RetroVK
This claim is disputed
favorites 6-3 +5.45 units
dogs 8-8 - 0.37 units
overs 0-1 -1.10 units
unders 2-2 +0.75 units
totals pushes : 1
overall + 4.73 units
two unit recommendations
one unit recommendations
minnesota twins +120
i know my numbers are sucking right now but that is my problem ... you can probably find better.
halfway thru the card and one game catches my eye so far.
twins
- think you can make an honest case for the under here but i have a principle about going under 7.5 in the american league and don't see enough here to warrant moving away from that principle.
- this is a game where obviously the starting pitching is the story. total is set at 7.5 with small plus money on the home dog. These are the situations where you should often expect a one run game in baseball in my honest opinion. As a general rule , the one run game tends to go to the better bullpen and the home team. So i have also factored that into this play
-liriano has been a little bit hardluck in my opinion. he has pitched 11.2 innings given up 10 hits and 9 er but has actually picthed well. He tired slightly and lost control over two thirds of an inning in the game vs a patient white sox club and gave up three of those walks and a lot of the earned runs he has allowed so far this year. so just one walk over the other 11 ip ... so i dont expect control to be an issue. he has gotten very little run support as i think they have 1 run in his two starts this year.
- the bluejays have not seen a lot of liriano and he has nasty stuff to look at so i think he should fair well the first time thru the toronto lineup and that may mean actually playing from the lead for once to relieve some pressure off this kid. Toronto team is just 1 of 16 off of him. Over the last three years liriano sports a 2.10 era , a 9 - 3 record and allows opposing batters to hit just .186 off of him in the metrodome. nice stats , situation and matchup for liriano.
-blue jays have been mashign the ball to start the year but atleast they are slightly worse vs lefties so far. their form at the plate is a definite concern though.
-twins bat just .244 as a roster against halladay if you remove mauers stats , he has two quality starts already to start the year and you know what you are generally going to get when he takes the hill. But atleast they have seen him quite a bit.
-halladay hates pitching in the metrodome as well.. over last three years he has 13.2 ip , 15 hits, 9 er , for an era just under 6.
--so i actually give liriano a decent chance of being ahead after five innings but if not ,,,,, the game should atleast be close for the bullpens when they take over ( of course hallday can go deep at times ) and that is where i feel the twins have a distinct advantage. Throw in the homefield edge mentioned above and i think the twinkies take this game late even if halladay pitches well.
--value , some angles , a home dog and a very public pitcher ont he opposing side ... really not inclined to throw two units on this so just gonna roll with one unit and hope the twins scratch a few across... type of game that will give you ulcers if you sweat it i think but it is the proper side in my opinion.
might have more later.... really supposed to be going out to work right now but i dont feel like it.
good luck everyone
dogs 8-8 - 0.37 units
overs 0-1 -1.10 units
unders 2-2 +0.75 units
totals pushes : 1
overall + 4.73 units
two unit recommendations
one unit recommendations
minnesota twins +120
i know my numbers are sucking right now but that is my problem ... you can probably find better.
halfway thru the card and one game catches my eye so far.
twins
- think you can make an honest case for the under here but i have a principle about going under 7.5 in the american league and don't see enough here to warrant moving away from that principle.
- this is a game where obviously the starting pitching is the story. total is set at 7.5 with small plus money on the home dog. These are the situations where you should often expect a one run game in baseball in my honest opinion. As a general rule , the one run game tends to go to the better bullpen and the home team. So i have also factored that into this play
-liriano has been a little bit hardluck in my opinion. he has pitched 11.2 innings given up 10 hits and 9 er but has actually picthed well. He tired slightly and lost control over two thirds of an inning in the game vs a patient white sox club and gave up three of those walks and a lot of the earned runs he has allowed so far this year. so just one walk over the other 11 ip ... so i dont expect control to be an issue. he has gotten very little run support as i think they have 1 run in his two starts this year.
- the bluejays have not seen a lot of liriano and he has nasty stuff to look at so i think he should fair well the first time thru the toronto lineup and that may mean actually playing from the lead for once to relieve some pressure off this kid. Toronto team is just 1 of 16 off of him. Over the last three years liriano sports a 2.10 era , a 9 - 3 record and allows opposing batters to hit just .186 off of him in the metrodome. nice stats , situation and matchup for liriano.
-blue jays have been mashign the ball to start the year but atleast they are slightly worse vs lefties so far. their form at the plate is a definite concern though.
-twins bat just .244 as a roster against halladay if you remove mauers stats , he has two quality starts already to start the year and you know what you are generally going to get when he takes the hill. But atleast they have seen him quite a bit.
-halladay hates pitching in the metrodome as well.. over last three years he has 13.2 ip , 15 hits, 9 er , for an era just under 6.
--so i actually give liriano a decent chance of being ahead after five innings but if not ,,,,, the game should atleast be close for the bullpens when they take over ( of course hallday can go deep at times ) and that is where i feel the twins have a distinct advantage. Throw in the homefield edge mentioned above and i think the twinkies take this game late even if halladay pitches well.
--value , some angles , a home dog and a very public pitcher ont he opposing side ... really not inclined to throw two units on this so just gonna roll with one unit and hope the twins scratch a few across... type of game that will give you ulcers if you sweat it i think but it is the proper side in my opinion.
might have more later.... really supposed to be going out to work right now but i dont feel like it.
good luck everyone
)
