats. The cubs bat just .233 off him with an obp of .283. Wrong team favored here. played this already at +110 so it will appear in my official plays post tomorrow.
marlins ---This is a phenomenal situational spot for this bet. San diego had to fly from california all the way to philly for games on the 29th , 30th and 1st and now have to fly all the way from philly down to florida with no break. BRUTAL. And guess what they get to face ? A team that is starting its second consecutive home series after being swept in its last home series. It doesnt get much better than that to me situationally. There is more to help us though. Hendrickson owns the padres bats. They are 13/84 lifetime vs him. read that again ... that is domination. The padres as a team are batting .201 vs lefties so far this year. Seems a strange place to fix that problem. Germano has been awful his last two starts and the marlins bat .282 vs righties so far this year. They have not really seen Germano which is always a concern .... but i couldnt back this guy in an under the way he is pitching right now ... the play is straightforward and meets almost every other criteria i set for a bet. nothing is a guarantee in sports .... humans are difficult to predict but this game lines up beautifully from a handicapping perspective. i played this at -120 earlier tonight and you will see it in my official plays post tomorrow.
baltimore/angels under -- hate doing this without knowing the umpire but we will get to that later. Really have two stud pitchers in a big park that have had success vs the opposition. Baltimore has a long long flight after yesterdays game for this one in california , so i wouldnt expect the best effort from their bats. But you can expect it from Guthrie. He has allowed 3 er or less in all three away starts this year and has good history vs the angels. They bat just .182 off guthrie in 44 AB. He has been a bit hardluck and has yet to post a win for his efforts this year , so i expect him to be motivated as well. Weaver takes the mound for the angels. The orioles also bat under .200 vs him as well. He is currently pitching in good form and after last nights debacle i expect him to pitch strong here for the angels. I have a slight lean to the orioles at this price as well ,,,,, since i see a low scoring game where a few key hits will decide it. But i prefer the under. i played this already at 8.5 -110. There is a chance however that if i get a really bad umpire that i may jump ship on this one. i dont think the total goes anywhere but down so i locked it in.
those are the three i have already played. i have more that i like and two games that i havent finished capping yet. be back with more.
future - reds over 77 wins 1150 to win 1000
favorites 20-20 -3.17units
dogs 27-18 +15.45units
overs 3-5-1 -2.00 units
unders 15-5-1 +9.33 units
ok i have spent a lot of time capping tonight. A LOT. So my writeups are
going to be brief. In addition , I have not capped two of the games yet at all. Some of these seem a bit obvious to me so that always worries me. Here is what i like so far .........
Cubs --- I am a huge fan of Adam Wainwright. I think he is a great pitcher and plays with heart. But I hate him when he sees the cubs. They just pound the crap out of Wainwright when they see him. I mean everyone in the lineup seems to see him well. They bat .329 as a team vs him. The cubs are annihilating right handed pitching so far this year. Sometimes i dont like a team after a heartbreaking loss like the cubs had yesterday ..... but here i do like them. Hill is taking the mound for the cubs and unlike wainwright he has historically shut down the opposing bats. The cubs bat just .233 off him with an obp of .283. Wrong team favored here. played this already at +110 so it will appear in my official plays post tomorrow.
marlins ---This is a phenomenal situational spot for this bet. San diego had to fly from california all the way to philly for games on the 29th , 30th and 1st and now have to fly all the way from philly down to florida with no break. BRUTAL. And guess what they get to face ? A team that is starting its second consecutive home series after being swept in its last home series. It doesnt get much better than that to me situationally. There is more to help us though. Hendrickson owns the padres bats. They are 13/84 lifetime vs him. read that again ... that is domination. The padres as a team are batting .201 vs lefties so far this year. Seems a strange place to fix that problem. Germano has been awful his last two starts and the marlins bat .282 vs righties so far this year. They have not really seen Germano which is always a concern .... but i couldnt back this guy in an under the way he is pitching right now ... the play is straightforward and meets almost every other criteria i set for a bet. nothing is a guarantee in sports .... humans are difficult to predict but this game lines up beautifully from a handicapping perspective. i played this at -120 earlier tonight and you will see it in my official plays post tomorrow.
baltimore/angels under -- hate doing this without knowing the umpire but we will get to that later. Really have two stud pitchers in a big park that have had success vs the opposition. Baltimore has a long long flight after yesterdays game for this one in california , so i wouldnt expect the best effort from their bats. But you can expect it from Guthrie. He has allowed 3 er or less in all three away starts this year and has good history vs the angels. They bat just .182 off guthrie in 44 AB. He has been a bit hardluck and has yet to post a win for his efforts this year , so i expect him to be motivated as well. Weaver takes the mound for the angels. The orioles also bat under .200 vs him as well. He is currently pitching in good form and after last nights debacle i expect him to pitch strong here for the angels. I have a slight lean to the orioles at this price as well ,,,,, since i see a low scoring game where a few key hits will decide it. But i prefer the under. i played this already at 8.5 -110. There is a chance however that if i get a really bad umpire that i may jump ship on this one. i dont think the total goes anywhere but down so i locked it in.
those are the three i have already played. i have more that i like and two games that i havent finished capping yet. be back with more.
..
