RetroVK
This claim is disputed
favorites 1-1 -0.13 units
dogs 6-4 + 3.19 units
overs 0-1 -1.10 units
unders 0-2 -2.25 units
overall -0.29 units
Two unit recommendations
Seattle mariners -112
washington nationals +159
philadelphia phillies -110
one unit recommendations
houston astros +122
minnesota twins -120
nymets +131
Lets take a quick peak because of the hour .... i do sleep on occasion.
seattle mariners -112 -- Alright i get it .. outman is a hard throwing lefty in his first start which is usually a nice angle. But i have feliz hernandez as my american league cy young favorite this year and laying just 12 cents ( i bet this somewhere with a twenty cent line
) seems like a hell of a bargain. Mariners are playing good baseball right now and hit left handed pitching pretty well. 8 innings pitched 5 hits 3 walks and 1 er allowed in his first road start this year. He loves pitching in tis ballpark as well. Last year stats ... 17 innings pitched 14 hits , just 2 walks , just 3 earned runs and 16 strikeouts. And in 2007 at mcafee 13 ip 9 hits 3 er .... Outman might come out and hurt me here but i threw two units down and say "prove it". Guessing this will be a pretty big square play on saturday and that is a concern as the line seems to be inviting the seattle money. If you watch the game be sure to do a shot of your favorite alcohol every single time one of the announcers makes a pun or joke about Outman's name. two units
nationals -- This looks good on paper. Lannan i have already told you i bleive in and think is a warrior and he is coming off of a bad outing after a bad spring outing ... maybe off form but i dont buy it and given how hot the marlins are hitting everyone maybe he can be forgiven for that start. My buddy pointed out lannan success in turner field as well and it is impressive. Nationals are desperate for a win and let one slip away last night that they probably should have won. kawakami faced some of the nats in the spring where he went 5 innings gave up just 1 hit and 1 unearned run i believe but having seen him once might have given the nats better scouting here. Kawakami struggled finding the zone in his last spring outing and he cant overpower mlb batters. Nats seem prone to the key strikeout and that just doesn't seem to come into play against this guy imo. Might be some added pressure on this fella as well. The line is a joke in my opinion and by far the most off between my projection and opener. Last night lowe was -220 to martis and saturday kawakami is -180 to the nats ACE ?? Not only does that show incredible value on its face to lannan here but i also feel that the lowe line itself was greatly inflated !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I think nats have a VERY good chance for the win here and gladly take the +159 with a more proven mlb pitching stud. two units
phillies -- i get this line after looking at this game .. de la rosa set a colorado era record for the second half last year .. so its not like he is a bum or anything. And myers got rocked las tyear in his start in colorado , though the phillies won the game. A lot of that damage was done by holliday though and he is gone .. if myers can get helton out he should be able to go a good 6 or 7 yeilding 3 runs or so ...and i expect the phillies to get to delarosa here. As a team the phillies are 10 of 23 off of him with the only real struggler being ryan howard which i would not expect to continue. What i really like here is the phillies ability to make pitchers pitch. That bodes really well for them against delarosa who struggles with pitchcount often. For as well as he pitched to end last year , he still couldn't manage to last innings. I think he started somewhere between 20-25 games last year and NEVER went more than 7 innings and went over 6 innings just once. I find this especially significant for two reasons here .. 1. He played against some very anemic offenses in his starts last year ( which also plays into his stellar era down the stretch ) 2. His struggle with walks and control are based out of a lack of confidence according to several different sources ( espn , mlb.com , rockiesbeat ) ..... It is a formidable spot to test your confidence in your first start fo the year having to face that lineup. Not a fan of the rockies bullpen and i am very confident we get there. Also have a sneaking suspicion that myers shows up though he is a headcase himself. One good spring outing doesn't make me forget about the way de la rosa started this spring. two units.
astros -- pujols and ankiel have hit oswalt but no one else can seem to touch him on that roster. cards hit just .208 off him last year. While a notoriously slow starter , Oswalt is a monster in the daytime. His first start of the year was vs a good cubs club and he went 7 innings giving up 3 runs for a solid start so i am less concerned about his normal early season woes. Wainwright certainly had success against the astros last year holding them to under the mendoza line at the plate while recording a 3-0 record in '08 but he also gave up 5 dingers in 22 ip. Adam strugged in the opener with his control walking a bunch of pirates and i have to think there is atleast a chance that hasn't been corrected yet for a guy who normally doesnt ahve major control issues. Could make a strong case for the under here but i prefer the plus money on a game i feel is a fifty-fifty outcome.
twins -- look at lirianos last game if you get a chance. If in that form again he gets the victory here. Colon is on the mound.
mets -- stepping in front of the train here. too tired to give my bad insight at this point.
best card of the year. good luck boys and girls.
dogs 6-4 + 3.19 units
overs 0-1 -1.10 units
unders 0-2 -2.25 units
overall -0.29 units
Two unit recommendations
Seattle mariners -112
washington nationals +159
philadelphia phillies -110
one unit recommendations
houston astros +122
minnesota twins -120
nymets +131
Lets take a quick peak because of the hour .... i do sleep on occasion.
seattle mariners -112 -- Alright i get it .. outman is a hard throwing lefty in his first start which is usually a nice angle. But i have feliz hernandez as my american league cy young favorite this year and laying just 12 cents ( i bet this somewhere with a twenty cent line
) seems like a hell of a bargain. Mariners are playing good baseball right now and hit left handed pitching pretty well. 8 innings pitched 5 hits 3 walks and 1 er allowed in his first road start this year. He loves pitching in tis ballpark as well. Last year stats ... 17 innings pitched 14 hits , just 2 walks , just 3 earned runs and 16 strikeouts. And in 2007 at mcafee 13 ip 9 hits 3 er .... Outman might come out and hurt me here but i threw two units down and say "prove it". Guessing this will be a pretty big square play on saturday and that is a concern as the line seems to be inviting the seattle money. If you watch the game be sure to do a shot of your favorite alcohol every single time one of the announcers makes a pun or joke about Outman's name. two unitsnationals -- This looks good on paper. Lannan i have already told you i bleive in and think is a warrior and he is coming off of a bad outing after a bad spring outing ... maybe off form but i dont buy it and given how hot the marlins are hitting everyone maybe he can be forgiven for that start. My buddy pointed out lannan success in turner field as well and it is impressive. Nationals are desperate for a win and let one slip away last night that they probably should have won. kawakami faced some of the nats in the spring where he went 5 innings gave up just 1 hit and 1 unearned run i believe but having seen him once might have given the nats better scouting here. Kawakami struggled finding the zone in his last spring outing and he cant overpower mlb batters. Nats seem prone to the key strikeout and that just doesn't seem to come into play against this guy imo. Might be some added pressure on this fella as well. The line is a joke in my opinion and by far the most off between my projection and opener. Last night lowe was -220 to martis and saturday kawakami is -180 to the nats ACE ?? Not only does that show incredible value on its face to lannan here but i also feel that the lowe line itself was greatly inflated !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I think nats have a VERY good chance for the win here and gladly take the +159 with a more proven mlb pitching stud. two units
phillies -- i get this line after looking at this game .. de la rosa set a colorado era record for the second half last year .. so its not like he is a bum or anything. And myers got rocked las tyear in his start in colorado , though the phillies won the game. A lot of that damage was done by holliday though and he is gone .. if myers can get helton out he should be able to go a good 6 or 7 yeilding 3 runs or so ...and i expect the phillies to get to delarosa here. As a team the phillies are 10 of 23 off of him with the only real struggler being ryan howard which i would not expect to continue. What i really like here is the phillies ability to make pitchers pitch. That bodes really well for them against delarosa who struggles with pitchcount often. For as well as he pitched to end last year , he still couldn't manage to last innings. I think he started somewhere between 20-25 games last year and NEVER went more than 7 innings and went over 6 innings just once. I find this especially significant for two reasons here .. 1. He played against some very anemic offenses in his starts last year ( which also plays into his stellar era down the stretch ) 2. His struggle with walks and control are based out of a lack of confidence according to several different sources ( espn , mlb.com , rockiesbeat ) ..... It is a formidable spot to test your confidence in your first start fo the year having to face that lineup. Not a fan of the rockies bullpen and i am very confident we get there. Also have a sneaking suspicion that myers shows up though he is a headcase himself. One good spring outing doesn't make me forget about the way de la rosa started this spring. two units.
astros -- pujols and ankiel have hit oswalt but no one else can seem to touch him on that roster. cards hit just .208 off him last year. While a notoriously slow starter , Oswalt is a monster in the daytime. His first start of the year was vs a good cubs club and he went 7 innings giving up 3 runs for a solid start so i am less concerned about his normal early season woes. Wainwright certainly had success against the astros last year holding them to under the mendoza line at the plate while recording a 3-0 record in '08 but he also gave up 5 dingers in 22 ip. Adam strugged in the opener with his control walking a bunch of pirates and i have to think there is atleast a chance that hasn't been corrected yet for a guy who normally doesnt ahve major control issues. Could make a strong case for the under here but i prefer the plus money on a game i feel is a fifty-fifty outcome.
twins -- look at lirianos last game if you get a chance. If in that form again he gets the victory here. Colon is on the mound.
mets -- stepping in front of the train here. too tired to give my bad insight at this point.
best card of the year. good luck boys and girls.
